Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COF | Capital One Financial Corp | 193.60 | SELL ALL | 193.60 | 199.57⚠ | n/a | n/a | 170.41 (-12.0%) | Fourth close under the stop (now 3.0% below) with the 12-week view down to (−12%); the engine has been SELL/AVOID for three sessions. The ex-div on 11-16 is no reason to stay. L2/L3 exit basis, so the 65 floor does not apply; re-issue of the unfilled 11-09..11-11 cards (executor refusal). · news |
| GOOGL | Alphabet Inc Cl A | 298.70 | SELL ALL | 298.70 | 321.28⚠ | n/a | n/a | 188.56 (-36.9%) | STRONG SELL - REDUCE strengthened to 75 while price sits 7% under the line with a deeply negative 12-week view; the +3% TPU/NVIDIA-shake-up bounce does not repair the break. L2 full exit; re-issue (unfilled since-23). · news |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc Cl C | 295.35 | SELL ALL | 295.35 | 317.66⚠ | n/a | n/a | 186.54 (-36.8%) | Same Alphabet exit as GOOGL: Sell_Rank 1 at SSR 75, 7% under the line, 12-week view −37%. L2 full exit; re-issue. · news |
| KO | Coca-Cola Co | 97.44 | NO ACTION | 97.44 | 94.92 | n/a | n/a | 110.57 (+13.5%) | Armed (+7.7 ATR) and tick b fired (conviction, so a 30% profit-take qualifies; displaced by the 3-slot cap behind the loss-prevention exits. Trail raised to. · news |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | 216.35 | NO ACTION | 216.35 | 213.11 | n/a | n/a | 216.22 (-0.1%) | Late-flipped STRONG SELL - REDUCE 65 (first print after 3 NO TRADE) on an armed winner with a flat 12-week view (tick c);. Displaced: single print vs the stable Alphabet exits; promotes if SSR repeats or breaks. |
| DVA | DaVita Inc | 174.07 | NO ACTION | 174.07 | 174.16⚠ | n/a | n/a | 156.21 (-10.3%) | STRONG SELL - REDUCE 63 (RallySell cell + with a marginal 0.05% close under and 12wk −10%, displaced by the slot cap. A decisive close below makes it an L2 exit. |
| VRSN | VeriSign Inc | 312.48 | NO ACTION | 312.48 | 307.49 | n/a | n/a | 336.06 (+7.5%) | Armed (+6.5 ATR) and tick b fired (conviction : 30%, displaced. Trail raised to. |
| KR | Kroger Co | 69.81 | NO ACTION | 69.81 | 67.89 | n/a | 73.56 (+5.4%) | 85.07 (+21.9%) | Armed + RSI_DIV (tick a): 30%, displaced; HOLD 83 with a +22% 12wk argues trail. Trail raised to. |
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 260.75 | NO ACTION | 260.75 | 258.47 | n/a | n/a | 258.83 (-0.7%) | Armed (+4.1 ATR) with a flat 12wk (tick c), AVOID 56: 30%, displaced; stop holds. |
| M | Macy's Inc | 24.33 | NO ACTION | 24.33 | 23.88 | n/a | n/a | 26.35 (+8.3%) | Armed (T12 92%) and conviction (tick b): 30%, displaced. Trail raised to. |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 58.40 | HOLD | 58.40 | 56.00 | n/a | n/a | 51.77 (-11.4%) | Sixth NO TRADE but holds 4.3% above the line after the Q3 beat; hold. A decisive close below with the negative 12wk re-triggers the exit (L2). |
| OXY | Occidental Petroleum Corp | 58.40 | NO ACTION | 58.40 | 56.00 | n/a | n/a | 51.77 (-11.4%) | Counterfactual: the sign-blind arm (position −6%) + c + d would fire 50%; demoted by the intact line and the Q3 beat. |
| AAPL | Apple Inc | 354.88 | HOLD | 356.78 | 341.98 | n/a | 408.96 (+14.6%) | 382.90 (+7.3%) | Armed (+5.3 ATR) but no tick fired (RSI_DIV cleared; conviction is −16, under the-pt bar; 12wk +8%). Trail raised to (2×ATR chandelier). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
315 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.491 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
84 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.