Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 195.84 | SELL ALL | 195.84 | 199.57⚠ | n/a | n/a | 178.42 (-8.9%) | Capital One closed decisively below its stop (0.46 ATR) and the engine now prints STRONG SELL - REDUCE on a bear-trend rally-sell, with the 12-week view at (-8.9%); exit the full position. Re-issue of the unfilled 11-09 card (executor refused on the CASH drift). L2/L3/US-1; RallySell_BearTrend|sell cell +4; ex-div on 11-16 is not a reason to hold. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 287.38 | SELL ALL | 287.38 | 321.28⚠ | n/a | n/a | 167.67 (-41.7%) | Alphabet A sits 10.5% under its stop with a sharply negative 12-week view after the post-earnings slide; exit. L2 stop-break basis (label eased SSR 75 -> AVOID 62, but the break is unrepaired); exit unfilled since-23 because of the executor deadlock. · news |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 284.92 | SELL ALL | 284.92 | 317.66⚠ | n/a | n/a | 167.67 (-41.2%) | Same case as GOOGL: 10.3% under the stop with a negative 12-week view; exit the C-class too. Loss-prevention (L2) outranks the fired profit-takes for the third slot; it was displaced twice already. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 96.91 | ADD — QUEUED @94.35 | 94.35 | 90.66 | 95.63 (+1.4%) | 98.63 (+4.5%) | 108.90 (+15.4%) | Coca-Cola prints STRONG BUY - ADD 100 on a VWAP pullback with a positive 12-week view, but it closed 1.4 ATR above the model entry, so the add is queued at the entry rather than chased. Valuation is rich (MoS -2.21, size x0.75) and the PullbackBuy cell is -9 here, which raw 100 still clears (>=75 bar). Armed + RSI_DIV also fires a 30% profit-take (ledgered optional); a pullback-only add does not conflict with a market trim. Expires 11-13. · news |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 56.90 | HOLD | 56.90 | 56.00 | n/a | n/a | 49.93 (-12.2%) | Occidental beat Q3 (adj EPS vs consensus, debt paydown) and closed back above its line, so the 11-09 full-exit card is withdrawn: the stop-break basis no longer holds and news overrides. Hold; a decisive close below (0.4 ATR under the line) with the negative 12wk re-triggers the exit. · news |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 56.90 | NO ACTION | 56.90 | 56.00 | n/a | n/a | 49.93 (-12.2%) | Counterfactual: a fifth NO TRADE plus a -12% 12wk would fire a 50% trim on the (sign-blind) arm; demoted by the Q3 beat and the reclaim of the line. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 211.22 | NO ACTION | 211.22 | 213.11⚠ | n/a | n/a | 212.39 (+0.6%) | Armed (+18%, 5.6 ATR) with two ticks: a second NO TRADE (d) and a dead 12wk at < 1.02x close (c), so a 50% profit-take fires. Displaced by the loss-prevention exits; the 0.32 ATR graze of the line is not a decisive L2 break. |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 96.91 | NO ACTION | 96.91 | 92.88 | n/a | n/a | 108.90 (+12.4%) | Armed + RSI_DIV fires a 30% trim, but the engine prints STRONG BUY - ADD 100 with a +12% 12wk; displaced and contradicted by the bullish signal, so it is ledgered for the counterfactual grader only. G2 suppresses any valuation bump. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 179.28 | NO ACTION | 179.28 | 174.16 | n/a | n/a | 169.52 (-5.4%) | HOLD 63 -> NO TRADE (b, -63 pts) and the 12wk is below the close (c) on a sign-blind arm (position -23.7%), displaced. Still above the stop. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 256.47 | NO ACTION | 256.47 | 258.47⚠ | n/a | n/a | 249.22 (-2.8%) | It rebounded to 0.16 ATR under the line (no longer a decisive L2 break), AVOID 57 with a -2.8% 12wk; armed + c -> 30%, displaced. |
| — | American Express Co | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | STRONG BUY 76 on a pullback, but the quality gate blocks the new entry (Quality_Pass False) and the 12wk sits below the entry. |
| — | Delta Air Lines Inc | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY - ANTICIPATE 70 on only 1 of the last 3 snapshots; the anticipate slot needs >=. Re-arm if it prints again on 11-11. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
309 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.673 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.