Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 197.11 | SELL ALL | 197.11 | 199.57⚠ | n/a | n/a | 177.37 (-10.0%) | Capital One printed a second straight STRONG SELL - REDUCE and is still closing below its stop, with the 12-week view at (-10%); exit the full position. Re-issue of the unfilled 11-09/11-10 cards (the executor refused on the CASH drift, 13th session). L2/L3/US-1; FailedBreakout_Down_20D|sell cell +1 (n=98); the ex-div on 11-16 is not a hold reason. · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 293.45 | SELL ALL | 293.45 | 321.28⚠ | n/a | n/a | 177.06 (-39.7%) | Alphabet A is back on STRONG SELL - REDUCE 68 and still 8.7% under its stop with a deeply negative 12-week view; exit. The Anthropic IPO stake headline gave it a small lift but doesn't repair the break, and JPMorgan cut its target to L2 basis; unfilled since 10-23 because of the executor deadlock. · news |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 290.63 | SELL ALL | 290.63 | 317.66⚠ | n/a | n/a | 176.20 (-39.4%) | Same case as GOOGL: STRONG SELL - REDUCE 68 (Sell_Rank 1), 8.5% under the stop, 12-week view -39%; exit the C-class too. Loss-prevention outranks the fired profit-takes for slot 3. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 97.57 | ADD — QUEUED @94.58 | 94.58 | 90.76 | 95.91 (+1.4%) | 99.01 (+4.7%) | 110.42 (+16.7%) | Coca-Cola holds STRONG BUY - ADD 100 on a VWAP pullback for a second session after raising FY guidance, but it closed 1.56 ATR above the model entry, so the add stays a pullback limit at the live entry rather than a chase. Valuation is rich (MoS -2.21, size x0.75) and the PullbackBuy cell is -9 (n=15), which raw 100 still clears. Repriced from the 11-@94.35 queue; expires 11-16. · news |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 355.63 | NO ACTION | 355.63 | 336.64 | n/a | n/a | 380.92 (+7.1%) | Armed (+15%, T12 93%) and RSI_DIV is back, so tick (a) fires a 30% trim. Conviction rose with a +7% 12wk; G1 doesn't cover the VCP family, so it fires on the letter, but the 3 slots go to the loss-prevention exits. G2 suppresses the MoS <= -3 bump (12wk far above the DCF). Trail raised to. |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 213.28 | NO ACTION | 213.28 | 213.11 | n/a | n/a | 212.60 (-0.3%) | Armed (+19.5%, 6.7 ATR) with a third NO TRADE (d) and a dead 12wk at (c): a 50% profit-take fires. Displaced by the loss-prevention exits. It reclaimed the line by. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 261.39 | NO ACTION | 261.39 | 258.47 | n/a | n/a | 257.64 (-1.4%) | AVOID 57 -> STRONG SELL - REDUCE 65 (late flip) with a -1.4% 12wk; armed + c also fires. It reclaimed its line., displaced by the larger exits. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 183.50 | NO ACTION | 183.50 | 174.16 | n/a | n/a | 172.12 (-6.2%) | Two NO TRADE prints (d) and a 12wk below the close (c) on a sign-blind arm (position -21.9%), displaced. Above the stop. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 69.49 | NO ACTION | 69.49 | 67.69 | n/a | n/a | 84.26 (+21.3%) | Armed + RSI_DIV fires 30%, contradicted by HOLD 83 and a +21% 12wk; displaced. Trail raised to. |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 57.24 | HOLD | 57.24 | 56.00 | n/a | n/a | 50.08 (-12.5%) | Fifth NO TRADE but it holds above the line after the Q3 beat; hold. A decisive close below with the negative 12wk re-triggers the exit (L2). |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 57.24 | NO ACTION | 57.24 | 56.00 | n/a | n/a | 50.08 (-12.5%) | Counterfactual: the sign-blind arm + c + d would fire 50%; demoted by the reclaimed line and the Q3 beat. |
| — | American Express Co | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | BUY 71 on a FailedBreakdown chase; the quality gate blocks the new entry (Quality_Pass False), the 12wk is below the entry, and the FailedBreakdown_Up cell is weak (US-10). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
312 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.523 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.