AI · Berkshire Mirror — Trades

Apple is up 11.5% on cost (5.8 ATR, 93% of its 12wk target) and now prints RSI_DIV on the row, so the armed profit-take fires (tick a, 30%). G1 does not apply (FailedBreakdown_Up, not a fresh breakout >=80). The MoS -3.19 one-tier bump is suppressed under G2 because the 12wk of 370.51 is far above the 237 DCF anchor. This is the second 30% cut after 10-19 (tick b). Balance on a 334.97 trail; the print is 11-02, outside 5 sessions.

decided @ 343.99 · stop 334.97 · t1w 347.66 · t4w 356.24 · t12w 370.51

Same case as GOOGL: GOOG closed at 317.28, under its 317.66 exit line. Conviction fell from and the 12-week view is 268.65 (-15.3%), below EMA200. Exit the 134-sh balance at the 10-26 open, ahead of the 10-28 print. · news

decided @ 317.28 · stop 317.66 · t1w 312.42 · t4w 301.07 · t12w 268.65

GOOGL closed at 320.21, below the 321.28 line that the 10-22 EOD set as the full-exit trigger. Conviction slid from and the 12-week view is 272.70 (-14.8%), below EMA200, so the L2 basis is met. News is neutral: Citizens cut its PT and ETFs were net sellers. Exit the 353-sh balance at the 10-26 open rather than hold an unconfirmed reversal into the 10-28 print. L2|sell cell -4 (report-weighted); the catalyst-hold clause yields to a break of a predefined decisive line. · news

decided @ 320.21 · stop 321.28 · t1w 315.46 · t4w 304.37 · t12w 272.70

Capital One broke out to a 20-day high (STRONG BUY 88, Buy_Rank 1) and its Q3 beat on adjusted EPS (vs) with a credit-reserve release; valuation is near fair (MoS -0.22, quality pass). The close is already 0.44 ATR past the 204.12 trigger and the print landed around the anchor, so per L6 this is a GTC limit at the model entry, not a chase. New BUY 85.49% x NAV x 20% = ->. Flag: Target_12Week 187.41 sits below the close; L1 discounts breakout chases (BreakoutUp_20D|buy report-only n=1). Withdraw if conviction < 65 or by 2026-10-26. · news

decided @ 204.12 · stop 186.15 · t1w 214.90 · t4w 240.05 · t12w 187.41

Chevron is up about 26% on cost and has turned overbought: RSI is 71, the model flipped to a reversal-down signal, and momentum is diverging. That earns a first profit-take on 30% while the rest rides with a raised trail. Armed (Gain 10.1 ATR) + tick a (RSI_DIV); G1 n/a (not a fresh breakout); one tick = profit_take_1 30%; FAIR_VALUE, no tier change. Balance, trail 216.36.

decided @ 225.71 · stop 216.36 · t1w 222.43 · t4w 214.76 · t12w 263.34

DaVita fell about 6% on a proposed federal kidney-care plan that targets the concentrated dialysis market. It closed decisively below our 179 stop and under its 200-day average, and the model's 12-week view is about 13% lower, so we cut the position in half. L2 stop-break + negative 12wk basis (first firing); the NoTrade L2 cell is -4. Balance on a new 168.00 rung (peak stop 179 retained). Q3 print 10-29. · news

decided @ 175.35 · stop 168.00 · t1w 173.03 · t4w 167.62 · t12w 152.15

Liberty Live Series A now prints the same failed-breakout strong-sell as its Series C sibling, with a 12-week view about 9% lower and the position 7% under cost, so we take the model's 88.5% reduction. Late-flipped REDUCE (NT, AVOID 58, NT, SSR 65); FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell +2; no valuation read. Balance on 93.73. LLYV prints 11-05.

decided @ 96.69 · stop 93.73 · t1w 95.84 · t4w 93.85 · t12w 88.18

Apple is up 11.5% on cost (5.8 ATR, 93% of its 12wk target) and now prints RSI_DIV on the row, so the armed profit-take fires (tick a, 30%). G1 does not apply (FailedBreakdown_Up, not a fresh breakout >=80). The MoS -3.19 one-tier bump is suppressed under G2 because the 12wk of 370.51 is far above the 237 DCF anchor. This is the second 30% cut after 10-19 (tick b). Balance on a 334.97 trail; the print is 11-02, outside 5 sessions.

decided @ 343.99 · stop 334.97 · t1w 347.66 · t4w 356.24 · t12w 370.51

Ally keeps printing STRONG SELL - REDUCE (fifth SSR in six sessions), sits below its 200-day average and the 12-week view is -28%; cheap valuation argues the cut down from 89% to 50%. Q3 prints 10-20 07:30 ET pre-open (trend exit, catalyst hold n/a). Balance, stop 35.88. · news

decided @ 37.59 · stop 35.88 · t1w 36.54 · t4w 34.08 · t12w 27.06

Liberty Live C re-printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE 73 (Sell_Rank 1) at the 200-day average with a -10.5% 12-week view; no valuation read to soften it, so the model's 89% cut stands. Late-flipped REDUCE (SSR->NT->AVOID->SSR), no bullish print in 4 sessions. Balance.

decided @ 98.05 · stop 94.35 · t1w 97.02 · t4w 94.63 · t12w 87.79

Apple is +11% on cost and profit-armed (5.3 ATR, 92% of its 12-week target), and conviction just collapsed from HOLD 88 to NO TRADE 0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction') - a fired profit-take, 30% tier. G2 suppresses the MoS<=-3 tier bump (12wk 371.68 >> DCF 237). Second 30% cut in two sessions (10-19 fill @ 340.975); balance 2,053 on trail 334.97. · news

decided @ 342.94 · stop 334.97 · t1w 345.81 · t4w 352.52 · t12w 371.68

Ally keeps printing STRONG SELL - REDUCE (fifth SSR in six sessions), sits below its 200-day average and the 12-week view is -28%; cheap valuation argues the cut down from 89% to 50%. Q3 prints 10-20 07:30 ET pre-open (trend exit, catalyst hold n/a). Balance, stop 35.88. · news

decided @ 37.59 · stop 35.88 · t1w 36.54 · t4w 34.08 · t12w 27.06

Macy's has reached ~99% of its 12-week target and the forward view is flat, so another 30% is banked. Profit-take armed (T12) + tick c (12wk 24.22 < 1.02x close); AVOID conviction fade not counted as tick b. Balance on 22.49 (peak 24.57). · news

decided @ 24.00 · stop 22.49 · t1w 24.02 · t4w 24.07 · t12w 24.22

Ally keeps printing STRONG SELL-REDUCE below its 200-day average with a deeply negative 12-week view; the undervalued reading argues the cut down to half. Q3 lands 10-20 (consensus revised lower); trend exit so catalyst hold n/a. Balance, stop 35.83. · news

decided @ 37.68 · stop 35.83 · t1w 36.60 · t4w 34.08 · t12w 26.87

Macy's has reached ~99% of its 12-week target and the forward view is flat, so another 30% is banked. Profit-take armed (T12) + tick c (12wk 24.22 < 1.02x close); AVOID conviction fade not counted as tick b. Balance on 22.49 (peak 24.57). · news

decided @ 24.00 · stop 22.49 · t1w 24.02 · t4w 24.07 · t12w 24.22

Nucor is up 15% on cost but the signal has gone to NO TRADE and the 12-week view sits below the price, so bank half the gain. Profit-take: armed (Gain 5.3 ATR) + tick b (conv + tick c (12wk 248.55 < 1.02x close); 2 ticks -> 50%. Displaced as optional on 10-14. Q3 10-26 is outside 5 sessions. Balance on the 245.67 trail. · news

decided @ 254.69 · stop 245.67 · t1w 254.08 · t4w 252.64 · t12w 248.55

Chubb flipped from AVOID to a BUY - ADD 70 on a 20-day breakout, at the model entry with no extension and priced right at its residual-income anchor. A small add; Q3 prints 10-20 after the close, against a softer EPS consensus (-14% y/y) and a Wells Fargo PT cut to 343. ADD 30% of 703 =; quality gate does not block ADDs; stop 339.73 (2.0 ATR). 12wk 350.58 sits just below the close (systemic: bullish row with flat 12W). · news

decided @ 352.11 · stop 339.73 · t1w 360.27 · t4w 379.32 · t12w 350.58

Ally keeps printing STRONG SELL-REDUCE below its 200-day average with a deeply negative 12-week view; the undervalued reading argues the cut down to half. Q3 lands 10-20 (consensus revised lower); trend exit so catalyst hold n/a. Balance, stop 35.83. · news

decided @ 37.68 · stop 35.83 · t1w 36.60 · t4w 34.08 · t12w 26.87

Liberty Live Series A flipped to STRONG SELL - REDUCE below its 200-day average with a negative 12-week view, confirming the Series C breakdown; step out of most of the position. Late-flipped SSR 66 (NT -> SSR), -9.3% on cost, valuation n/a (tracking stock); balance on the 93.73 rung. · news

decided @ 94.31 · stop 93.73 · t1w 93.27 · t4w 90.84 · t12w 83.91

Liberty Live Series C printed its second STRONG SELL - REDUCE in three sessions, below its 200-day average with a negative 12-week view; sell the remaining bulk. SSR 73, -9.2% on cost; balance on 94.35. · news

decided @ 97.29 · stop 94.35 · t1w 96.13 · t4w 93.42 · t12w 85.67

Apple banks part of a +10.6% gain: the position is profit-armed (4.9 ATR over cost, 93% of the 12-week target) and an RSI divergence printed at a record high, which fires the 30% profit-take. News is mixed: record high on the smart-home event and BofA's Buy, against a Nikkei report of 15-20% iPhone 18 Pro order cuts. The MoS -3.08 one-tier bump is suppressed by G2 (12wk 367.89 far above the 237.39 DCF), so the trim stays at 30%. FQ4 prints 11-02; balance on the 328.80 trail. · news

decided @ 341.27 · stop 328.80 · t1w 345.27 · t4w 354.59 · t12w 367.89

Ally prints STRONG SELL - REDUCE 75 again after a dead-cat bounce, 17% under cost below its 200-day average with a -30% 12-week view. Halve the stub; the cheap valuation argues the scan's 88.5% down to 50%. Fourth consecutive halving (whittling); Q3 date conflicts 10-16 vs 10-20; MS downgrade 10-12 (PT 43). Balance, stop 35.80, peak 37.52 retained. · news

decided @ 37.73 · stop 35.80 · t1w 36.61 · t4w 34.00 · t12w 26.55

Coca-Cola is profit-armed (+7.1%, 100% of the 12-week target) and its 12-week view (90.01) sits below 1.02x the close, a dead forward view that fires a 30% profit-take even as conviction rose to 88. This is KO's 6th tick-(c) firing since 10-02, taken model-faithfully in an unattended run; the whittling is flagged for the BH-EOQ-1 review. Balance, stop raised to 87.29. Q3 10-27. · news

decided @ 90.11 · stop 87.29 · t1w 92.43 · t4w 97.84 · t12w 90.01

Occidental re-enters the book: a second straight BUY print at the model entry with no extension, priced near fair value with the quality screen passed, and Goldman's 10-01 upgrade (PT 69) backing it. Raw cv75 clears US-10's >=75 bar for FailedBreakdown_Up. New-BUY sizing 49.24% x NAV x 20% =; stop 60.55 is only 0.75 ATR away, so a normal-noise stop-out is possible. Prints 11-09. · news

decided @ 61.65 · stop 60.55 · t1w 62.54 · t4w 64.60 · t12w 64.10

Ally closed decisively below its stop with a deeply negative 12-week view after a Morgan Stanley downgrade; cut the position in half, with the cheap valuation arguing against a full exit. L2 stop-break (36.74 < 37.52, -2.08%), -18.9% on cost; Q3 10-20 catalyst hold n/a (neg 12W, BH-EOQ-CH not met); balance, stop reset 35.47 (peak 37.52). · news

decided @ 36.74 · stop 35.47 · t1w 35.61 · t4w 32.96 · t12w 25.41

Coca-Cola is profit-armed (+7.1%, 100% of the 12-week target) and its 12-week view (90.01) sits below 1.02x the close, a dead forward view that fires a 30% profit-take even as conviction rose to 88. This is KO's 6th tick-(c) firing since 10-02, taken model-faithfully in an unattended run; the whittling is flagged for the BH-EOQ-1 review. Balance, stop raised to 87.29. Q3 10-27. · news

decided @ 90.11 · stop 87.29 · t1w 92.43 · t4w 97.84 · t12w 90.01

Liberty Live Series C printed its second STRONG SELL - REDUCE in three sessions, below its 200-day average with a negative 12-week view; sell the remaining bulk. SSR 73, -9.2% on cost; balance on 94.35. · news

decided @ 97.29 · stop 94.35 · t1w 96.13 · t4w 93.42 · t12w 85.67

Coca-Cola is profit-armed (+7.1%, 100% of the 12-week target) and its 12-week view (90.01) sits below 1.02x the close, a dead forward view that fires a 30% profit-take even as conviction rose to 88. This is KO's 6th tick-(c) firing since 10-02, taken model-faithfully in an unattended run; the whittling is flagged for the BH-EOQ-1 review. Balance, stop raised to 87.29. Q3 10-27. · news

decided @ 90.11 · stop 87.29 · t1w 92.43 · t4w 97.84 · t12w 90.01

Lennar Class B has closed 7% below its 81.78 stop with a 12-week view 21% lower and an AVOID print, so the stub position is closed out; no valuation read exists for this share class. L2 stop-break + negative-12wk exit, displaced by the cap on the three prior EODs (L3: stop re-recommending, execute).

decided @ 76.02 · stop 81.78 · t1w 74.41 · t4w 70.65 · t12w 59.92

VeriSign is up 18% on cost (6.6 ATR) but conviction collapsed 24 points in one session, so 30% of the winner is banked while the rest rides a raised 289.31 stop into the 10-22 Q3 print. Profit-take armed + tick b (fires regardless of G1); MoS -2.31, no bump; catalyst 9 sessions out (outside the 5-session hold window). · news

decided @ 303.74 · stop 289.31 · t1w 308.07 · t4w 318.17 · t12w 313.41

Ally escalated from HOLD/AVOID to STRONG SELL - REDUCE (75) with a -31% 12-week view while 16% under cost; it screens cheap, so halve it rather than exit. Engine 88.5% stepped down one tier for UNDERVALUED; 935 of at the next open; RSI 31.6 (oversold); rest keep the 37.52 rung; Q3 prints 10-20 (BH-EOQ-CH n/a: 12wk negative). · news

decided @ 37.83 · stop 37.52 · t1w 36.64 · t4w 33.88 · t12w 25.97

Chubb printed a second straight STRONG SELL - REDUCE (67) with an -8% 12-week view; it is the book's largest dollar bleed, but fair value is only marginally cheap, so trim half rather than exit. Engine portion 88.5% stepped down one tier for UNDERVALUED; 702 of at the next open (half already sold at 335.27 on 10-08); conviction eased on a +2.8% bounce; stop on the rest raised to the row stop 331.95; Q3 prints 10-20. · news

decided @ 343.78 · stop 331.95 · t1w 340.98 · t4w 334.45 · t12w 315.80

Sirius XM strengthened to the book's top-ranked STRONG SELL - REDUCE below its 200-day average with a -24% 12-week view and the position 14% under cost; positive guidance news does not override the trend, so take the engine's full reduce. Stable 2-print SSR, Sell_Rank #1, model Portion 88.52% (FAIR_VALUE, no tier change); 2,767 of at the next open; 359-sh stub keeps the 25.20 rung; Q3 prints 10-29. · news

decided @ 26.33 · stop 25.20 · t1w 25.69 · t4w 24.19 · t12w 19.92

Chubb printed a second straight STRONG SELL - REDUCE (67) with an -8% 12-week view; it is the book's largest dollar bleed, but fair value is only marginally cheap, so trim half rather than exit. Engine portion 88.5% stepped down one tier for UNDERVALUED; 702 of at the next open (half already sold at 335.27 on 10-08); conviction eased on a +2.8% bounce; stop on the rest raised to the row stop 331.95; Q3 prints 10-20. · news

decided @ 343.78 · stop 331.95 · t1w 340.98 · t4w 334.45 · t12w 315.80

DaVita re-printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE (71) with a -22% 12-week view while sitting on its 200-day average, 25% under cost; halve the remaining position again. 2nd SSR in 3 prints; 328 of at the next open; rung 170.12 on the rest.

decided @ 176.78 · stop 170.12 · t1w 172.86 · t4w 163.72 · t12w 137.59

Coca-Cola is profit-armed (+4.7% on cost, 104% of its 12-week target) while the model's 12-week view sits 3.7% below the close and conviction is soft at 59; the stock is fully valued, so 30% of the gain is banked. Profit-take armed + tick c (12wk 84.75 < 1.02x close); MoS -2.06 > -3, no tier bump. Static-tick whittling flagged (cut 10-02/10-05/10-07; displaced 10-08). Balance, stop raised to 85.38. · news

decided @ 88.05 · stop 85.38 · t1w 88.85 · t4w 90.72 · t12w 84.75

Lennar printed a second straight STRONG SELL - REDUCE (bear-trend rally sell) and closed well below its stop and 200-day average with a -21% 12-week view; Berkshire buying in late September does not offset the signal. L2 full exit at the next open; LEN-B rides as an optional exit. · news

decided @ 77.41 · stop 82.64 · t1w 75.76 · t4w 71.91 · t12w 60.91

New York Times closed decisively below its stop with a STRONG SELL - REDUCE print (3rd in 4 sessions), below its 200-day average and a -23% 12-week view; fair value offers no support, so exit the position. L2 + L3 (displaced 9x before), full exit at the next open. · news

decided @ 64.07 · stop 65.37 · t1w 62.58 · t4w 59.09 · t12w 49.13

Constellation Brands is the top-ranked sell (STRONG SELL - REDUCE 82), well below its stop and 200-day average with a -35% 12-week view, and its after-close FQ2 report missed on FY27 guidance with weak beer depletions. L2 full exit at the next open; the anchor close is pre-print, so reprice at the open but exit regardless of the gap. · news

decided @ 115.67 · stop 128.36 · t1w 111.68 · t4w 102.36 · t12w 75.75

DaVita re-printed STRONG SELL - REDUCE (71) with a -22% 12-week view while sitting on its 200-day average, 25% under cost; halve the remaining position again. 2nd SSR in 3 prints; 328 of at the next open; rung 170.12 on the rest.

decided @ 176.78 · stop 170.12 · t1w 172.86 · t4w 163.72 · t12w 137.59

Alphabet flipped from three NO TRADE prints to a Strong Sell-Reduce (conviction 70) with a 12-week view 7% below the close; valuation is neutral and the news (a Polish antitrust charge) does not change the picture, so half the position is cut. Fresh-SSR 50% tier (above EMA200 and the 333.48 rung); balance on the rung, L2 exit on a close below. · news

decided @ 346.47 · stop 333.48 · t1w 343.95 · t4w 338.06 · t12w 321.24

VeriSign repeated its Strong Sell-Reduce print and its 12-week view sits below the close while the position is 14% in profit, so half the gain is banked ahead of the 10-22 results. Stable SSR + armed profit-take tick (c); fulfils the 10-02 pre-commitment. Balance, stop raised to 278.60. · news

decided @ 292.26 · stop 278.60 · t1w 291.60 · t4w 290.06 · t12w 285.67

Ally flipped HOLD -> STRONG SELL - REDUCE 69 (Sell_Rank #3) under its 200-day average with a -32% 12-week view, and Wells Fargo cut it on 09-30 (PT. Fresh SSR above the 37.52 rung (+0.46 ATR) tiers 88.5% to 50%, and UNDERVALUED (MoS +0.18) argues down one more tier: trim the minimum, 30%. Q3 earnings 10-20 is outside the 5-session window. A close below 37.52 is an L2 full exit. · news

decided @ 37.91 · stop 37.52 · t1w 36.71 · t4w 33.90 · t12w 25.87

Coca-Cola closed below its 85.95 stop rung and flipped to a bearish RallySell signal with a 12-week view of 81.39 (-5%), so the armed position's profit cushion is fading with no catalyst to wait for. Profit-take: armed (T12 progress 105%, +1.8% on cost) + tick (c) dead 12wk; 1 tick = profit_take_1 30%; MoS -2.08 no tier bump; rung graze -0.26 ATR (not L2-decisive). Balance on new stop 84.51 (close - 1 ATR). · news

decided @ 85.65 · stop 85.95 · t1w 85.22 · t4w 84.23 · t12w 81.39

Sirius XM flipped to STRONG SELL - REDUCE 75 (Sell_Rank #2) below its 200-day average with a -28% 12-week view; the position is -15.7% on cost. Fresh SSR above the 25.20 rung (+0.86 ATR) = 88.5% label tiered to 50% (book precedent); FAIR_VALUE MoS -1.52, quality fail, no bump. Guggenheim Buy/PT 37 noted (neutral, not an override). Balance on rung 25.20; a close below it is an L2 full exit. · news

decided @ 25.72 · stop 25.20 · t1w 25.00 · t4w 23.32 · t12w 18.52

Bank of America flipped to STRONG SELL - REDUCE 79 (Sell_Rank #1) and closed decisively below its stop (53.73 vs 54.75, -0.91 ATR) with a -29% 12-week view, amid a bank-sector selloff and an HSBC downgrade. Fires the 09-30 pre-committed L2 trigger (<54.34); 88.5% label below the rung = full exit; MoS -0.27 no bump. · news

decided @ 53.73 · stop 54.75 · t1w 52.18 · t4w 48.56 · t12w 38.21

Capital One printed a third straight STRONG SELL - REDUCE (conviction up to 78), closed below its stop and its 200-day average for a second session, and its 12-week view is -19%; exit the position. Pre-committed to lead this EOD after repeated cap displacements (L3); Q3 earnings 10-20 outside the window. · news

decided @ 194.48 · stop 195.24 · t1w 190.69 · t4w 181.86 · t12w 156.61

Liberty Live (Ser C) printed its third straight bearish signal with rising conviction (STRONG SELL - REDUCE 73), closing below its 200-day average with a -14% 12-week view; halve the position. Close +0.66 ATR above the 94.35 rung so the 88.5% label is tiered to 50%; balance on rung 94.35; valuation blind (NaN). · news

decided @ 96.11 · stop 94.35 · t1w 94.80 · t4w 91.73 · t12w 82.97

Chubb closed decisively below its stop (325.25 vs the 331.74 rung, -1.34 ATR) on a second straight NO TRADE print with a -12% 12-week view, which is an L2 exit basis; UNDERVALUED valuation argues the trim down one tier from 50% to 30%. L2 decisive break (>=0.4 ATR); balance re-based rung 320.41 (close - 1 ATR); Q3 earnings 10-20 is outside the 5-session window. · news

decided @ 325.25 · stop 320.41 · t1w 321.27 · t4w 311.98 · t12w 285.44

Chevron (+14% on cost, profit-armed) fired a profit-take yesterday on two straight NO TRADE prints but lost its slot to the cap; today it turned bearish (AVOID 51 FailedBreakout_Down) and closed -1.03 ATR below its 208.07 trail, so the carried-forward 30% trim executes. 12wk still +3.7%, so no L2 full exit; balance re-based rung 200.47 (hard 196.13). · news

decided @ 204.21 · stop 200.47 · t1w 204.96 · t4w 206.70 · t12w 211.67

Coca-Cola closed below its 85.95 stop rung and flipped to a bearish RallySell signal with a 12-week view of 81.39 (-5%), so the armed position's profit cushion is fading with no catalyst to wait for. Profit-take: armed (T12 progress 105%, +1.8% on cost) + tick (c) dead 12wk; 1 tick = profit_take_1 30%; MoS -2.08 no tier bump; rung graze -0.26 ATR (not L2-decisive). Balance on new stop 84.51 (close - 1 ATR). · news

decided @ 85.65 · stop 85.95 · t1w 85.22 · t4w 84.23 · t12w 81.39

Alphabet's Class C shares are the book's #1 sell-ranked name, a strong-sell print with a -9% 12-week view; halve alongside the Class A cut. OPS: AVOID 45 -> SSR 73, Sell_Rank 1; tiered to 50% (close +0.44 ATR above 334.09 trail); new rung 330.07 (peak re-based); target. · news

decided @ 337.32 · stop 330.07 · t1w 334.34 · t4w 327.39 · t12w 307.54

Alphabet flipped to a strong-sell print with a -8% 12-week view as the EU antitrust appeal weighs; halve the stake while it still sits above its trailing stop. OPS: AVOID 50 -> SSR 66 (2nd bearish print), Sell_Rank 3; 88.5% label tiered to 50% (close +0.43 ATR above 337.72 trail); new rung 333.48; target,413. · news

decided @ 340.92 · stop 333.48 · t1w 338.16 · t4w 331.71 · t12w 313.29

Moody's has printed strong-sell four sessions running and closed below both its pre-committed 458.20 stop rung and its 200-day average, with a -14% 12-week view; exit the remaining stake. OPS: pre-committed 09-28 trigger (close < 458.20 sells balance); -0.33 ATR break; target. · news

decided @ 454.82 · stop 458.20 · t1w 448.46 · t4w 433.61 · t12w 391.20

Nucor is +11% on cost after a below-consensus Q3 guide, with five no-trade prints and a negative 12-week view; take half the profit. OPS: ADR-0012 armed + ticks (c) and (d) -> 50%; displaced 3x before (L3); new rung 237.62; target. · news

decided @ 244.49 · stop 237.62 · t1w 242.58 · t4w 238.12 · t12w 225.38

Sirius XM strengthened to a strong-sell print below its 200-day average with a -25% 12-week view; halve the stake as pre-committed on Friday. OPS: SR 57 -> SSR 69 (2nd print), Sell_Rank 2; 88.5% label tiered to 50% (close above 25.67 rung); new rung 25.20 (close - 1 ATR); target,251. · news

decided @ 25.94 · stop 25.20 · t1w 25.30 · t4w 23.81 · t12w 19.54

VeriSign is +10% on cost but its 12-week view has gone flat and it sits 1.5 ATR under its trailing stop; bank 30% of the gain. OPS: ADR-0012 armed (Gain_ATR 3.39) + fresh tick (c) T12 282.39 < 1.02x close; 1 tick -> 30%; new rung 274.50; target. · news

decided @ 282.07 · stop 274.50 · t1w 286.61 · t4w 297.20 · t12w 282.39

Apple is up 10.5% on cost and a fresh RSI divergence fired the armed profit-take; it trades above the street target at a rich multiple, so bank 30% and trail the rest. OPS: ADR-0012 armed (Gain_ATR 5.05) + tick (a) RSI_DIV; G1 n/a (FailedBreakdown_Up HOLD 47); MoS -3.14 tier bump suppressed by G2 (T12 380 >> DCF 237); trail raised 326.25 -> 328.21; target,986. · news

decided @ 341.07 · stop 328.21 · t1w 344.93 · t4w 353.93 · t12w 380.38

Capital One's sell signal strengthened to 75 while price sits below its 200-day average with a -15% 12-week view; use Friday's bounce to halve the balance. OPS: SR 57 -> SSR 69 -> SSR 75, Sell_Rank 1; up-ranked over ALLY on deeper-negative MoS; new rung 195.24; target. · news

decided @ 200.20 · stop 195.24 · t1w 197.18 · t4w 190.13 · t12w 169.40

Moody's has printed strong-sell four sessions running and closed below both its pre-committed 458.20 stop rung and its 200-day average, with a -14% 12-week view; exit the remaining stake. OPS: pre-committed 09-28 trigger (close < 458.20 sells balance); -0.33 ATR break; target. · news

decided @ 454.82 · stop 458.20 · t1w 448.46 · t4w 433.61 · t12w 391.20

DaVita broke down 4.6% to, a decisive close below both its stop and its 200-day average, and the engine flipped to sell with a 12-week view of -24%, so we halve the losing position. OPS: stop break -0.91 ATR + below EMA200 + neg 12wk (L2) + SELL-REDUCE 65 (model 49% -> tier 50%); BreakdownDown_20D|sell cell bias 0 (n=6). New rung (close - 1 ATR); model stop. · news

decided @ 174.67 · stop 168.48 · t1w 170.55 · t4w 160.93 · t12w 133.44

Coca-Cola has printed strong-sell for a 3rd straight close and the 12-week view is flat (+0.5%) with the position up 4.7% and 99% of the way to its 12-week target, so we bank 30% of the gain. OPS: ADR-0012 profit-take, armed + tick (c) T12 88.57 < 1.02x close; displaced by the cap on 09-23 (L3 - no third deferral). Label Portion 88.5% held to the 30% profit-take tier; MoS -2.09 no bump (G2 suppresses anyway, T12 >> DCF). Balance on rung. · news

decided @ 88.10 · stop 85.95 · t1w 88.15 · t4w 88.26 · t12w 88.57

Liberty Live (A) flipped from no-trade to strong-sell 71 on a failed breakout, with a 12-week view of -12.5% on a position already down 7%, so we halve it. OPS: fresh print; label Portion 88.5% (full-exit target) tiered to 50% because the print is single-session and the close is above the stop; FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell +3 (n=61). Valuation NA. New rung (close - 1 ATR). LLYVK (same underlying) displaced by the cap.

decided @ 96.43 · stop 93.73 · t1w 95.22 · t4w 92.40 · t12w 84.33

Apple is up 10.5% on cost and a fresh RSI divergence fired the armed profit-take; it trades above the street target at a rich multiple, so bank 30% and trail the rest. OPS: ADR-0012 armed (Gain_ATR 5.05) + tick (a) RSI_DIV; G1 n/a (FailedBreakdown_Up HOLD 47); MoS -3.14 tier bump suppressed by G2 (T12 380 >> DCF 237); trail raised 326.25 -> 328.21; target,986. · news

decided @ 341.07 · stop 328.21 · t1w 344.93 · t4w 353.93 · t12w 380.38

Ally has closed below its stop for a second session (now -0.81 ATR), is on its third sell-side print, sits below its 200-day average and carries a -24% 12-week view; we cut 30% because the valuation reads cheap. OPS: SR 59; pledged 09-22 re-arm (close <=) hit at. UNDERVALUED argues the model 49% down one tier to 30%. Balance, new rung (close - 1 ATR).

decided @ 38.58 · stop 37.52 · t1w 37.65 · t4w 35.46 · t12w 29.23

Capital One's sell signal strengthened to 75 while price sits below its 200-day average with a -15% 12-week view; use Friday's bounce to halve the balance. OPS: SR 57 -> SSR 69 -> SSR 75, Sell_Rank 1; up-ranked over ALLY on deeper-negative MoS; new rung 195.24; target. · news

decided @ 200.20 · stop 195.24 · t1w 197.18 · t4w 190.13 · t12w 169.40

Bank of America closed below the rung we set (vs) and slipped under its 200-day average, and the model's 12-week view is now (-14.8%). The engine has printed no-trade for six sessions while the price ground down, and the whole bank group is de-risking after the CEO's investment-banking fee warning and a 5% 10-year yield. Sell half. OPS: L2 + US-1 (NO-TRADE bleed) + close < EMA200 with negative 12wk (trend-exit contrast case). Rung breach -0.38 ATR is shallow (inside the -0.4 graze band on its own); the EMA200 + neg-12wk trend exit carries it. Largest dollar bleed in the book. Valuation OVERVALUED_VS_RI MoS -0.34 no tier bump; NoTrade|sell -1 not applied (L2 own basis). Balance; new rung (close - 1 ATR) -> sell the balance. · news

decided @ 56.20 · stop 54.75 · t1w 55.37 · t4w 53.42 · t12w 47.87

Moody's has printed a strong-sell four sessions running (conviction back up to 75) and is closing below both its 50- and 200-day averages, with the 12-week view at (-11.3%). The business is solid (strong Q2) but the trend has turned and the stock is priced above its residual-income anchor. Sell half of the remaining stake. OPS: stable REDUCE SSR ->, FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell +3 (n=60, hit_1w.636) -> adj 78. Close < EMA200 + negative 12wk = trend-exit. Halved at the 09-21 open; the 09-21 EOD held on the rung to avoid re-selling a day later - a 4th print plus the EMA200 break is new information. MoS -0.96 no tier bump. Balance; rung retained (model) -> close below sells the balance. · news

decided @ 469.25 · stop 450.30 · t1w 463.96 · t4w 451.63 · t12w 416.40

Nucor has sat below its stop for four sessions after guiding Q3 earnings below the Street, and the model's 12-week view is below the close. It has been pushed out by bigger exits three times; we promised it the next slot, so sell half now. OPS: L2 (close vs stop = -0.95 ATR decisive; T12 < close) + ADR-0012 tick (c). L3/US-1: 4th session displaced, stop re-recommending. Chosen over ALLY for slot #3 despite ALLY's larger $: NUE's break is decisive, ALLY's is a -0.35 ATR graze. Balance; new rung (close - 1 ATR) -> sell the balance. · news

decided @ 245.66 · stop 237.23 · t1w 244.57 · t4w 242.03 · t12w 234.76

Chubb has now printed a strong-sell three sessions running on the book's most reliable exit pattern, with the 12-week view at (-6.8%), so we take another slice - but only the minimum, because on our valuation it is modestly cheap and a quality insurer. OPS: stable REDUCE SSR -> 66, FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell +3 (n=59, hit_1w.636) -> adj 69, clears 65. Engine 88.52%; stable-REDUCE 50% argued DOWN one tier to 30% by UNDERVALUED (MoS +0.01, selling cheap - trim the minimum). Third cut (30% 09-14, 50% 09-17). Close vs rung not breached. Balance; rung retained (model lower, never lower a stop) -> close below sells 50% of the balance. · news

decided @ 337.26 · stop 331.74 · t1w 334.96 · t4w 329.60 · t12w 314.29

Coca-Cola closed through the stop we set last week (vs) the same day the strong-sell print faded, and the model's 12-week view has flattened to (+0.8%), so the pre-committed second rung fires: sell half the balance and keep the rest on a tighter rung. The business is fine (volume +5%, raised guidance) but the move has stalled and the stock is fully priced against its cash-flow anchor. OPS: 09-18 RE-ARM rung 'close below -> SELL 50% of the balance' FIRED (-0.49 ATR, outside the -0.4 graze band). ADR-0012 armed (T12_Progress 99.2) + tick (c) FIRED (T12 < 1.02x close); tick (b) = -19, misses. Two bases -> 50% (profit_take_2 tier via rung). Signal now AVOID 49 RallySell_BearTrend (+5 cell), below floor on its own - the rung + tick originate. MoS -2.09 no tier bump. Balance; new rung (close - 1 ATR, below EMA50) -> sell the balance. 12wk exceeds DCF anchor. · news

decided @ 87.12 · stop 85.95 · t1w 87.19 · t4w 87.36 · t12w 87.83

Liberty Live (Series C) has now closed below its stop two sessions in a row with the model's 12-week view at (-14.7%) and the engine stuck on no-trade for an eighth session; that combination is this book's standing exit rule, and last EOD we promised it the next slot. Sell half. OPS: L2 (stop-break + negative 12wk) - 09-18 close = -0.90 ATR decisive; 09-21 close still below (-0.12 ATR). Pledged 09-18 'first in line next EOD'. Valuation NA (no fairvalue row), val_adj 0; NoTrade|sell cell -1 not applied (L2 is its own basis). L3: no more re-recommending. Balance; new rung (close - 1.5 ATR) -> sell the balance. LLYVA (close vs stop) not breached. · news

decided @ 98.38 · stop 94.35 · t1w 96.94 · t4w 93.57 · t12w 83.95

Coca-Cola closed through the stop we set last week (vs) the same day the strong-sell print faded, and the model's 12-week view has flattened to (+0.8%), so the pre-committed second rung fires: sell half the balance and keep the rest on a tighter rung. The business is fine (volume +5%, raised guidance) but the move has stalled and the stock is fully priced against its cash-flow anchor. OPS: 09-18 RE-ARM rung 'close below -> SELL 50% of the balance' FIRED (-0.49 ATR, outside the -0.4 graze band). ADR-0012 armed (T12_Progress 99.2) + tick (c) FIRED (T12 < 1.02x close); tick (b) = -19, misses. Two bases -> 50% (profit_take_2 tier via rung). Signal now AVOID 49 RallySell_BearTrend (+5 cell), below floor on its own - the rung + tick originate. MoS -2.09 no tier bump. Balance; new rung (close - 1 ATR, below EMA50) -> sell the balance. 12wk exceeds DCF anchor. · news

decided @ 87.12 · stop 85.95 · t1w 87.19 · t4w 87.36 · t12w 87.83

Moody's has printed a strong-sell four sessions running (conviction back up to 75) and is closing below both its 50- and 200-day averages, with the 12-week view at (-11.3%). The business is solid (strong Q2) but the trend has turned and the stock is priced above its residual-income anchor. Sell half of the remaining stake. OPS: stable REDUCE SSR ->, FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell +3 (n=60, hit_1w.636) -> adj 78. Close < EMA200 + negative 12wk = trend-exit. Halved at the 09-21 open; the 09-21 EOD held on the rung to avoid re-selling a day later - a 4th print plus the EMA200 break is new information. MoS -0.96 no tier bump. Balance; rung retained (model) -> close below sells the balance. · news

decided @ 469.25 · stop 450.30 · t1w 463.96 · t4w 451.63 · t12w 416.40

Sirius XM closed decisively through our protective stop (vs) with a 12-week view of (-11%) and the model now printing a sell, so we halve the position that is already 10% under cost. The early-September Deutsche Bank upgrade has been fully given back - the stock has slid from since - and we stop waiting for it. OPS: L2 stop-break + negative-12wk exit (close -0.79 ATR under the stop, beyond the -0.4 ATR graze band that held it on 09-17); the L2 basis bypasses the RallySell_BearTrend|sell -8 haircut (adj 47 would otherwise fail the floor). L3: act the first EOD it triggers. Quality_Pass False, FAIR_VALUE - no tier change. Stop re-based to the model's on the cut. Next rung: close below -> sell the balance. · news

decided @ 27.31 · stop 25.67 · t1w 27.00 · t4w 26.29 · t12w 24.24

Apple has run from to in the five sessions since the iPhone 18 Pro keynote - a +6.9% move that leaves the position 9.2% above our cost and stretched nearly 5% above its volume-weighted average price. The model's confidence in the move halved overnight even as the price held, which is the classic signature of a rally running out of buyers. We bank roughly a third of the gain into the retail launch weekend, where Apple has historically 'sold the news', and keep 70% of the shares because the 12-week view is still constructive at OPS: ADR-0012 profit-take - ARMED (Gain_ATR 4.02, T12_Progress 91.3, T12 > close) + FIRED on tick (b), conviction -26 vs the prior EOD snapshot. G1 softening does not apply (conviction 43 < 80) and ticks (b)/(c)/(d) fire regardless. Tier held at profit_take_1 = 30%: the MoS_FV -3.06 one-tier bump is SUPPRESSED by G2, the DCF-reliability gate (DCF anchor vs a close and a 12-week target is unreliable; FV_per_share is plainly broken). Never 100% from a profit-take. Trail raised ->. Catalyst note: iPhone 18 Pro first retail weekend 18-Sep and quarterly triple witching the same session - 70% stays exposed through both. The 4wk/12wk estimates are UP, not down: this is a de-risk into strength, not an exit. · news

decided @ 337.00 · stop 322.23 · t1w 349.98 · t4w 380.26 · t12w 369.09

Chubb has rolled over: the insurer closed at, back below its 50-day average, and the model's 12-week view has turned negative at (-6.0%), so we are taking half the position off while the stock is still only 3% under our cost. The sell signal has now printed in three of the last four sessions on the book's most reliable exit pattern, and the shares failed to join Thursday's broad market rebound. We keep half because the business is not expensive - our own fair-value work still reads Chubb as modestly undervalued, which is why this is a half-sale rather than an exit. OPS: engine portion 88.52% cut one tier to 50% on the UNDERVALUED valuation read (CLAUDE.md s9 amplify-only, argue-down). Scorecard cell FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell +1 (n=55, hit_1w.528) -> adj 66, clears the 65 floor. The EOD 09-16 re-arm (close <) did NOT fire; this is originated by the live printed signal, not the rung. Stop re-based to (model exit stop) and peak_stop re-based on the cut. Next rung: close below -> sell the balance. · news

decided @ 341.90 · stop 331.74 · t1w 339.86 · t4w 335.09 · t12w 321.48

NVR has printed a strong-sell in four straight sessions and sits below both its 50-day and 200-day averages with a 12-week view of (-10.1%). The homebuilder barely participated in Thursday's rally, up 0.9% against the S&P's 1.1%, and is fighting a 10-year Treasury above 5% after the Fed's hike - the wrong backdrop for mortgage-sensitive names. The holding is a 3-share, stub left from the seed and there is no case for keeping a deteriorating position at a size too small to matter - we close it out. OPS: engine portion 88.52% of = 2.66, rounds to 3 at the US lot of 1, so this is a full exit. Signal exit (stable REDUCE x4, Sell_Rank #3), NOT a profit-take, so the never-100% rule does not apply. Adj 76 clears the floor. Ranked into slot 3 on dollar bleed with loss-prevention precedence over NUE's displaced profit-take. 12wk annotation: exceeds the DCF anchor of - projection assumes growth beyond priced-in. Position removed from state on fill.

decided @ 6242.23 · t1w 6179.24 · t4w 6032.27 · t12w 5612.34

Ally printed a second straight high-conviction STRONG SELL - REDUCE on a 20-day breakdown, fell another 3% to - decisively below its old risk line and its 200-day average - and carries the worst 12-week view in the book (-16.9%). We halve it. RE-ISSUE and STEP-UP of the unfilled 09-15 SELL 30% card (invalid execution "market_on_open"). Tier raised % because all three reasons for the minimum have cleared: the signal is now stable (2 prints), the stop break is decisive (-1.03 ATR, L2 backing), and the FOMC event has passed. UNDERVALUED (MoS +0.09, Quality_Pass False) argues down one tier from the engine 88.52% -> 50%. Report-only: BreakdownDown_20D|sell is 0-for-3 at 1wk/4wk (n=3 < 5, no bias applied). Balance. Stop. Next rung: close below -> sell 50% of the balance. · news

decided @ 40.31 · stop 39.44 · t1w 39.63 · t4w 38.03 · t12w 33.48

Bank of America closed below the risk line we set after Monday's first cut, on a third straight NO TRADE print, and its 12-week view has now turned negative (-6.2% to). The hawkish Fed hike and 5% ten-year added to the pressure, so we take the pre-committed second rung. L2 basis (stop-break + negative 12wk) now strictly satisfied - on 09-14 the 12wk was flat. Pre-committed rung from EOD 2026-09-14: "a close below -> SELL 50% of the balance". Break is -1.03% / -0.35 ATR (inside the -0.4 ATR graze band), but the rung was written as a close-below trigger, the forward view flipped negative, and US-1/L3 forbid deferring. RSI 28.5 oversold and close still above EMA200 - which is why this is 50% and not a full exit. OVERVALUED_VS_RI MoS -0.45, no tier change. NoTrade_Reason: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". Balance. Stop re-based to (16-Sep low 57.18 - 0.25 ATR) on the cut; next rung: close below or below EMA200 -> exit the balance. · news

decided @ 57.90 · stop 56.75 · t1w 57.54 · t4w 56.70 · t12w 54.31

Capital One has now closed below its risk line for a fourth straight session, has slipped under its 200-day average, and its 12-week view is -6.9%. We halve the position. RE-ISSUE: the 09-15 SELL 50% card never filled - it was written with execution "market_on_open", which the paper executor does not recognise, so it was silently skipped. Origination is L2 (stop-break + negative 12wk) plus close below EMA200 - NOT the conviction floor: AVOID cv52 on RallySell_BearTrend|sell (-8, n=17, hit_1w.125) gives adj 44. The cell sizes it to 50% rather than the full position. MoS -0.27, no tier bump. Balance. Stop (re-based on this cut). Next rung: close below -> exit the balance. · news

decided @ 203.19 · stop 197.34 · t1w 201.78 · t4w 198.49 · t12w 189.09

Chevron pulled back 2.9% to and printed a fresh BUY - ADD on the pullback-to-VWAP setup, the book's one positive buy cell, with a +18.8% 12-week view. We queue a buy-limit add at the model entry rather than chase the close. Adj conviction 73 - 4 (MoS -0.87) + 1 (PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy n=9) = 70. Entry_Distance_ATR -0.39 -> queued, not bought. Quality_Pass False does not block ADDs. Size 29.97% x 773 =, size_mod 1.0. Buys back part of the 30% profit-take sold 15-Sep @, ~3.5% cheaper. Position trail stays: if CVX closes below before the fill, WITHDRAW the queue; after a fill, a close below fires the 30% profit-take on the combined; hard risk stop for the add lot. Expires 2026-09-21. · news

decided @ 209.43 · stop 198.54 · t1w 213.22 · t4w 222.07 · t12w 248.70

Bank of America closed below the risk line we set after Monday's first cut, on a third straight NO TRADE print, and its 12-week view has now turned negative (-6.2% to). The hawkish Fed hike and 5% ten-year added to the pressure, so we take the pre-committed second rung. L2 basis (stop-break + negative 12wk) now strictly satisfied - on 09-14 the 12wk was flat. Pre-committed rung from EOD 2026-09-14: "a close below -> SELL 50% of the balance". Break is -1.03% / -0.35 ATR (inside the -0.4 ATR graze band), but the rung was written as a close-below trigger, the forward view flipped negative, and US-1/L3 forbid deferring. RSI 28.5 oversold and close still above EMA200 - which is why this is 50% and not a full exit. OVERVALUED_VS_RI MoS -0.45, no tier change. NoTrade_Reason: "Consensus conflict + low conviction". Balance. Stop re-based to (16-Sep low 57.18 - 0.25 ATR) on the cut; next rung: close below or below EMA200 -> exit the balance. · news

decided @ 57.90 · stop 56.75 · t1w 57.54 · t4w 56.70 · t12w 54.31

Chubb has now printed a second consecutive STRONG SELL - REDUCE on a failed 20-day breakout, and its 12-week view has turned negative (-6.4% to) even though the shares have gone nowhere for two sessions. We take a second 30% tranche off the largest remaining loss-prevention candidate in the book. Conviction is decaying, not building, so this is a laddered de-risk rather than an exit. Sell cell FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell is the book's most reliable (+1, n=54, hit_1w.528). Valuation argues DOWN a tier, not up: MoS_FV +0.008 UNDERVALUED, so we take the minimum 30% and not the engine's 88.52% portion (Quality_Pass False makes that undervaluation low-confidence). Second rung after the cut filled at the 15-Sep open @. Stop raised 330.89 -> 331.77; peak_stop re-bases on the cut (ADR-0020). Balance / Executes into the 16-Sep FOMC morning - see the flagged assumption in the verdict banner. Next rung: a close below -> SELL 50% of the balance. · news

decided @ 341.86 · stop 331.77 · t1w 339.67 · t4w 334.55 · t12w 319.93

Kraft Heinz closed below its risk line for a fourth straight session - wider than when we sold half - and its twelve-week outlook has slipped to ~8% lower, so we exit the remaining position as the prior card planned. L2: close vs stop = -2.41% / -0.91 ATR (widened from -1.09%), 2nd close below EMA200, Target_12Week = -8.24%; position -4.34% on cost. Engine AVOID cv52 RallySell_BearTrend (-8 -> adj 44), so origination is L2 not signal. FAIR_VALUE MoS -0.618 - no tier change. Escalation ladder completes (09-11: half now, balance on next break). First NYSE session - mechanical. 1wk (f=0.30), 4wk (Target_Price), 12wk. · news

decided @ 24.27 · stop 24.87 · t1w 24.23 · t4w 24.15 · t12w 22.27

Chevron is our best position, up over a quarter on cost and stretched ten ATR above it, and it has just printed an RSI divergence into a record high. We bank the minimum tier - 30% - and stay long the other 70%, because the case for the name is intact: Piper Sandler lifted its target to a Street-high analysts rate it Strong Buy, and management is guiding to a tight oil market. Taking a slice of a ten-ATR gain is risk discipline, not a change of view. ADR-0012: PROFIT_ARMED (Gain_ATR 10.43, +26.51% on cost) + fire tick (a) RSI_DIV on the same row = 1 tick -> profit_take_1 = 30%. G1 softening does NOT apply (signal is FailedBreakdown_Up_20D, not BreakoutUp_*/MomentumContinuation_*, and cv69 < 80). Tick (b) not fired - per the 09-10 ruling a flip to/from NoTrade cv0 is governed by (d), not (b); (c) not fired (T12 = 1.182x close); (d) not fired. News classified OVERRIDES and applied as a DEMOTE: it caps the trim at the minimum tier and blocks any valuation bump - it does not cancel a mandatory profit-take. Valuation FAIR_VALUE MoS -0.868 (not <= -3) so no bump anyway; 12wk < DCF so no DCF-anchor warning. Balance, trail stays. Estimates use f=0.30 (calib_1w = -0.086, degenerate, L5, 12th consecutive session). · news

decided @ 214.06 · stop 205.84 · t1w 216.64 · t4w 222.66 · t12w 253.10

Kraft Heinz closed below its risk line for a fourth straight session - wider than when we sold half - and its twelve-week outlook has slipped to ~8% lower, so we exit the remaining position as the prior card planned. L2: close vs stop = -2.41% / -0.91 ATR (widened from -1.09%), 2nd close below EMA200, Target_12Week = -8.24%; position -4.34% on cost. Engine AVOID cv52 RallySell_BearTrend (-8 -> adj 44), so origination is L2 not signal. FAIR_VALUE MoS -0.618 - no tier change. Escalation ladder completes (09-11: half now, balance on next break). First NYSE session - mechanical. 1wk (f=0.30), 4wk (Target_Price), 12wk. · news

decided @ 24.27 · stop 24.87 · t1w 24.23 · t4w 24.15 · t12w 22.27

Liberty Live has traded below its risk line for five straight sessions with a twelve-week view around 14% lower and no valuation anchor to lean on - the signal has qualified for an exit every session and has been passed over four times for want of a slot. We stop deferring and cut half. L2 basis: close vs stop (-1.35%, -0.51 ATR), 5th consecutive break, Target_12Week = -14.19%, NoTrade cv0 x4. Position FIFTH deferral closed per L3/US-1 and the 09-10 promise ('carded exit on the next EOD'). Half rather than the original 09-03 89% card because the break NARROWED this session (-1.86% -> -1.35%) and the close reclaimed EMA200 on a +0.53% day - take the escalating ladder, not the whole line. Balance keeps the stop; re-fire the remainder on any further close below. Valuation is NA (negative, no FV/sh) so no amplify either way. No company news on either approved source. 1wk/4wk n/a - NoTrade row prints no Target_Price; next-session model band -.

decided @ 97.36 · stop 98.69 · t12w 83.54

American Express keeps grinding lower: the shares closed at, below every major moving average including the 200-day at, and the model's 12-week view of implies a further 13% downside. The valuation work marks it OVERVALUED on a residual-income basis, and while the business is fine - Q2 revenue grew 19% and management still guides to 10% full-year growth - the chart has been broken for months and credit-quality questions are building. We are cutting half the position and keeping the rest, rather than defending a name the market has marked down for a quarter. Trend-exit basis (close below EMA200 + negative 12wk), NOT the conviction floor: tonight's engine label flipped to a bullish ReversalUp_Oversold at cv57, which does not clear 65 and whose |sell cell has n=1. Portion held at 50% because the reversal setup argues against a full cut. 7th consecutive ask (L3/US-1); the six prior cards never executed - executor blocked since 2026-08-18. Stop on the 17,330-sh remainder held at (never lower a trail). Engine printed Target_Price ABOVE the close on this row - a long-side target, not the exit path; 4wk time-scaled from the 12wk instead. · news

decided @ 320.71 · stop 317.92 · t1w 316.44 · t4w 306.47 · t12w 278.03

We are exiting Delta completely. The stock has closed below our risk line for seven straight sessions, the position is 15.6% underwater, and the model's 12-week view of implies another 21% of downside. The reason is fuel: management flagged a $4bn increase in 2026 fuel costs and second-quarter fuel expense was up 77% year-on-year, the highest quarterly fuel bill in the airline's history. Delta has reaffirmed full-year guidance and raised its dividend 15%, but a stock the market marks lower through good guidance and into a crude-oil shock is telling a different story than its income statement. Basis L2 (decisive stop-break + negative 12wk) on four consecutive NO TRADE prints; `NoTrade|sell` bias +0 (n=57). 7th consecutive ask - the six prior full-exit cards never filled (executor blocked). Action price is the anchor close; the row prints no Entry_Price. Drop the stop from the monitor after the fill. · news

decided @ 78.24 · t1w 76.63 · t4w 72.87 · t12w 62.12

American Express keeps grinding lower: the shares closed at, below every major moving average including the 200-day at, and the model's 12-week view of implies a further 13% downside. The valuation work marks it OVERVALUED on a residual-income basis, and while the business is fine - Q2 revenue grew 19% and management still guides to 10% full-year growth - the chart has been broken for months and credit-quality questions are building. We are cutting half the position and keeping the rest, rather than defending a name the market has marked down for a quarter. Trend-exit basis (close below EMA200 + negative 12wk), NOT the conviction floor: tonight's engine label flipped to a bullish ReversalUp_Oversold at cv57, which does not clear 65 and whose |sell cell has n=1. Portion held at 50% because the reversal setup argues against a full cut. 7th consecutive ask (L3/US-1); the six prior cards never executed - executor blocked since 2026-08-18. Stop on the 17,330-sh remainder held at (never lower a trail). Engine printed Target_Price ABOVE the close on this row - a long-side target, not the exit path; 4wk time-scaled from the 12wk instead. · news

decided @ 320.71 · stop 317.92 · t1w 316.44 · t4w 306.47 · t12w 278.03

Moody's has broken down and the news now agrees with the chart. The stock closed at, 5.4% below our risk line and for the first time decisively under its 200-day average, and the 12-week view has flipped negative. Peer S&P Global's weak 2026 outlook knocked the whole ratings-and-analytics group lower, Moody's itself trimmed 2026 operating-margin guidance to 44-45%, and it has just put the business-development-company sector on negative outlook - a direct read-through to the private-credit issuance that drives its own revenue. It is a high-quality business (3rd best quality rank in this book) but marked OVERVALUED, so we halve rather than exit. Escalated exactly as promised on the 09-09 card: close stayed below and the 12wk stayed negative (-1.26% -> -4.35%). Basis is L2 + EMA200 break, not the conviction floor - `RallySell_BearTrend|sell` is the book's worst cell at -8 (n=15, hit.077), which haircuts cv52 to 44 and is why the portion is 50%, not the engine's 88.5%. Stop on the 2,502-sh remainder RE-BASED -> (close - 1.5 ATR), earned by the cut and conditional on the fill. Engine printed Target_Price ABOVE the close on an AVOID row again - 4wk time-scaled from the 12wk. · news

decided @ 467.36 · stop 450.30 · t1w 465.33 · t4w 460.58 · t12w 447.04

Still the strongest signal in the book by a wide margin, and the queued add stands. Liberty Live keeps grinding to new highs with conviction at the top of the book, so we are repricing the limit up to where the model now wants to buy rather than leaving a stale order below the market that never fills. OPS: 2nd reprice ( ->, the printed Entry_Price; ran +1.87% > 1.5%). expires_on HELD at 2026-08-18 - a reprice does not buy a queue more time. Valuation layer blind on this line (NA_FV, negative book value) -> val_adj 0, quality gate off. Trail raised ->. Counterfactual no_chase_queue costs a median +3.00% at 1wk over n=16, which is exactly why the limit moves to the market rather than sitting under it. 1wk = f=0.30 off Target_Price.

decided @ 104.77 · stop 100.05 · t1w 109.01 · t4w 118.92 · t12w 112.90

Same underlying and same case as the Class A line - second-highest conviction in the book, still making new highs. The limit is repriced up to the model's live entry so the order can actually fill instead of trailing the market. OPS: 2nd reprice ( ->, printed Entry_Price; ran +1.80%). expires_on HELD 2026-08-18. NA_FV -> val_adj 0, quality gate off. Trail raised ->. Execute alongside LLYVA. 1wk = f=0.30 off Target_Price.

decided @ 108.68 · stop 103.90 · t1w 113.98 · t4w 123.01 · t12w 117.69

Still the strongest signal in the book by a wide margin, and the queued add stands. Liberty Live keeps grinding to new highs with conviction at the top of the book, so we are repricing the limit up to where the model now wants to buy rather than leaving a stale order below the market that never fills. OPS: 2nd reprice ( ->, the printed Entry_Price; ran +1.87% > 1.5%). expires_on HELD at 2026-08-18 - a reprice does not buy a queue more time. Valuation layer blind on this line (NA_FV, negative book value) -> val_adj 0, quality gate off. Trail raised ->. Counterfactual no_chase_queue costs a median +3.00% at 1wk over n=16, which is exactly why the limit moves to the market rather than sitting under it. 1wk = f=0.30 off Target_Price.

decided @ 104.77 · stop 100.05 · t1w 109.01 · t4w 118.92 · t12w 112.90

Same underlying and same case as the Class A line - second-highest conviction in the book, still making new highs. The limit is repriced up to the model's live entry so the order can actually fill instead of trailing the market. OPS: 2nd reprice ( ->, printed Entry_Price; ran +1.80%). expires_on HELD 2026-08-18. NA_FV -> val_adj 0, quality gate off. Trail raised ->. Execute alongside LLYVA. 1wk = f=0.30 off Target_Price.

decided @ 108.68 · stop 103.90 · t1w 113.98 · t4w 123.01 · t12w 117.69

Carried from the 08-12 verdict, still unfilled at the executor. AAPL closed, +1.00% ABOVE the card price -- the lag has helped. Still 4x NO TRADE with a negative 12wk. Not re-issued tonight; no stacking.

decided @ 302.25 · stop 300.00 · t12w 295.85

Carried from 08-12, still unfilled. BAC closed, -1.11% BELOW the card price -- the lag cost on the slice. Conviction continued to collapse 45 -> NO TRADE cv0. Not re-issued; no stacking.

decided @ 64.81 · stop 62.54 · t12w 76.60

Re-fires 30% (armed + tick (c), 12wk = -8.2%) after the 08-11 30% cut filled at. Label degraded HOLD cv52 -> AVOID cv50 on FailedBreakout_Down_20D. The overlay's standing 'invalidated when close below 345' override stays invalidated (close). Deferred on slot arithmetic only. Note the printed Stop_Price is a SHORT-side level on an AVOID row -- ignored; the long stop stays. · news

decided @ 343.54 · stop 319.70 · t12w 315.34

Apple has fallen about 10% since its 30-July earnings and the model has refused to give it a tradable signal for five straight sessions while its twelve-week outlook has slipped below the current price. Management's own flag of a '100-year flood' in memory pricing is a real margin drag, Jefferies moved to underperform with a target on 10-Aug, and the position is now underwater for us. We halve what is left rather than wait for a signal the engine is not producing. The counterweight is honest: the 46-analyst consensus target of still sits about 7% above the price and Wedbush is at so this is a de-risk into an unresolved argument, not a verdict that Apple is broken. OPS: ADR-0012 armed (T12_Progress 102.3) + tick (c) dead 12wk (, -2.2%) + tick (d) 5 consecutive NO TRADE -> 2 ticks -> profit_take_2 = 50%. HONEST CAVEAT: Unreal -2.07%, Gain_ATR -0.83 -- this is a LOSING position wearing a PROFIT_ARMED flag; the arm comes purely from the T12_Progress clause (Systemic finding 1, third night). Valuation MoS -2.83 -> val_adj -10 but no tier bump (-2.83 > -3). Scorecard NoTrade|sell flipped to +1 this run (n=19, hit_1w.538). No Target_Price on a NO TRADE row -> 4wk n/a, 1wk interpolated off the 12wk at f=0.30 (L5, calib_1w 0.006 degenerate). 12wk exceeds the DCF anchor -- projection assumes growth beyond priced-in. Cumulative cut reaches 82.5% of the 49,865-sh seed lot. Stop held on the residual. · news

decided @ 302.25 · stop 300.00 · t1w 300.23 · t12w 295.52

Moody's has gone four sessions without a tradable signal, its twelve-week outlook has now dipped below the current price, and the company itself cut 2026 operating-margin guidance while leaning harder on buybacks -- a company its share price rather than growing into it. On top of that, investors are actively re-rating Moody's exposure to deteriorating private-credit recoveries, and the most-followed fair-value narrative now sits below the market price. We take the second half of the position off and keep a third of the original stake. OPS: ADR-0012 armed (T12_Progress 100.5) + tick (c) dead 12wk (, -0.5%) + tick (d) 4x NO TRADE -> 2 ticks -> profit_take_2 = 50%. This card was ledgered optional:true on 08-11 and deferred once -- L3 says stop re-deferring, so it executes tonight. Same PROFIT_ARMED-on-a-loss caveat as AAPL (Unreal -2.20%). Valuation MoS -1.00 -> val_adj -5, no tier bump. Ex-div on 08-14: selling at the 08-13 open forgoes on the sold slice -- immaterial, stated. Stop held on the residual. · news

decided @ 477.84 · stop 461.27 · t1w 477.11 · t12w 475.42

A live SELL - REDUCE (Portion 49%, conviction 55, BreakdownDown_20D) with the most negative forward view in the book: 12wk = -33.3%. Already halved twice (08-07 and 08-12 fills). Deferred on size --. RSI 33.4 continues to argue against selling the low a fifth time. Stop raised ->.

decided @ 63.95 · stop 59.62 · t12w 42.66

DaVita fell 17% on results that were actually fine - adjusted EPS, revenue 55bn, treatment volumes ahead of plan and full-year guidance reaffirmed. What the market repriced is forward reimbursement: revenue per treatment slipped on a weaker commercial insurance mix, and CMS has proposed folding phosphate binders into the 2027 dialysis bundle at a rate update below the industry's cost trend. That is a structural de-rating rather than a bad quarter, so we halve the position to respect a risk line that was broken by 15% and keep the rest, because the rule is only proposed and the shares are deeply oversold. Exit basis: decisive stop-loss break (close 188.69 vs standing 222.80 = -15.31%) on 1.8x volume, closing near the 183.62 session low; anchor row NO TRADE cv0, Indeterminate consensus. Tier: 30% base bumped to 50% by MoS_FV -3.97 <= -3 (CLAUDE.md section 9b). G1/G2/G3 inapplicable - close is 17.4% below EMA20, this is loss prevention not a profit-trim. Stop RE-BASED 222.80 -> 158.04 (2.0xATR chandelier; the gap tripled ATR to 15.33). WATCH LINE: EMA200 - a decisive close below escalates the remaining to a full exit. 1wk/4wk n/a - Target_Price is blank on a NO TRADE row; engine band 132.08-205.26 tops out BELOW the 12wk 211.34. L2, L3 (execute promptly), L8. · news

stop 158.04 · t12w 211.34

The New York Times has a structural problem, not a bad quarter. Q2 added about 280,000 digital subscribers against 295,300 expected and 310,000 the quarter before - and it did that in a heavy news cycle, which is when this business is supposed to shine. Management pointed at falling Google search and referral traffic, and guided Q3 subscription revenue growth below consensus. The chart agrees: the stock fell more than 13% on the print, sits 10% below its 200-day average with RSI at 32, and the engine now prints STRONG SELL with a 12-week target of 51.95, nearly 20% under the current price. Half the position comes off here on top of the 30% already sold, leaving a smaller stake to close out if the selling label holds another session. Ops: 1,592 of at ~64.77, realizing roughly -on a -12.30% position; L2 satisfied on both limbs (stop break + negative 12wk); 50% rather than the engine's 88.52% because this is the first STRONG SELL print in the trail and MoS -1.81 is short of the -3 that would bump the tier; stop on the remainder raised to 56.44; 12wk target sits below the 68.16 DCF anchor so no over-projection flag. · news

decided @ 64.77 · stop 56.44 · t1w 63.70 · t12w 51.95

Occidental has run 10% above our cost and the model's own 12-week view has now rolled over below the current price, with the shares slipping under both their 20- and 50-day averages. On an oil name priced well above its cash-flow anchor, that combination is the signal to bank half the gain and let the rest run on a wider stop. The three-session hold for the earnings date is over - Q2 was released after Wednesday's close. ADR-0012: armed (PROFIT_ARMED, Gain_ATR 2.74, T12_Progress 103.76%, +10.02%) + tick (c) dead forward view (12wk 51.86 < 1.02 x 53.81 = 54.89, -3.62%). One tick -> profit_take_1 30%, bumped to 50% by MoS_FV -3.17 <= -3 (section 9b). G1/G2/G3 inapplicable - not an uptrending name (below EMA20 54.94 and EMA50 54.81, RSI 46.2, -2.3% on the day). EXECUTION CAVEAT (L8): Q2 released post-close 08-05, call 08-06 1pm ET; consensus was adj EPS on 18bn rev, production 1,390-1,430 Mboe/d. If the 08-06 open gaps more than ~1.5%, REPRICE this card before executing. Stop RE-BASED 53.77 -> 50.23 (model) - the inherited trail sat 0.02xATR below spot, a guaranteed whipsaw. 12wk exceeds the DCF anchor. L3, L8. · news

decided @ 53.81 · stop 50.23 · t1w 54.88 · t4w 57.39 · t12w 51.86

The C-share line is trimmed alongside the A-shares for the same reason and at the same time: two consecutive NO TRADE prints from the signal engine and a 12-week target of 347.57 that sits below today's 356.62 close, against a news backdrop of senior AI departures from DeepMind and a reported ~$80bn equity raise. Holding one Alphabet share class while cutting the other would leave the book with two contradictory views of one company. Ops: 161 of; ADR-0012 ticks (c)+(d), tier held at 30% per the 08-05 pre-commitment; G2 suppresses valuation-amplify (DCF 145.29); trail on the remainder held at 347.25. · news

decided @ 356.62 · stop 347.25 · t1w 355.86 · t12w 347.57

Alphabet is being de-risked, not written off. The signal engine has printed NO TRADE on two consecutive settled closes - it cannot read the name - and the 12-week view has turned negative at 347.13 against a 357.75 close, so the model sees no upside to pay for the uncertainty. The news explains why: Jeff Dean and Sanjay Ghemawat are leaving DeepMind to found their own company, which knocked the stock 4% on 05-Aug despite a Q2 that beat, and Reuters reports Alphabet seeking roughly $80bn in equity offerings on top of an already-raised capex guide. Valuation adds nothing to the case in either direction - at a 145 DCF anchor against a 347 price the intrinsic model has no view worth acting on - so this is a signal-originated trim, taking a third of the line off and holding the rest. Ops: 2,422 of; fires ADR-0012 ticks (c) dead 12wk + (d) 2x NO TRADE; tier held at 30% not the mechanical 50% because Unreal_PnL is -0.60% so the profit-take precondition is not truly met (see Systemic finding 1) and because the 08-05 card pre-committed to exactly; G2 suppresses the valuation-amplify path; trail on the remainder held at 348.52; cross-book: the us book fired the identical trim on tick (d) tonight, separate share lot, no L7 conflict. · news

decided @ 357.75 · stop 348.52 · t1w 356.86 · t12w 347.13

Nucor has been the book's best trade - up 24.1% on cost, 55% year to date - and the steel case is still intact, with hot-rolled coil back near a short ton on mill price increases, lengthening lead times and tariff-compressed imports, on top of a record quarter of 7.1m tons shipped and adjusted EPS of. But the stock has now run past the entire sell side: the 16-analyst consensus target of sits 6% BELOW the close, and the shares are printing a momentum divergence at an RSI of 71.5. That is the moment to bank a third of a very large gain and let the rest run. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0012 armed (Gain_ATR 5.26, the book's largest) + tick (a) RSI_DIV alongside PROFIT_ARMED. One tick -> profit_take_1 = 30%. This is a DIFFERENT tick from the four prior sessions, which fired only tick (d) on a structural Conflicted NoTrade and were correctly cancelled; the 07-31/08-03 bright line at is NOT hit (close 12.9% above it). G1 does not shelter it - the softening needs a fresh breakout/momentum print at conviction >= 80 and this is cv63. MoS -2.40 > -3, no tier bump. Not the NBIS error: that was a full valuation-basis trim into a trending breakout; this is the 30% minimum with (70%) left fully exposed and a 12wk of +22.4%. Hold; trail RAISED 242.55 -> 253.79 and the bright line re-bases with it - a close below trims the remainder with no further news exemption. 12wk exceeds DCF anchor. · news

decided @ 274.04 · stop 253.79 · t1w 291.79 · t4w 333.22 · t12w 335.53

America's second-largest bank just posted record net interest income and 34% earnings growth, and management guides full-year NII to the upper end of 6-8% - a business that gets BETTER if the Fed holds or hikes, which is exactly the risk the 29 July FOMC carries. The chart has caught up to the story: the pullback that never came has resolved into a fresh momentum-continuation breakout, and we are buying strength on a stop order rather than chasing it. The one caution is price versus book - at 1.5x tangible book the shares screen mildly rich on our residual-income model, so we add a measured tranche, not a full one. OPS: GTC buy-STOP @62.55 (fills only on strength, self-limiting into the FOMC print); = 29.97% ADD tranche x 1.0 size mod =. Entry band 62.27-62.83. Supersedes and WITHDRAWS the unfilled 07-24 PullbackBuy_VWAP limit @60.06 - family flipped PullbackBuy->MomentumContinuation per US-8, so the old order is void and the action price is repriced to the live 07-27 Entry_Price. MomentumContinuation_Up|buy cell is n=1 (report-only, 0-of-1) - no bias applied, but flagged. Quality_Pass False does NOT gate an ADD to a held name. RSI 68.7 with RSI_DIV but <75, so not a chase; EDATR +0.37 = at/below entry. expires_on 07-30. · news

decided @ 62.55 · stop 60.29 · t1w 64.58 · t4w 69.33 · t12w 74.84

Moody's Q2 beat and raised full-year guidance (revenue +15%, adjusted EPS +31% to, adj op-margin +440bp to 55.3%, FY adj-EPS midpoint) — a clean post-earnings PullbackBuy_VWAP we add to on a disciplined pullback rather than chasing the +1.8% post-beat close. Queued GTC limit @480.93 (1.8% below close),, size x0.75 for the -1.33 MoS; extended -0.61 ATR so pullback-only, no gap-chase (L6). Adj clears the 65 floor. 12wk 556.59 exceeds the DCF anchor. expires 07-27. · news

decided @ 480.93 · stop 464.18 · t1w 490.99 · t4w 514.49 · t12w 556.59

Chubb printed a fresh STRONG BUY-ADD on the reliable pullback-to-VWAP setup (cv85, Buy_Rank 1) as its Q2 results landed 07-21; we queue a below-close buy-limit that fills only on a pullback so we ride the trend without chasing the earnings pop. Extended -0.84 ATR past the 348.24 entry -> QUEUE not market (no-chase). Model add portion 99.33pct x 8,216 = (, a near-doubling ADD; within 60pct max-position +; scalable at user discretion). Val neutral (OVERVALUED_VS_RI MoS -0.028, val_adj 0, size x1.0). 12wk 386.36 exceeds RI FV anchor 345.17 -> growth-beyond-priced-in. L6-safe pullback-only limit into the Q2 call 07-22 8:30 ET. expires_on 07-24; execute 07-22 open. · news

decided @ 348.24 · stop 332.71 · t1w 353.65 · t4w 366.26 · t12w 386.36

Profit-take on an armed winner (+10.7%, Gain_ATR 4.8): conviction collapsed and the 12wk view is dead (176.34 < spot 187.38) despite a fresh BreakoutUp label — the forward view and consensus disagree with the breakout, so bank 30%. Already halved 07-14; one new tick -> profit_take_1 (30%), keep 1,104 to ride. G2 suppresses valuation amplify (DCF 82 unreliable vs Target 176). Raise chandelier trail 174->179.80. Executes at the 07-20 open (L8); reprice if the open gaps >1.5%.

decided @ 187.38 · stop 179.80 · t1w 184.07 · t4w 208.46 · t12w 176.34

A +15.5pct armed winner (Gain_ATR 5.02, T12 105.7pct) whose signal deteriorated hard this session — conviction collapsed (a bullish add-candidate flipping to a neutral hold) on a dead 12wk — so we bank a measured 30pct and keep 70pct to ride the trail. Fire tick (b) conviction collapse; persistent dead-12wk (c) does not escalate to 50pct (optional_trim counterfactual: trims give back -0.6pct). Valuation MoS -3.087 would bump but G2 suppresses the amplify (DCF 33.47 << Target 53.44). Keep; raise trail 52.06->53.48 (2.0xATR chandelier). News neutral: Evercore Outperform PT is 07-08 stale/priced-in, supports keeping the residual, does not cancel a signal-based partial. 4wk n/a (65.11 target not conviction-supported at cv22). · news

decided @ 56.50 · stop 53.48 · t1w 55.58 · t12w 53.44

Loss-prevention: KR broke its stop (60.03, -2.37%) and flipped to STRONG SELL-REDUCE below its 200-day EMA with a sharply negative 12-week view (43.91, -25%) — an L2 stop-break + neg-12wk exit, and not-trimming it on 07-09 already cost 5.5%. But KR is UNDERVALUED with Quality_Pass True (F-Score 7), so valuation argues down one tier: take only 50% ('sell the cheap, quality name at the minimum') and keep on stop 54.95. Executes at the 07-17 open (L8).

decided @ 58.61 · stop 54.95 · t1w 54.20 · t12w 43.91

Lennar's spring selling season came in weak — UBS cut its target to (Neutral) and JPMorgan to (Underweight) on lowered FY26 guidance, and the stock is -13.6% YTD. Technically a stable 3-print STRONG SELL-REDUCE trading below its 200-day EMA with a dead 12-week view (70.20, ~-19%): a valid trend exit despite the -7 whipsaw cell, since the below-200DMA + negative-forward stack is structural. Exit the Lennar complex (paired with LEN-B); residual winds down on stop 80.26. Executes at the 07-17 open (L8). · news

decided @ 86.40 · stop 80.26 · t1w 81.54 · t12w 70.20

Class B of the Lennar exit — broke its stop (88.14, -3.86%, loss-prevention) and sits below its 200-day EMA with a dead 12-week view (70.18, -17%). Same downgrade-driven housing weakness as LEN (UBS/JPM target cuts, weak spring demand). Trim the complex together; residual winds down on stop 79.90. Executes at the 07-17 open (L8). · news

decided @ 84.74 · stop 79.90 · t1w 80.37 · t12w 70.18

Genuine fired profit-take: NUE reached its 12-week target (T12_Progress 100.2%, +6.8% unrealized, Gain_ATR 2.69) and then its signal collapsed from cv58 to NO TRADE cv0 ('Consensus conflict + low conviction') with a dead-flat forward view — bank half and protect the gain while the setup is spent. Armed + ticks (b) conviction collapse and (c) dead-12wk -> profit_take_2 50%. Book's most material sell candidate; keep on a raised trail Executes at the 07-17 open (L8).

decided @ 235.67 · stop 223.00 · t1w 235.51 · t12w 235.15

Genuine profit-take on the day-1 89%-trim residual (, avg cost 169.20) now +7.4%: Gain_ATR 3.33, T12_Progress 114.5% (12-week target exceeded). Fired by (c) dead/negative model 12wk (158.81 < close 181.76) and (d) two consecutive NO TRADE prints -> profit_take_2 50% = @ (, ~+ banked). CVX is -10% over the past month as oil pulled back from its May peak (guidance intact) — confirms the partial de-risk. Keep the retained and raise the trail to. Valuation OVERVALUED_VS_RI (MoS -0.03) negligible. L8: execute at the 07-15 open / closing auction. · news

decided @ 181.76 · stop 174.00 · t1w 174.88 · t12w 158.81

Immaterial residual that qualifies for an L2 exit — stop-break (53.96 < 58.14, -5.07%) + negative 12wk (51.68) — but is too small to earn a full card. Ledgered optional so the counterfactual grader prices the tail; winds down on its stop. FailedBreakout_Down|sell -7 whipsaw caution applies.

decided @ 53.96 · stop 58.14 · t12w 51.68

Residual clean-up exit on the L2 basis: a decisive close below the carried stop (75.41 < 77.96, -3.27%) paired with a negative 12-week projection (70.16 vs 75.41) is itself a signal-based exit (CLAUDE.md §9 / learnings L2), even though the engine still prints AVOID/NO-TRADE. Extreme overvaluation (MoS_FV -5.20) amplifies (§9c). Full exit of the 1,412-sh sliver @, realizing -4.9%. Cell caution noted: FailedBreakout_Down|sell grades -7 (whipsaws), but the stop-break + neg-12wk + MoS -5.2 stack is a strong combined basis and this is an immaterial residual. L8: execute at the 07-15 open.

decided @ 75.41 · stop 77.96 · t1w 73.84 · t12w 70.16

First GENUINE profit-take on this book: the day-1 89%-trim residual (, avg cost 48.91) has run to +11.6% and crossed a real arm — Gain_ATR 3.2, T12_Progress 116.6% (the 12-week target is exceeded). Deterioration ticks fire it: (c) the model's forward view is now negative (12wk 46.81 << close 54.57) and (d) two consecutive NO TRADE prints. Per ADR-0012 that is a signal-based reason to bank the winner: profit_take_2 = 50% = @ (, ~+ banked). Oil rolling off the May peak (WTI) confirms the de-risk; but a fresh Evercore upgrade (Outperform, PT) argues to keep the other half — hold and raise the chandelier trail to. Distinct from the persistent spurious seed-cost PROFIT_ARMED (this arm is a real positive Gain_ATR>=3). L8: execute at the 07-15 open / closing auction; reprice if it gaps. · news

decided @ 54.57 · stop 51.00 · t1w 52.24 · t12w 46.81

Pyramid add on a fresh MomentumContinuation_Up STRONG BUY-ADD (cv93, Buy_Rank 1, conviction climbing into a confirmed Q2 earnings beat (07-14 6:45am ET: EPS 13e +27% YoY, rev 62Be) — the market's post-print reaction, so no front-running. Held core so the failed quality gate does not block the ADD; mild overvaluation (OVERVALUED_VS_RI, MoS -0.30) trims adj conviction to 91, well clear of the floor. QUEUED as a GTC buy-stop @61.17 (fills only on continued strength, self-limiting) — sized down from the model's 99.33% (full double, +) to a measured ~35% pyramid of because L6/US-9 forbid chasing a post-earnings gap on a core mirror name. Stop 58.37; RSI 69.6 + RSI_DIV is a G1 caution not a block. Expires 07-17. L8/US-9: if the 07-15 open gaps >~1.5% past 61.17 (>), WITHDRAW and re-arm on a pullback to VWAP/EMA10 — do not chase. · news

decided @ 61.17 · stop 58.37 · t1w 63.69 · t4w 69.58 · t12w 72.27

Small pyramid add on the L1-favored PullbackBuy_VWAP family (Buy_Rank 2) with a proper pullback-limit entry below the close (not a chase). Marginal — adj conviction 66 clears the 65 floor by one; the PullbackBuy cell is only report-only here (n=2) so no positive bias applied. NA valuation so the quality gate is off and val_adj is 0. QUEUED GTC buy-limit @103.48 (range 102.77-104.19), + (, Portion 29.97% x 2,462) — kept small: thin/illiquid Liberty Live tracking stock and the add sits on a -3.6% position. Stop 97.81. Expires 07-17. L8: reprice if the open gaps >1.5%.

decided @ 103.48 · stop 97.81 · t1w 105.45 · t4w 110.06 · t12w 115.07

Complete the KR residual de-risk: stable STRONG SELL - REDUCE (FailedBreakout_Down_20D) across 3 snapshots (conv ->65, weakening but still STRONG) with a deeply negative 12wk 41.95 (-29.3% vs 59.32 close) -- a signal-based trend exit (CLAUDE.md §9 / L2). News neutral (Giant Eagle acquisition, new CPO, retail-media/AI push vs margin pressure; analyst consensus above price but no override of an active trend-sell). Reduce 89% = @ ~59.32 (Market, next open); residual on raised chandelier stop 55.72. Valuation NA (no amplify). Trim-discipline G1-G3 N/A (bearish downtrend signal). L8 pending_next_open, execute 07-09, reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news

decided @ 59.32 · stop 55.72 · t12w 41.95

STRONG SELL - REDUCE on a fresh RallySell_BearTrend flip with strengthening conviction and a negative 12-week view (75.71 vs 86.74 close, -12.7%; 4wk target 85.80, -1.1%) -- a signal-based trend exit (CLAUDE.md §9 / L2). Homebuilder rolling over into a hawkish-rate week reinforces the sell but is not required for it. Valuation GROWTH_PRICED_IN (MoS_FV -0.78, Quality_Pass F) amplifies only, no tier bump. Reduce 89% = @ ~86.74 (Market, next open); residual on reset chandelier stop 80.90. L8 pending_next_open, execute 07-08, reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news

decided @ 86.74 · stop 80.90 · t4w 85.80 · t12w 75.71

STRONG SELL - REDUCE (FailedBreakout_Down_20D, conv 69) flipped down from 07-06, carrying the deepest structural downside in the pool (12wk 100.36 vs 131.76 close, -23.8%) -- a signal-based trend exit (CLAUDE.md §9 / L2). Small dollar size (204-sh full position) but a legitimate de-risk of a rolling-over staple. Valuation GROWTH_PRICED_IN (MoS_FV -0.92, Quality_Pass T) amplifies only, no tier bump. Reduce 89% = @ ~131.76 (Market, next open); residual on reset chandelier stop 120.50. L8 pending_next_open, execute 07-08, reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news

decided @ 131.76 · stop 120.50 · t12w 100.36

Stable STRONG SELL - REDUCE (FailedBreakout_Down_20D, conv 68 across all three sessions) with a deeply negative 12-week projection (218.81 vs 266.78 close, -18%) -- a valid signal-based trend exit per CLAUDE.md §9 / learnings L2, extending the 07-06 de-risk to the next tier. News confirms: VRSN fell after Berkshire Hathaway CUT its stake, with an AI-chatbot navigation shift and a core-contract-renewal overhang weighing on the name. Valuation GROWTH_PRICED_IN (MoS_FV -1.93, deepest full position -> up-ranked) amplifies only, no tier bump (not <=-3). Reduce 89% = @ ~266.78 (Market, next open); residual on reset chandelier stop 251.00. Trim-discipline G1-G3 N/A (bearish-signal REDUCE, not a profit-trim on an uptrend). L8 pending_next_open, execute 07-08, reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news

decided @ 266.78 · stop 251.00 · t12w 218.81

Fresh multi-snapshot add on the bankable PullbackBuy_VWAP cell (learnings L1) with conviction rising ->66 across the last three sessions and a strong 12wk view (49.76, +9.9%). Queued as a GTC buy-limit at 45.28 (below the 45.40 close) so it fills only on a pullback -- self-limiting into an event-gated week. Size halved (995 = 0.5x the 1,990-sh model ADD) for the FOMC-minutes 07-08 no-new-leverage posture + de-risk-into-CPI-07-14 bias and the marginal conviction / OVERVALUED_VS_RI, Quality_Pass F read (gate off -- ADD to a held name). val_adj 0. Cost if filled; stop 42.84. L8 pending_next_open, execute at the 07-08 open, reprice if the open gaps >1.5%; auto-withdraw if unfilled by 07-10 or if the family flips off the PullbackBuy cell (US-8). · news

decided @ 45.28 · stop 42.84 · t1w 46.13 · t4w 48.12 · t12w 49.76

Stable STRONG SELL - REDUCE (FailedBreakout_Down_20D) across both 07-06 close and 07-07 pre-open snapshots; negative 12-week projection (123.67 vs 169.20 close) confirms a rolling-over trend — a valid signal-based exit per CLAUDE.md §9 / learnings L2. Book is at cost (seeded 07-06), so no profit-take involved; the PROFIT_ARMED flag is spurious (T12_Progress>90 on a below-price bearish 12wk target — KLAC/LMT bug). Valuation GROWTH_PRICED_IN (MoS_FV -1.97) amplifies only, does not originate. News neutral — general energy/staples pullback, no name catalyst. Reduce 89% = @ ~169.20 (Market, next open); residual held on stop 176.55. L8: pending_next_open, execute 2026-07-07, reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news

decided @ 169.20 · stop 176.55 · t12w 123.67

Complete the KR residual de-risk: stable STRONG SELL - REDUCE (FailedBreakout_Down_20D) across 3 snapshots (conv ->65, weakening but still STRONG) with a deeply negative 12wk 41.95 (-29.3% vs 59.32 close) -- a signal-based trend exit (CLAUDE.md §9 / L2). News neutral (Giant Eagle acquisition, new CPO, retail-media/AI push vs margin pressure; analyst consensus above price but no override of an active trend-sell). Reduce 89% = @ ~59.32 (Market, next open); residual on raised chandelier stop 55.72. Valuation NA (no amplify). Trim-discipline G1-G3 N/A (bearish downtrend signal). L8 pending_next_open, execute 07-09, reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news

decided @ 59.32 · stop 55.72 · t12w 41.95

Stable STRONG SELL - REDUCE (FailedBreakout_Down_20D) across both 07-06 close and 07-07 pre-open snapshots; negative 12-week projection (31.92 vs 48.91 close) confirms a rolling-over trend — a valid signal-based exit per CLAUDE.md §9 / learnings L2. Book is at cost (seeded 07-06), so no profit-take involved; the PROFIT_ARMED flag is spurious (T12_Progress>90 on a below-price bearish 12wk target — KLAC/LMT bug). Valuation GROWTH_PRICED_IN (MoS_FV -2.65) amplifies only, does not originate. News neutral — general energy/staples pullback, no name catalyst. Reduce 89% = @ ~48.91 (Market, next open); residual held on stop 51.47. L8: pending_next_open, execute 2026-07-07, reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news

decided @ 48.91 · stop 51.47 · t12w 31.92