AnticipationUp_VCP
VCP base-tightening pre-breakout — fires BUY - ANTICIPATE with forward pivot (ADR-0008)
Setup — what must already be true
- EMA stack (5/10/20/50 alignment) is one of Bullish Full / Bullish Partial (HK: Bullish Full / Bullish Partial / Mixed)
- Multi-timeframe agreement is Aligned
- RSI regime is not Extreme Overbought
- Price vs EMA100/200 is one of Above Both / Between / Unknown
- Liquidity gate is Pass
- Anchored VWAP is not Below AVWAP
Trigger — what fires the signal
- Volatility contraction pattern (VCP) is one of VCP Detected / Partial Contraction
- Donchian channel position is one of Above Channel / Near High
- Momentum trajectory (RSI + MACD direction) is one of Both Improving / Mixed
Trade box & conviction bar
- Entry: buy stop at 0.1 ATR offset
- Stop: chandelier trail (3 ATR)
- Target: trailing
- Conviction: BUY-grade at ≥ 55, STRONG at ≥ 75
📰 From the newsletter
- Issue #7-4 · How Bumpy Is the Ride? Volatility & Volume — Volatility and volume tools turn charts into risk management instruments by helping investors set stops, size positions, and judge whether price is stretched.
Live track record for this signal
- US Main (buy): 93% hit the 1-week target (n=15)
- AI · US Tech (buy): 50% hit the 1-week target (n=2, building sample)
- AI · US Semiconductors (buy): 50% hit the 1-week target (n=2, building sample)
- AI · Berkshire Mirror (buy): 0% hit the 1-week target (n=4, building sample)
- Hong Kong Main (buy): 100% hit the 1-week target (n=1, building sample)
- AI · SG Blue Chips (sell): 100% hit the 1-week target (n=1, building sample)
- Sector ETFs (buy): 100% hit the 1-week target (n=1, building sample)
See it live right now
- 3988 · Bank of China in AI · HK Financials — HOLD at conviction 83 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)
- AAPL · Apple in US Main — BUY - ANTICIPATE at conviction 69 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)
- AAPL · Apple Inc in AI · Berkshire Mirror — HOLD at conviction 69 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)
- AAPL · APPLE INC in AI · Berkshire Doctrine — HOLD at conviction 69 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)
- AAPL · Apple in AI · US Tech — HOLD at conviction 69 (chart with entry/stop/targets drawn)