Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 320.21 | SELL ALL | 320.21 | 321.28⚠ | 315.46 (-1.5%) | 304.37 (-4.9%) | 272.70 (-14.8%) | GOOGL closed at 320.21, below the 321.28 line that the 10-22 EOD set as the full-exit trigger. Conviction slid from and the 12-week view is 272.70 (-14.8%), below EMA200, so the L2 basis is met. News is neutral: Citizens cut its PT and ETFs were net sellers. Exit the-sh balance at the 10-26 open rather than hold an unconfirmed reversal into the 10-28 print. L2|sell cell -4 (report-weighted); the catalyst-hold clause yields to a break of a predefined decisive line. · news |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 317.28 | SELL ALL | 317.28 | 317.66⚠ | 312.42 (-1.5%) | 301.07 (-5.1%) | 268.65 (-15.3%) | Same case as GOOGL: GOOG closed at 317.28, under its 317.66 exit line. Conviction fell from and the 12-week view is 268.65 (-15.3%), below EMA200. Exit the-sh balance at the 10-26 open, ahead of the 10-28 print. · news |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 300.32 | SELL 50% | 300.32 | 295.47 | 302.14 (+0.6%) | 306.39 (+2.0%) | 318.52 (+6.1%) | Profit-take escalation: VRSN is still armed (+17%, 4.2 ATR) and has now printed a 2nd consecutive NO TRADE after the Q3 EPS miss. That is tick d on top of the 10-22 tick b, and 2 ticks call for the 50% tier. The 10-22 card (, pending fill at the 10-23 open of ~291.35) took 30%; sell more so the total cut is. Balance on the 295.47 stop. G2 suppresses the MoS -2.46 bump (12wk > DCF). · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 92.71 | NO ACTION | 92.71 | 92.00 | n/a | n/a | 101.78 (+9.8%) | Tick b fired on the armed name (+10%, 4.5 ATR): conviction went from BUY-ADD 70 to NO TRADE 0, "Consensus conflict + low conviction". The catalyst-aware hold applies (Q3 print 10-27, 2 sessions), so hold through it on the 92.00 trail (close 92.71). Ledgered optional so the counterfactual prices the hold. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 355.11 | NO ACTION | 355.11 | 351.64 | n/a | n/a | 373.92 (+5.3%) | Tick b (70 -> NO TRADE) would escalate the 10-22 30% trim to the 50% tier (+). It is not taken: the position is only +0.5% (0.24 ATR) and is armed purely by the T12 artifact, the same treatment as OXY on 10-22. The 274-sh trim fills at the 10-23 open (~362.91); hold the 640-sh balance on the 351.64 trail. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 347.73 | HOLD | 347.73 | 339.55 | n/a | 385.51 (+10.9%) | 378.97 (+9.0%) | Armed (6.4 ATR, T12 92%), no fire tick: conviction (-15), 12wk +9%, no other warning. Mandatory chandelier trail-raise to 339.55 (high 351.73 - 2 ATR). Print 11-02. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 233.21 | HOLD | 233.21 | 223.03 | n/a | 262.47 (+12.5%) | 271.49 (+16.4%) | Back to HOLD 63 MomentumContinuation after 2 NO TRADE prints, which clears tick d. Armed (10.2 ATR), RSI 76.9, so no add. Trail raised to 223.03. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 66.77 | HOLD | 62.05 | 64.12 | n/a | 67.19 (+8.3%) | 77.96 (+25.6%) | BUY-ADD 79 (Buy_Rank 1) clears the floor at adj 69 but sits 2.13 ATR extended. The model limit of 62.05 is below the book's own trail on the armed position, so the queue would only fill after the trail had exited the holding. Not queued. Re-arm when a fresh print's entry sits above the trail. Trail raised to 64.12. Investor-day price-cut plan received constructively. · news |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 258.11 | HOLD | 258.11 | 250.88 | n/a | 275.19 (+6.6%) | 264.65 (+2.5%) | Back to HOLD 69. Armed, no tick (12wk 264.65 just above 1.02x close). Catalyst-aware hold through the 10-26 print on the 250.88 trail. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 183.64 | HOLD | 183.64 | 170.47 | n/a | 197.62 (+7.6%) | 162.54 (-11.5%) | HOLD 56. Tick c on a -21.8% loser is the sign-blind arming artifact. Catalyst-aware hold (Q3 10-29) on 170.47. |
| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 201.34 | HOLD | 201.34 | 198.26 | n/a | 212.35 (+5.5%) | 183.63 (-8.8%) | The 10-22 SELL 50% fills at the 10-23 open (~200.73, -1.3% vs ref, within tolerance). The balance of holds the 198.26 rung (close 201.34). The family flipped back to FailedBreakdown_Up HOLD 62, still below EMA200 with the 12wk at -8.8%. Full exit on a close below the rung. |
| — | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY-ADD 67 cut to adj 50 (PullbackBuy|buy -9, val -8). It is 1.73 ATR extended and the 12wk is below the close. Hold on 25.20. |
| — | Moody's Corp | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY 62 new entry: raw is below the floor, adj 48. The trail alternates WATCH/BUY and the print is 1.05 ATR extended. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
269 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.711 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.