US Tech — Graded decisions
Every past recommendation whose target window has elapsed, scored against what actually happened. This is how we keep ourselves honest.
How to read this
- Graded — the recommendation’s horizon has passed, so we can score it.
- Hit target — price reached the model’s target. Stopped out — it hit the protective stop first. Closed — neither; it ran to the horizon. Not filled — a queued order that never triggered.
- 1wk / 4wk — the actual price return over that window after the decision.
| Date | Ticker | Decision | Signal | Outcome | 1wk | 4wk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | MU | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Open | — | — |
| 2026-09-15 | NVDA | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Open | — | — |
| 2026-09-12 | DELL | ADD QUEUED @564.47 | BreakoutUp_52W | Open | — | — |
| 2026-09-10 | CRM | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-09-05 | TSM | BUY @428.91 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +1.0% | — |
| 2026-09-05 | MU | ADD @1016.59 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -4.1% | — |
| 2026-09-04 | PLTR | BUY QUEUED @175.81 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -4.9% | — |
| 2026-09-04 | MU | BUY @958.16 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +2.0% | — |
| 2026-09-04 | AAOI | SELL 100% @100.38 | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +2.9% | — |
| 2026-09-04 | NVDA | SELL 30% @228.45 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | -4.4% | — |
| 2026-09-03 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @103.13 | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +4.7% | — |
| 2026-09-02 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @103.39 | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +7.9% | — |
| 2026-09-02 | AAPL | BUY QUEUED @323.17 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Hit target (1w) | -2.4% | — |
| 2026-08-29 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @106.23 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -0.7% | — |
| 2026-08-29 | CRM | BUY QUEUED @257.66 | MomentumContinuation_Up | Hit target (1w) | +0.6% | — |
| 2026-08-28 | TSM | BUY MOO @427.30 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -2.4% | — |
| 2026-08-28 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @113.28 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -11.4% | — |
| 2026-08-28 | NVDA | SELL 30% MOO @227.98 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | +0.2% | — |
| 2026-08-27 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @113.76 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -9.3% | — |
| 2026-08-26 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @113.15 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -8.6% | — |
| 2026-08-25 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @107.63 | NoTrade | Closed | +0.1% | — |
| 2026-08-25 | DELL | SELL 50% MOO @433.19 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +5.3% | — |
| 2026-08-22 | DELL | SELL 50% MOO @442.08 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +3.2% | — |
| 2026-08-21 | DELL | SELL 50% MOO @434.78 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +8.6% | — |
| 2026-08-20 | DELL | SELL 50% MOO @437.55 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +6.0% | — |
| 2026-08-15 | AAOI | BUY QUEUED @150.03 | BreakoutUp_20D | Stopped out | -28.3% | -36.2% |
| 2026-08-14 | NVDA | BUY QUEUED @225.76 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | -4.9% | -3.3% |
| 2026-08-13 | DELL | ADD QUEUED @487.08 | BreakoutUp_52W | Stopped out | -10.7% | +4.0% |
| 2026-08-05 | DELL | ADD @465.04 STOP | BreakoutUp_52W | Closed | +4.2% | +5.8% |
| 2026-08-05 | TSM | SELL 100% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +1.2% | -0.8% |
| 2026-08-04 | CRM | BUY @185.95 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Hit target (4w) | +6.2% | +38.5% |
| 2026-07-22 | TSM | SELL 50% @424.61 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -7.6% | -2.6% |
| 2026-07-21 | TSM | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | -0.8% | +7.1% |
| 2026-07-18 | TSM | SELL | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +1.3% | +7.0% |
| 2026-07-17 | TSM | SELL 90% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +1.4% | +5.1% |
| 2026-07-15 | DELL | ADD QUEUED @419.03 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +5.4% | +15.6% |
| 2026-07-09 | DELL | BUY QUEUED @450.88 stop | MomentumContinuation_Up | Closed | -13.2% | -2.9% |
| 2026-07-07 | TSM | BUY QUEUED @451.79 limit | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -7.0% | -7.7% |