US Semiconductors — End-of-Day record | algo2alpha

Total-Return Index · Q4 2026 98.2 -1.8% QTD Performance ›

Today's recommendations

0 to acquire · 3 to dispose

Ticker	Name	Close	Action	Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice.	Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice.	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	Rationale
NVDA	NVIDIA Corporation	166.19	SELL ALL	166.19	224.76⚠	n/a	n/a	94.73 (-43.0%)	NVIDIA fell 4.3% to 166.19 after Jensen Huang's exit as CEO, and the model is back at STRONG SELL - REDUCE 85; the stock sits far below its 224.76 stop and its 200-day average, with a 12-week view near 95, so the full exit stands into the 11-17 earnings report. Re-issue of the unfilled 11-11 card (tenth issue); replaces it (no stacking). L2/Q2: -4.23 ATR vs stop, -2.90 ATR vs EMA200 206.45; catalyst-aware hold does not apply to a decisive stop break. at the 11-13 open; reprice if the gap exceeds 1.5%; a gap up does not cancel (S2). Re-add: fresh BUY/BUY - ADD raw >= 75 and settled close > 224.76. Realized about -15,334 vs cost 226.80. · news
ASML	ASML Holding NV	1497.12	SELL ALL	1497.12	1651.25⚠	n/a	n/a	1022.82 (-31.7%)	ASML slipped 2.4% to 1,497.12 and remains well below its 1,651.25 stop and its 200-day average, with a deeply negative 12-week view (1,022.82), so the stop-break exit stands while the model prints NO TRADE for a fourth night. Re-issue of the 11-11 card; replaces it (no stacking). L2/W1/T5: -2.21 ATR vs stop, -1.02 ATR vs EMA200 1,568.24. at the 11-13 open; reprice if the gap exceeds 1.5%; a gap up does not cancel (S2). Withdraw if a settled close > EMA200 with a bullish label. Re-entry: fresh BUY-family raw >= 70 and settled close > 1,651.25. Realized about -1,979 vs cost 1,826.98. · news
TSM	Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C	405.49	SELL ALL	405.49	435.16⚠	n/a	n/a	318.56 (-21.4%)	TSMC eased 1.9% to 405.49; it is just above its 200-day average but still under its 435.16 stop with a negative 12-week view (318.56), so the exit stands while the model prints NO TRADE. The case is weakening and has a written withdrawal line. Re-issue of the 11-11 card; replaces it (no stacking). L2 basis (stop break -1.49 ATR + negative 12wk) intact; V1/W1 watch: a settled close >= 435.16, or a bullish label while above EMA200 400.13, withdraws and does not reissue. at the 11-13 open; reprice if the gap exceeds 1.5%; a gap up does not cancel (S2). Realized about -98 vs cost 438.02. · news

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

121 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →

0.091 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.

91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.

How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.

BreakdownDown_20D (sell): 7 past trades, 60% hit the 1-week target → +2 conviction nudge.
FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (buy): 7 past trades, 14% hit the 1-week target → -7 conviction nudge.
FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (sell): 18 past trades, 33% hit the 1-week target → -3 conviction nudge.
FailedBreakout_Down_20D (sell): 5 past trades, 20% hit the 1-week target → -6 conviction nudge.
NoTrade (sell): 66 past trades, 50% hit the 1-week target → no conviction nudge.
RallySell_BearTrend (sell): 8 past trades, 25% hit the 1-week target → -5 conviction nudge.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

Ticker	Name	Close	Signal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept.	Action	Conv	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
H	NVIDIA Corporation	166.19	BreakdownDown_20D	STRONG SELL - REDUCE	85	n/a	n/a	94.73 (-43.0%)
H	ASML Holding NV	1497.12	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	1022.82 (-31.7%)
H	Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C	405.49	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	318.56 (-21.4%)
	Tesla Inc	397.45	FailedBreakdown_Up_20D	BUY	69	400.77 (+0.8%)	433.91 (+9.2%)	415.24 (+4.5%)
	Sandisk Corporation	937.46	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	68	n/a	n/a	534.35 (-43.0%)
	Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.	52.85	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	61	n/a	n/a	30.12 (-43.0%)
	Arm Holdings plc	199.78	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	61	n/a	n/a	113.87 (-43.0%)
	Corning Incorporated	119.50	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	61	n/a	n/a	68.11 (-43.0%)
	Lam Research Corp	233.78	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	61	n/a	n/a	133.25 (-43.0%)
	Marvell Technology	164.45	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	61	n/a	n/a	93.74 (-43.0%)
	Intel Corporation	61.20	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	61	n/a	n/a	34.88 (-43.0%)
	Qualcomm Incorporated	177.14	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	57	n/a	n/a	159.86 (-9.8%)
	Coherent Corp.	232.08	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	56	n/a	n/a	132.29 (-43.0%)
	Lumentum Holdings	624.65	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	56	n/a	n/a	356.05 (-43.0%)
	Amkor Technology	37.12	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	54	n/a	n/a	21.16 (-43.0%)
	KLA Corporation	157.30	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	49	n/a	n/a	92.15 (-41.4%)
	Advanced Micro Devices, Inc	585.30	NoSignal	AVOID	0	n/a	n/a	536.34 (-8.4%)
	Broadcom Inc	364.36	NoSignal	AVOID	0	n/a	n/a	304.80 (-16.3%)
	ASE Technology Holding	36.29	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	24.38 (-32.8%)
	Micron Technology, Inc.	798.44	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	n/a	n/a	455.11 (-43.0%)

US Semiconductors — End-of-Day Verdict

0 to acquire · 3 to dispose

How accurate the calls have been.

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

Earlier end-of-day records.