Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 203.43 | SELL 50% | 203.43 | 198.26 | 201.31 (-1.0%) | 196.36 (-3.5%) | 182.22 (-10.4%) | The breakout bought at 204.12 failed the same session: COF ran to 208.45, then closed at 203.43, below EMA200 (206.05) on a FailedBreakout_Down_D print with a negative 12-week view (182.22, -10.4%). Halve the 17%-of-NAV position. One print means 50%, not 100%. Balance rides a 198.26 rung (close - 1 ATR); full exit on a close below it. The Q3 beat and the Citi PT raise were already in the entry thesis. FailedBreakout_Down|sell cell is +1 (n=91). · news |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 363.95 | SELL 30% | 363.95 | 351.64 | 375.49 (+3.2%) | 402.43 (+10.6%) | 385.21 (+5.8%) | Profit-take: CB is armed (T12 94%) and an RSI divergence printed at RSI 72.6 near the high, so the rule trims 30%. G1 does not shelter it because conviction is 70, below 80. The BUY-ADD print is unstable (NT/ADD/NT/ADD), so no add. Balance on a 351.64 chandelier trail. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 304.59 | SELL 30% | 304.59 | 295.47 | 306.78 (+0.7%) | 311.90 (+2.4%) | 326.52 (+7.2%) | Profit-take: VRSN is armed (+18.8%, 5.5 ATR) and conviction collapsed from HOLD 69 to NO TRADE on print day. The Q3 EPS of missed and the stock fell ~5% after hours. Trim 30% at the open (reprice: the gap is expected). Balance on the 295.47 stop, which the gap may already test. G2 suppresses the MoS -2.46 tier bump (12wk > DCF). · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 324.22 | NO ACTION | 324.22 | 321.28 | n/a | n/a | 286.32 (-11.7%) | Optional full exit of the-sh balance, not taken. The close of 324.22 is only 0.19 ATR under the 326.04 rung, which is not a decisive break. The engine flipped from 4x NO TRADE to ReversalUp_Oversold HOLD 57 at RSI 33. The book's L2 cell is -4. Q3 prints 10-28. Hold on the 321.28 decisive line (rung - 0.5 ATR); exit on a close below it. · news |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 320.76 | NO ACTION | 320.76 | 317.66 | n/a | n/a | 281.20 (-12.3%) | Optional full exit of the-sh balance, not taken. Same read as GOOGL: 0.17 ATR under the 322.35 rung, ReversalUp HOLD 57 at RSI 33, print 10-28. Decisive line 317.66. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 226.68 | NO ACTION | 226.68 | 219.24 | n/a | n/a | 266.47 (+17.6%) | Tick d fired (2 consecutive NO TRADE) on a genuinely armed name (+27%, 9.7 ATR). Displaced: CVX was already trimmed 30% at the 10-21 open and the 12wk is +17.6%. Trail 219.24. |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 62.50 | NO ACTION | 62.50 | 60.72 | n/a | n/a | 68.64 (+9.8%) | Tick d continues (5th NO TRADE). It was armed only by the T12 artifact (+0.4% on cost). The 10-19/10- PT-raise news override carries forward (assumption, not re-fetched). Stop 60.72. · news |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 348.22 | HOLD | 348.22 | 336.13 | n/a | 385.47 (+10.7%) | 378.17 (+8.6%) | RSI_DIV re-fires on the armed name, but the 30% trim filled at the 10-22 open and conviction climbed. No double-dip. Chandelier trail raised to 336.13. Print 11-02. |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 95.34 | HOLD | 94.50 | 92.00 | n/a | 104.62 (+10.7%) | 105.44 (+11.6%) | BUY-ADD 70 falls below the floor after val_adj -10 (MoS -2.31): adj 60. The close is 0.5 ATR past the 94.50 entry. Armed + RSI_DIV is a profit-take tick, but the catalyst-aware hold applies (Q3 print 10-27). Trail raised to 92.00. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 258.06 | HOLD | 258.06 | 250.88 | n/a | n/a | 262.59 (+1.8%) | Armed + tick b (HOLD 83 -> NO TRADE). The catalyst-aware hold applies (Q3 print 10-26), so hold through the print on the 250.88 trail. A 10-sh trim would be immaterial. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 186.10 | HOLD | 186.10 | 170.47 | n/a | 202.53 (+8.8%) | 164.99 (-11.3%) | Bounced to 186.10 (HOLD 67). Tick c (12wk 164.99 < close) is on a -21% loser, which is the sign-blind arming artifact. Catalyst-aware hold (Q3 10-29). Stop raised to 170.47 (chandelier). |
| KR | Kroger Co | 67.87 | HOLD | 67.87 | 62.97 | n/a | n/a | 77.36 (+14.0%) | AVOID 56 ReversalDown_Overbought at RSI 71.8. Armed, no fire tick (12wk +14%). Chandelier trail raised to 62.97. |
| — | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY-ADD 75 (Buy_Rank 1) is cut to adj 58 by the -9 PullbackBuy|buy cell and val_adj -8. It is also 1.55 ATR extended and the 12wk sits below the close. Hold on 25.20. |
| — | Kraft Heinz Co | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY 65 new entry blocked by the quality gate (F-Score/FCF screen failed); adj 62; 1.11 ATR extended; 12wk below close. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
265 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.711 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.