Today's recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1497.12 | SELL ALL | 1497.12 | 1790.34⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1022.82 (-31.7%) | ASML is 16% below its stop and under its 200-day average with a 12-week view 32% below the price, so the exit order is re-issued. OPERATIONAL: re-issue of the 2026-11-07 SELL ALL (execute_on 11-09, lapses after 11-13, never filled); supersedes it (no stacking); L2 stop break + neg 12wk; NT 0 x4; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 405.49 | SELL ALL | 405.49 | 463.12⚠ | n/a | n/a | 318.56 (-21.4%) | TSMC now prints a fresh strong-sell failed-breakout signal on top of a 12% stop break, with a 12-week view 21% below the price, so the exit order is re-issued. OPERATIONAL: re-issue of the 2026-11-07 SELL ALL (lapses after 11-13, never filled); supersedes it; NT x3 -> SSR; L2; fell with the chip complex on the Nvidia CEO exit; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 166.19 | SELL ALL | 166.19 | 228.35⚠ | n/a | n/a | 94.73 (-43.0%) | Nvidia's oversold bounce failed: the CEO departed, it reprinted a strong breakdown sell, and it sits 27% below its stop with a 12-week view 43% under the price, so the exit order is re-issued. OPERATIONAL: re-issue of the 2026-11-07 SELL ALL (lapses after 11-13); supersedes it; HOLD 73 ReversalUp_Oversold (11-12) -> SSR 85 BreakdownDown_20D, close 166.19 < EMA20 196.47; earnings 11-17 - stop-break exit, catalyst-hold n/a; Melius Hold PT 185; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 371.17 | HOLD | 371.17 | 545.12⚠ | n/a | n/a | 211.57 (-43.0%) | Dell is still well below its stop with a negative 12-week view, so the open 11-10 exit order stands. OPERATIONAL: 2026-11-10 SELL ALL market card carried (execute_on 11-10, lapses after 11-14; re-issue at the 11-14 EOD if unfilled), takes no slot; L2; NT 0; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 171.58 | HOLD | 171.58 | 196.73⚠ | n/a | n/a | 142.51 (-16.9%) | Palantir is still well below its stop with a negative 12-week view, so the open 11-10 exit order stands. OPERATIONAL: 2026-11-10 SELL ALL market card carried (execute_on 11-10, lapses after 11-14; re-issue at the 11-14 EOD if unfilled), takes no slot; L2; NT 0; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 798.44 | HOLD | 798.44 | 1022.44⚠ | n/a | n/a | 455.11 (-43.0%) | Micron is still well below its stop with a negative 12-week view, so the open 11-10 exit order stands. OPERATIONAL: 2026-11-10 SELL ALL market card carried (execute_on 11-10, lapses after 11-14; re-issue at the 11-14 EOD if unfilled), takes no slot; L2; NT 0; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news |
| TSLA | Tesla Inc | 397.45 | NO ACTION | 397.45 | 385.20 | 408.39 (+2.8%) | 433.91 (+9.2%) | 415.24 (+4.5%) | Tesla is the scan's top-ranked buy, but it fails the quality screen for new entries and its buy signal is only one print old after weeks of avoid/watch, so no position is opened. OPERATIONAL: adj 69+0+2=; Quality_Pass False (F-Score 4, EPV 16.46 vs 397.45); NA valuation does not switch the gate off (U3); trail AV-AV-W-B. · news |
| SAP | SAP AE | 234.06 | NO ACTION | 234.91 | 229.22 | 237.45 (+1.1%) | 243.37 (+3.6%) | 272.72 (+16.1%) | SAP's buy signal has weakened and it still fails the quality screen, so no position is opened. OPERATIONAL: adj 55-8+0=47 < 65; Quality_Pass False; B73-B67-B55 fading. |
Outcome & track record
How accurate the calls have been.
Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.
How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.
- BreakoutUp_52W (buy): 6 past trades, 50% hit the 1-week target → no conviction nudge.
- FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (buy): 8 past trades, 63% hit the 1-week target → +2 conviction nudge.
- FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (sell): 22 past trades, 32% hit the 1-week target → -4 conviction nudge.
- FailedBreakout_Down_20D (sell): 9 past trades, 71% hit the 1-week target → +4 conviction nudge.
- NoTrade (sell): 19 past trades, 71% hit the 1-week target → +4 conviction nudge.
- RallySell_BearTrend (sell): 7 past trades, 60% hit the 1-week target → +2 conviction nudge.
Portfolio & signals
Every name we scanned, and where it stands.
| Ticker | Name | Close | Signal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept. | Action | Conv | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | NVIDIA Corporation | 166.19 | BreakdownDown_20D | STRONG SELL - REDUCE | 85 | n/a | n/a | 94.73 (-43.0%) |
| H | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 405.49 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | STRONG SELL - REDUCE | 71 | n/a | n/a | 318.56 (-21.4%) |
| H | Apple | 354.88 | AnticipationUp_VCP | HOLD | 69 | 358.92 (+1.1%) | 408.96 (+15.2%) | 382.90 (+7.9%) |
| H | Micron Technology, Inc. | 798.44 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 455.11 (-43.0%) |
| H | Dell Technologies Inc | 371.17 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 211.57 (-43.0%) |
| H | ASML Holding NV | 1497.12 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 1022.82 (-31.7%) |
| H | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 171.58 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 142.51 (-16.9%) |
| Space Exploration Tech Corp | 139.94 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 76 | n/a | n/a | 114.66 (-18.1%) | |
| Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 298.70 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 75 | n/a | n/a | 188.56 (-36.9%) | |
| Tesla Inc | 397.45 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | BUY | 69 | 398.94 (+0.4%) | 433.91 (+9.2%) | 415.24 (+4.5%) | |
| Sandisk Corporation | 937.46 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 68 | n/a | n/a | 534.35 (-43.0%) | |
| IREN Limited | 19.48 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 68 | n/a | n/a | 11.10 (-43.0%) | |
| Cloudflare, Inc. | 318.50 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 64 | n/a | n/a | 280.37 (-12.0%) | |
| Amazon.com Inc | 267.44 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | WATCH | 62 | 268.29 (+0.3%) | 288.07 (+7.7%) | 279.10 (+4.4%) | |
| Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | 52.85 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 61 | n/a | n/a | 30.12 (-43.0%) | |
| Arm Holdings plc | 199.78 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 61 | n/a | n/a | 113.87 (-43.0%) | |
| Intel Corporation | 61.20 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 61 | n/a | n/a | 34.88 (-43.0%) | |
| Meta Platforms | 623.61 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 59 | n/a | n/a | 515.21 (-17.4%) | |
| Qualcomm Incorporated | 177.14 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 57 | n/a | n/a | 159.86 (-9.8%) | |
| Coherent Corp. | 232.08 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 56 | n/a | n/a | 132.29 (-43.0%) | |
| CoreWeave, Inc. | 56.60 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 56 | n/a | n/a | 32.26 (-43.0%) | |
| Lumentum Holdings | 624.65 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 56 | n/a | n/a | 356.05 (-43.0%) | |
| SAP AE | 234.06 | PullbackBuy_VWAP | BUY | 55 | 235.26 (+0.5%) | 243.37 (+4.0%) | 272.72 (+16.5%) | |
| Nebius Group, N.V. | 128.64 | RallySell_BearTrend | AVOID | 53 | 128.01 (-0.5%) | 113.30 (-11.9%) | 73.32 (-43.0%) | |
| Microsoft Corp | 523.00 | FailedBreakdown_Up_20D | WATCH | 51 | 524.37 (+0.3%) | 556.53 (+6.4%) | 553.66 (+5.9%) | |
| KLA Corporation | 157.30 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 49 | n/a | n/a | 92.15 (-41.4%) | |
| Netflix, Inc | 62.69 | FailedBreakout_Down_20D | AVOID | 49 | n/a | n/a | 42.77 (-31.8%) | |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc | 585.30 | NoSignal | AVOID | 0 | n/a | n/a | 536.34 (-8.4%) | |
| Broadcom Inc | 364.36 | NoSignal | AVOID | 0 | n/a | n/a | 304.80 (-16.3%) | |
| Snowflake Inc. | 298.70 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 231.06 (-22.6%) | |
| SalesForce Inc | 217.57 | NoTrade | NO TRADE | 0 | n/a | n/a | 187.24 (-13.9%) |
Archive
Earlier end-of-day records.
- 13 November 2026 0 acquire / 3 dispose EOD 2026-11-13
- 12 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-12
- 11 November 2026 0 acquire / 1 dispose EOD 2026-11-11
- 10 November 2026 0 acquire / 4 dispose EOD 2026-11-10
- 7 November 2026 0 acquire / 4 dispose EOD 2026-11-07
- 6 November 2026 0 acquire / 3 dispose EOD 2026-11-06
- 5 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-05
- 4 November 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-11-04
- 3 November 2026 0 acquire / 3 dispose EOD 2026-11-03
- 31 October 2026 0 acquire / 3 dispose EOD 2026-10-31
- 30 October 2026 0 acquire / 1 dispose EOD 2026-10-30
- 29 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-29
- 28 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-28
- 24 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-24
- 23 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-23
- 22 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-22
- 21 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-21
- 20 October 2026 0 acquire / 3 dispose EOD 2026-10-20
- 17 October 2026 0 acquire / 1 dispose EOD 2026-10-17
- 16 October 2026 0 acquire / 2 dispose EOD 2026-10-16
- 15 October 2026 0 acquire / 3 dispose EOD 2026-10-15
- 14 October 2026 1 acquire / 3 dispose EOD 2026-10-14
- 13 October 2026 0 acquire / 3 dispose EOD 2026-10-13
- 10 October 2026 1 acquire / 3 dispose EOD 2026-10-10
- 9 October 2026 1 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-09
- 8 October 2026 1 acquire / 1 dispose EOD 2026-10-08
- 7 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-07
- 6 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-06
- 3 October 2026 1 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-03
- 2 October 2026 0 acquire / 0 dispose EOD 2026-10-02