US Semiconductors — Graded decisions
Every past recommendation whose target window has elapsed, scored against what actually happened. This is how we keep ourselves honest.
How to read this
- Graded — the recommendation’s horizon has passed, so we can score it.
- Hit target — price reached the model’s target. Stopped out — it hit the protective stop first. Closed — neither; it ran to the horizon. Not filled — a queued order that never triggered.
- 1wk / 4wk — the actual price return over that window after the decision.
| Date | Ticker | Decision | Signal | Outcome | 1wk | 4wk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | AMD | BUY @516.13 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | NVDA | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-09-11 | ASML | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-09-04 | ASML | SELL 100% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-09-03 | ASML | SELL 100% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | -4.3% | — |
| 2026-09-03 | TSM | SELL @417.01 | NoTrade | Closed | +0.2% | — |
| 2026-09-02 | ASML | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +0.9% | — |
| 2026-09-02 | TSM | SELL @415.50 | NoTrade | Closed | +4.3% | — |
| 2026-09-01 | ASML | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +3.9% | — |
| 2026-09-01 | TSM | SELL of | NoTrade | Closed | +3.6% | — |
| 2026-08-28 | NVDA | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +5.0% | — |
| 2026-08-28 | ASML | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | -3.0% | — |
| 2026-08-28 | TSM | SELL @417.52 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -0.1% | — |
| 2026-08-27 | NVDA | SELL 30% | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | -1.6% | — |
| 2026-08-27 | ASML | SELL 100% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -3.0% | — |
| 2026-08-27 | TSM | SELL 30% @427.30 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -2.8% | — |
| 2026-08-24 | ASML | SELL 30% @1740.13 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -2.5% | — |
| 2026-08-24 | TSM | SELL 30% @410.12 | NoTrade | Closed | +1.8% | — |
| 2026-08-21 | TSM | SELL 30% @418.95 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +2.0% | — |
| 2026-08-20 | TSM | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +0.4% | — |
| 2026-08-19 | ASML | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -0.4% | — |
| 2026-08-19 | TSM | SELL 50% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +1.3% | — |
| 2026-08-18 | ASML | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -3.5% | — |
| 2026-08-18 | TSM | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -0.8% | — |
| 2026-08-17 | TSM | SELL 50% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -2.8% | — |
| 2026-08-14 | TSM | SELL 50% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -2.4% | — |
| 2026-08-13 | NVDA | BUY QUEUED @225.76 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | -4.0% | — |
| 2026-08-12 | ASML | BUY QUEUED @1826.98 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -4.1% | -13.8% |
| 2026-08-11 | AMD | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +6.7% | +0.7% |
| 2026-08-10 | AMD | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +9.6% | +1.7% |
| 2026-08-06 | NVDA | BUY @<=220.00 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +2.3% | +2.5% |
| 2026-08-04 | TSM | SELL 78% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +0.3% | -0.4% |
| 2026-08-03 | TSM | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +3.4% | +2.8% |
| 2026-08-03 | AMD | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | -0.3% | -3.9% |
| 2026-07-31 | TSM | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +3.5% | +5.7% |
| 2026-07-31 | AMD | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | +2.8% | +0.1% |
| 2026-07-30 | TSM | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +2.6% | +3.6% |
| 2026-07-29 | AMD | SELL 100% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +20.7% | +11.6% |
| 2026-07-29 | TSM | SELL 100% | ReversalUp_Oversold | Closed | +11.3% | +11.4% |
| 2026-07-28 | AMD | SELL 100% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +6.6% | +0.5% |
| 2026-07-28 | TSM | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +3.5% | +4.5% |
| 2026-07-27 | TSM | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +1.3% | +5.0% |
| 2026-07-27 | AMD | SELL 30% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | -3.8% | -4.4% |
| 2026-07-24 | TSM | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | -0.0% | +3.1% |
| 2026-07-17 | TSM | SELL 50% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +1.4% | +5.1% |
| 2026-07-10 | ASX | BUY @43.25 starter | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -8.7% | -13.9% |
| 2026-07-07 | TSM | BUY @451.79 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -6.7% | -10.1% |
| 2026-07-07 | AMD | BUY @552.05 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -3.2% | -12.2% |