Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 206.66 | BUY — QUEUED @204.12 | 204.12 | 186.15 | 214.90 (+5.3%) | 240.05 (+17.6%) | 187.41 (-8.2%) | Capital One broke out to a 20-day high (STRONG BUY 88, Buy_Rank) and its Q3 beat on adjusted EPS (vs) with a credit-reserve release; valuation is near fair (MoS -0.22, quality pass). The close is already 0.44 ATR past the 204.12 trigger and the print landed around the anchor, so per L6 this is a GTC limit at the model entry, not a chase. New BUY 85.49% x NAV x 20% = ->. Flag: Target_Week 187.41 sits below the close; L discounts breakout chases (BreakoutUp_20D|buy report-only n=). Withdraw if conviction < 65 or by 2026-10-26. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 334.76 | SELL 50% | 334.76 | 326.04 | 331.99 (-0.8%) | 325.52 (-2.8%) | 307.05 (-8.3%) | Alphabet A closed at 334.76, below its 338.83 stop and the 336.41 L2 line and under EMA200 (335.37), after four straight NO TRADE prints, with a negativewk of 307.05 (-8.3%). That is a decisive stop break plus a negativewk (L2/US-), so cut half. The 10-28 print does not shelter it because BH-EOQ-CH needs a positiveW. Balance on a new 326.04 rung (close - ATR); peak stop 338.83 retained. · news |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 330.95 | SELL 50% | 330.95 | 322.35 | 327.98 (-0.9%) | 321.04 (-3.0%) | 301.21 (-9.0%) | Alphabet C closed at 330.95, below its 335 stop and the 332.64 L2 line and under EMA200, after four NO TRADE prints, with thewk at 301.21 (-9.0%). Same L2 stop-break plus negative-wk exit as the A shares; cut half. Balance on a 322.35 rung; peak stop 335 retained. · news |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 343.99 | SELL 30% | 343.99 | 334.97 | 347.66 (+1.1%) | 356.24 (+3.6%) | 370.51 (+7.7%) | Apple is up 11.5% on cost (5.8 ATR, 93% of itswk target) and now prints RSI_DIV on the row, so the armed profit-take fires (tick a, 30%). G does not apply (FailedBreakdown_Up, not a fresh breakout >=80). The MoS -3.19 one-tier bump is suppressed under G2 because thewk of 370.51 is far above the 237 DCF anchor. This is the second 30% cut after 10-19 (tick b). Balance on a 334.97 trail; the print is 11-02, outside 5 sessions. |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 62.70 | NO ACTION | 62.70 | 60.72 | n/a | n/a | 69.00 (+10.0%) | Armed only on T progress (+0.7% on cost, 0.31 ATR); a 2nd straight NO TRADE fires tick d (30% = =). News override still holds: Susquehanna raised its PT to on 10-20 after the Roth upgrade on 10-19, and estimates are rising. HOLD on 60.72. |
| CB | Chubb Ltd | 354.95 | NO ACTION | 354.95 | 348.66 | n/a | n/a | 369.32 (+4.0%) | BUY - ADD 73 to NO TRADE fires tick b on an armed (T 96%, +0.5% on cost) position (30% = =). Displaced by the 3-card cap; post-earnings consolidation. Trail 348.66. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 226.78 | NO ACTION | 226.78 | 219.24 | n/a | n/a | 266.66 (+17.6%) | AVOID 53 to NO TRADE fires tick b (30% = =). Displaced: 30% was already trimmed at the 10-21 open (225.90). Trail raised to 219.24. |
| M | Macy's Inc | 23.43 | NO ACTION | 23.43 | 22.49 | n/a | n/a | 23.65 (+0.9%) | HOLD 62, with a deadwk (23.65 < 1.02x close) firing tick c (30% = =). Stub, displaced. Stop 22.49. |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc | 38.69 | NO ACTION | 38.69 | 35.88 | n/a | n/a | 29.30 (-24.3%) | SSR 78 to AVOID 47 (tick b) with a deadwk (tick c) on a sign-blind arm (-14.5%). -share stub, displaced. Stop 35.88. |
| SIRI | Sirius XM Holdings Inc | 26.96 | NO ACTION | 26.96 | 25.20 | n/a | n/a | 23.13 (-14.2%) | AVOID 55 with a negativewk fires tick c on a sign-blind arm (-11.6% on cost). Displaced; above its 25.20 rung. |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 92.68 | HOLD | 92.68 | 90.88 | n/a | n/a | 100.75 (+8.7%) | Armed, with a 2nd NO TRADE (tick d), but the Q3 print is 10-27 (within 5 sessions), so the catalyst-aware hold applies. Trail 90.88. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 264.54 | HOLD | 264.54 | 250.88 | n/a | n/a | 273.85 (+3.5%) | HOLD 83 (AnticipationUp_VCP), armed with no tick. Trail raised to 250.88 (2.0x ATR chandelier). Prints 10-26. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 307.25 | HOLD | 307.25 | 295.47 | n/a | n/a | 331.26 (+7.8%) | HOLD 69, armed with no tick; holding through the 10-22 print. Trail 295.47. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 64.13 | HOLD | 64.13 | 60.93 | n/a | n/a | 70.42 (+9.8%) | HOLD 40 (BreakoutUp_20D) with conviction recovering from NO TRADE, armed with no tick. Trail 60.93. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 176.81 | HOLD | 176.81 | 168.00 | n/a | n/a | 150.50 (-14.9%) | Half cut at the 10-21 open (171.78). Closed back at 176.81, above the 168 rung and EMA200. Thewk is negative, but the close sits above the rung; Q3 prints 10-29. |
| LLYVA | Liberty Live Group Ser A | 96.53 | HOLD | 96.53 | 93.73 | n/a | n/a | 88.81 (-8.0%) | SSR to AVOID 59 after the 89% cut filled at 97.67;-share stub on 93.73. |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Group Ser C | 100.50 | HOLD | 100.50 | 94.35 | n/a | n/a | 93.00 (-7.5%) | AVOID 0, -share stub on 94.35. |
| — | Constellation Brands Cl A | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY 65 PullbackBuy_VWAP is a new entry blocked by the quality gate (F-Score/FCF screen failed). The PullbackBuy|buy cell is at -9, leaving it at 56, and it is 4.1 ATR extended from the 120.69 entry. |
| — | Moody's Corp | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY 56 PullbackBuy_VWAP sits below the 65 floor (-9 PullbackBuy cell, MoS -1.01 gives val_adj -5, adj 42);wk 461.62 is below the close. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
262 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.711 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.