US Tech — Graded decisions
Every past recommendation whose target window has elapsed, scored against what actually happened. This is how we keep ourselves honest.
How to read this
- Graded — the recommendation’s horizon has passed, so we can score it.
- Hit target — price reached the model’s target. Stopped out — it hit the protective stop first. Closed — neither; it ran to the horizon. Not filled — a queued order that never triggered.
- 1wk / 4wk — the actual price return over that window after the decision.
| Date | Ticker | Decision | Signal | Outcome | 1wk | 4wk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-11 | AAPL | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-11-10 | DELL | SELL ALL | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-11-10 | PLTR | SELL ALL | NoTrade | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-11-10 | MU | SELL ALL | NoTrade | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-11-10 | AAPL | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-11-07 | ASML | SELL ALL | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-11-07 | NVDA | SELL ALL | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-11-07 | TSM | SELL ALL | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-11-07 | AAPL | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | — | — |
| 2026-11-06 | DELL | SELL ALL | BreakdownDown_20D | Closed | +17.1% | — |
| 2026-11-06 | PLTR | SELL ALL | BreakdownDown_20D | Closed | +10.7% | — |
| 2026-11-06 | MU | SELL ALL | BreakdownDown_20D | Closed | +21.6% | — |
| 2026-11-05 | AAPL | ADD QUEUED @352.19 | BreakoutUp_52W | Closed | +0.8% | — |
| 2026-11-03 | ASML | SELL ALL | NoTrade | Closed | -0.8% | — |
| 2026-11-03 | NVDA | SELL ALL | BreakdownDown_20D | Closed | -11.6% | — |
| 2026-11-03 | TSM | SELL ALL | NoTrade | Closed | -2.5% | — |
| 2026-10-31 | DELL | SELL ALL | NoTrade | Closed | -22.6% | — |
| 2026-10-31 | PLTR | SELL ALL | ContinuationLiteUp | Closed | -12.9% | — |
| 2026-10-31 | MU | SELL ALL | NoTrade | Closed | -22.0% | — |
| 2026-10-30 | AAPL | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -1.4% | — |
| 2026-10-20 | DELL | SELL ALL | NoTrade | Closed | +2.6% | — |
| 2026-10-20 | PLTR | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +2.4% | — |
| 2026-10-20 | AAPL | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +0.3% | — |
| 2026-10-17 | DELL | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | +1.1% | — |
| 2026-10-16 | DELL | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | -4.3% | -21.6% |
| 2026-10-16 | AAPL | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +1.8% | +3.8% |
| 2026-10-15 | ASML | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | +1.6% | -7.0% |
| 2026-10-15 | NVDA | SELL 100% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +0.3% | -21.5% |
| 2026-10-15 | TSM | SELL 100% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +0.4% | -3.9% |
| 2026-10-14 | META | BUY QUEUED @729.93 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | -11.1% | -14.6% |
| 2026-10-14 | MU | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | -6.0% | -23.9% |
| 2026-10-14 | ASML | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -5.1% | -12.2% |
| 2026-10-14 | PLTR | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -7.7% | -19.1% |
| 2026-10-13 | ARM | SELL 100% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -10.7% | -27.0% |
| 2026-10-13 | SNDK | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | -7.8% | -40.4% |
| 2026-10-13 | TSM | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -5.4% | -12.5% |
| 2026-10-10 | ARM | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | -14.4% | -34.4% |
| 2026-10-10 | SNDK | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | -17.9% | -47.2% |
| 2026-10-10 | DELL | SELL 30% | BreakoutUp_52W | Closed | -22.9% | -43.9% |
| 2026-10-10 | PLTR | ADD QUEUED @204.72 | BreakoutUp_20D | Stopped out | -1.5% | -15.8% |
| 2026-10-09 | PLTR | ADD QUEUED @195.02 | BreakoutUp_20D | Stopped out | +0.6% | -12.0% |
| 2026-10-08 | DELL | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -12.3% | -35.7% |
| 2026-10-08 | PLTR | ADD QUEUED @182.01 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-10-03 | ARM | BUY | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -13.4% | -33.0% |
| 2026-10-03 | NVDA | ADD QUEUED @234.98 | BreakoutUp_52W | Stopped out | -3.7% | -14.0% |
| 2026-10-01 | ASML | BUY | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -0.4% | -8.2% |
| 2026-09-30 | CRM | SELL 100% | NoTrade | Closed | -0.1% | +6.9% |
| 2026-09-30 | TSM | SELL 30% | ReversalDown_Overbought | Closed | +5.5% | -4.4% |
| 2026-09-29 | CRM | SELL 100% | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Closed | +1.1% | +8.9% |
| 2026-09-29 | TSM | SELL 30% | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | +7.3% | -6.3% |
| 2026-09-24 | PLTR | ADD QUEUED @188.64 | BreakoutUp_20D | Stopped out | +0.7% | +4.0% |
| 2026-09-23 | SNDK | BUY QUEUED @1846.17 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Stopped out | -5.8% | -25.4% |
| 2026-09-22 | DELL | SELL 30% | NoTrade | Closed | -5.5% | -20.8% |
| 2026-09-22 | AAPL | SELL 30% | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | -0.2% | +1.2% |
| 2026-09-19 | CRM | SELL 30% | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Closed | -1.6% | +1.2% |
| 2026-09-19 | TSM | SELL | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +3.7% | -5.1% |
| 2026-09-19 | AAPL | ADD QUEUED @338.61 | BreakoutUp_52W | Closed | -0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2026-09-16 | TSM | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +9.2% | +7.6% |
| 2026-09-16 | NVDA | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | +7.9% | +7.7% |
| 2026-09-15 | MU | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +13.0% | +7.0% |
| 2026-09-15 | NVDA | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +7.8% | +7.3% |
| 2026-09-12 | DELL | ADD QUEUED @564.47 | BreakoutUp_52W | Stopped out | +1.9% | +2.2% |
| 2026-09-10 | CRM | SELL 30% | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | -0.5% | -6.7% |
| 2026-09-05 | TSM | BUY @428.91 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +0.3% | +6.8% |
| 2026-09-05 | MU | ADD @1016.59 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -3.9% | +1.9% |
| 2026-09-04 | PLTR | BUY QUEUED @175.81 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Stopped out | +1.0% | +18.9% |
| 2026-09-04 | MU | BUY @958.16 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +2.0% | +8.1% |
| 2026-09-04 | AAOI | SELL 100% @100.38 | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | -2.3% | +5.5% |
| 2026-09-04 | NVDA | SELL 30% @228.45 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | -4.0% | +0.9% |
| 2026-09-03 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @103.13 | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | -4.9% | +2.7% |
| 2026-09-02 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @103.39 | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | -5.2% | +2.4% |
| 2026-09-02 | AAPL | BUY QUEUED @323.17 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Hit target (1w) | +4.0% | +4.2% |
| 2026-08-29 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @106.23 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -7.7% | -0.3% |
| 2026-08-29 | CRM | BUY QUEUED @257.66 | MomentumContinuation_Up | Stopped out | -8.2% | -9.2% |
| 2026-08-28 | TSM | BUY MOO @427.30 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | +0.7% | +7.2% |
| 2026-08-28 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @113.28 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -13.4% | -6.5% |
| 2026-08-28 | NVDA | SELL 30% MOO @227.98 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Closed | -3.8% | +1.1% |
| 2026-08-27 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @113.76 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -13.8% | -6.9% |
| 2026-08-26 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @113.15 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | -13.3% | -6.4% |
| 2026-08-25 | AAOI | SELL 100% MOO @107.63 | NoTrade | Closed | -8.9% | -1.6% |
| 2026-08-25 | DELL | SELL 50% MOO @433.19 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +35.8% | +32.6% |
| 2026-08-22 | DELL | SELL 50% MOO @442.08 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +33.1% | +30.0% |
| 2026-08-21 | DELL | SELL 50% MOO @434.78 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +35.3% | +32.1% |
| 2026-08-20 | DELL | SELL 50% MOO @437.55 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Closed | +34.5% | +31.3% |
| 2026-08-15 | AAOI | BUY QUEUED @150.03 | BreakoutUp_20D | Stopped out | -29.9% | -26.9% |
| 2026-08-14 | NVDA | BUY QUEUED @225.76 | AnticipationUp_VCP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-08-13 | DELL | ADD QUEUED @487.08 | BreakoutUp_52W | Stopped out | +16.6% | +20.3% |
| 2026-08-05 | DELL | ADD @465.04 STOP | BreakoutUp_52W | Stopped out | +22.1% | +26.0% |
| 2026-08-05 | TSM | SELL 100% | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +3.1% | +9.8% |
| 2026-08-04 | CRM | BUY @185.95 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Hit target (4w) | +30.6% | +22.5% |
| 2026-07-22 | TSM | SELL 50% @424.61 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | Closed | +1.3% | +7.9% |
| 2026-07-21 | TSM | SELL | NoTrade | Closed | +7.0% | +13.8% |
| 2026-07-18 | TSM | SELL | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +8.0% | +15.0% |
| 2026-07-17 | TSM | SELL 90% | RallySell_BearTrend | Closed | +5.0% | +11.8% |
| 2026-07-15 | DELL | ADD QUEUED @419.03 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | Not filled | — | — |
| 2026-07-09 | DELL | BUY QUEUED @450.88 stop | MomentumContinuation_Up | Stopped out | +26.0% | +30.0% |
| 2026-07-07 | TSM | BUY QUEUED @451.79 limit | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | Stopped out | -3.8% | +0.3% |