This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

US End-of-Day Verdict 14 Sept 2026, 16:00:00 GMT-4 Decided by: AI 🤖

US Tech — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-09-15

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Total-Return Index 101.5 +0.2% (4W) Performance ›

Today's recommendations

0 to acquire · 2 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
MUMicron Technology, Inc.924.03SELL 30%924.03825.51952.40 (+3.1%)1018.59 (+10.2%)1002.56 (+8.5%)Micron broke decisively through its risk line in Monday's AI-hardware selloff (close 924.03 vs the 969.00 stop, 0.91 ATR through) after AI CEOs called for a slower pace of development, and conviction slid to 49, so we trim 30% as pre-committed while the twelve-week view (+8.5%) still argues against a full exit. OPERATIONAL: fires the 09-11 armed trigger (Z3/T2); L2 forward leg absent -> minimum tier; no valuation amplify (MoS -1.14 > -3); FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|sell bias -10 (0/5 at 1wk) argues against any larger tier. Proceeds, realizes -. Residual, post-fill stop 825.51 (W2: not written until fill). Completion trigger: close < 876.77 OR Target_12Week < 1.02x close -> SELL a further 33. Est: Target_Price 1022.55 above Est band top 1018.59 -> band top used as 4wk (U6); f=0.30 (L5). Execution verb 'market' (U1/W1/Z1). · news
NVDANVIDIA Corporation210.96SELL 30%210.96197.31215.06 (+1.9%)224.61 (+6.5%)216.60 (+2.7%)Nvidia closed below its stop (210.96 vs 215.95, 0.73 ATR through) as the chip complex sold off on AI-pace warnings, capping a six-session conviction slide from 93 to the 40s with a twelve-week view of only +2.7%, so we trim 30% as pre-committed. OPERATIONAL: fires the 09-12 armed trigger (close < 215.95 OR cv <); PROFIT_ARMED inert (UT-9, Gain_ATR -2.32); no amplify (MoS -1.76); sell cell bias -10 argues minimum tier. Proceeds, realizes -. Residual, post-fill stop 197.31 (W2). Completion trigger: close < 204.14 OR conviction < -> SELL a further 35. f=0.30. Verb 'market'. · news
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C418.01HOLD418.01419.45⚠424.78 (+1.6%)440.59 (+5.4%)416.97 (-0.2%)TSMC grazed its stop by only 0.13 ATR in the sector selloff, too shallow to call a decisive break, but its own twelve-week view has turned flat-to-negative, so we hold with a hard numeric trigger rather than an open-ended wait. OPERATIONAL: Z3 armed trigger - a second consecutive close < 419.45 OR any close < 413.80 (0.5 ATR through) fires SELL 30% next session, no further confirmation. L2 forward leg present (12wk 416.97 < close); break not decisive. Conviction (-15, under tick b). PROFIT_ARMED inert (UT-9, Gain_ATR -1.77). · news
DELLDell Technologies Inc534.28HOLD534.28491.76557.38 (+4.3%)611.28 (+14.4%)761.35 (+42.5%)Dell holds: the 195-share add filled at 538.57 at Monday's open and the stock gave back 5.8% with the AI-hardware group, but it remains 1.1 ATR above its raised stop with a twelve-week view of +42.5% and no exit warning. OPERATIONAL: 09-12 GTC filled (ustech-20260915-0001); JSON avg 477.89 governs over scan Avg_Cost 461.30 (Y4). Stop 491.76 held (scan 515.03 at 0.50 ATR rejected; chandelier 457.28 below). Pre-registered: a breach is an ALERT (Y2 news check -> Z3 arm), not an automatic exit. T12_Progress 70.18 pinned (Z2, null). Not armed (Gain_ATR 1.46 < 3.0). · news
CRMSalesForce Inc259.43HOLD259.43238.25264.18 (+1.8%)275.25 (+6.1%)369.69 (+42.5%)Salesforce holds into Dreamforce and Tuesday's Investor Day after a +4.7% session as software sidestepped the chip selloff; conviction rose to 69 and the stop is ratcheted up to 238.25. OPERATIONAL: catalyst-aware hold (Investor Day 09-16). Stop 232.70 -> 238.25 (2.0xATR chandelier; scan 251.55 at 0.74 ATR rejected). ADR-0020 erosion 5.37% vs 251.77 peak. Re-arm trim trigger < 242.76 stands. Target_Price 280.61 above Est band top 275.25 -> band top as 4wk (U6). T12 pinned 70.18 (Z2). · news
PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.173.31NO ACTION175.99167.07177.92 (+1.1%)182.42 (+3.7%)216.14 (+22.8%)Palantir printed a BUY - ADD on a pullback entry, but after its steep valuation haircut the adjusted conviction is 64, one point under the book's 65 floor, and adding to a position still underwater during a sector-wide reset is what this book has been burned by before. OPERATIONAL: val_adj -10 (MoS -12.88 at anchor, T4); PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy n=2 report-only -> 0 bias; UT-10. Held on the 167.07 stop (0.93 ATR; scan 169.27 at 0.60 ATR rejected); trim trigger < 164.03 stands. Counterfactual only.
MSFTMicrosoft Corp505.41NO ACTION495.10484.99499.61 (+0.9%)510.14 (+3.0%)613.67 (+23.9%)Microsoft printed a STRONG BUY at conviction 86 on a pullback entry and would clear the floor at 77 after valuation, but it fails the book's quality screen (F-Score 6), which blocks new entries. OPERATIONAL: quality gate blocks new entries only; entry 495.10 is also 1.02 ATR below the close (would queue GTC, UT-6). PullbackBuy_VWAP|buy n=2 report-only. Counterfactual only.
NETCloudflare, Inc.330.36NO ACTION332.69284.94341.02 (+2.5%)360.47 (+8.4%)413.72 (+24.4%)Cloudflare broke out to a 52-week high (+7.8%) and prints a STRONG BUY, but the business still fails the quality screen (F-Score 4) and the breakout family has missed its targets in this book. OPERATIONAL: quality gate; BreakoutUp_52W|buy n=2 0/0 report-only (L1 discount); Target_Price 428.17 far above Est band top 360.47 -> band top as 4wk (U6). Counterfactual only.
SNOWSnowflake Inc.332.35NO ACTION332.35319.00338.49 (+1.8%)352.82 (+6.2%)436.29 (+31.3%)Snowflake flipped back to BUY at 76 but fails the quality screen (F-Score 5) and, after valuation and this book's weak record on its signal family, would sit one point under the floor anyway. OPERATIONAL: quality gate; FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|buy bias -3 (n=6 actionable); Target_Price 366.44 above Est band top 352.82 -> band top as 4wk (U6). Counterfactual only.

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

35 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.280 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
53 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.

How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.

  • FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (buy): 6 past trades, 33% hit the 1-week target → -3 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (sell): 5 past trades, 0% hit the 1-week target → -10 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakout_Down_20D (sell): 6 past trades, 83% hit the 1-week target → +7 conviction nudge.
  • RallySell_BearTrend (sell): 5 past trades, 0% hit the 1-week target → -10 conviction nudge.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

TickerNameCloseSignal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept. ActionConv1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
AAPLHApple333.08FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD90337.84 (+1.4%)348.94 (+4.8%)356.50 (+7.0%)
PLTRHPalantir Technologies Inc.173.31PullbackBuy_VWAPBUY - ADD74178.99 (+3.3%)185.99 (+7.3%)216.14 (+24.7%)
CRMHSalesForce Inc259.43FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD69265.78 (+2.4%)280.61 (+8.2%)369.69 (+42.5%)
DELLHDell Technologies Inc534.28FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD61557.38 (+4.3%)611.28 (+14.4%)761.35 (+42.5%)
TSMHTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C418.01FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD61424.78 (+1.6%)440.59 (+5.4%)416.97 (-0.2%)
MUHMicron Technology, Inc.924.03FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD49953.59 (+3.2%)1022.55 (+10.7%)1002.56 (+8.5%)
NVDAHNVIDIA Corporation210.96FailedBreakdown_Up_20DHOLD49215.06 (+1.9%)224.61 (+6.5%)216.60 (+2.7%)
MSFTMicrosoft Corp505.41PullbackBuy_VWAPSTRONG BUY86499.61 (-1.1%)510.14 (+0.9%)613.67 (+21.4%)
NETCloudflare, Inc.330.36BreakoutUp_52WSTRONG BUY78361.33 (+9.4%)428.17 (+29.6%)413.72 (+25.2%)
SNOWSnowflake Inc.332.35FailedBreakdown_Up_20DBUY76342.58 (+3.1%)366.44 (+10.3%)436.29 (+31.3%)
GOOGLAlphabet, Inc.- Class A349.39FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID70n/an/a309.80 (-11.3%)
SAPSAP AE218.28FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH64222.41 (+1.9%)232.05 (+6.3%)269.52 (+23.5%)
AAOIApplied Optoelectronics, Inc.95.76RallySell_BearTrendAVOID6196.12 (+0.4%)96.96 (+1.3%)54.58 (-43.0%)
KLACKLA Corporation169.09RallySell_BearTrendAVOID61168.48 (-0.4%)167.05 (-1.2%)111.16 (-34.3%)
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc493.41FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH61507.50 (+2.9%)540.36 (+9.5%)505.31 (+2.4%)
CRWVCoreWeave, Inc.82.98RallySell_BearTrendAVOID6181.80 (-1.4%)79.03 (-4.8%)73.60 (-11.3%)
METAMeta Platforms665.60ReversalDown_OverboughtAVOID60648.48 (-2.6%)608.54 (-8.6%)749.75 (+12.6%)
AVGOBroadcom Inc344.72BreakdownDown_20DAVOID55324.36 (-5.9%)283.49 (-17.8%)264.82 (-23.2%)
SNDKSandisk Corporation1551.99FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH541614.87 (+4.1%)1761.59 (+13.5%)1717.67 (+10.7%)
NBISNebius Group, N.V.212.19FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH54221.66 (+4.5%)243.77 (+14.9%)221.71 (+4.5%)
INTCIntel Corporation97.19FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH49100.72 (+3.6%)108.94 (+12.1%)90.41 (-7.0%)
LITELumentum Holdings835.03FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH49876.00 (+4.9%)971.59 (+16.4%)936.49 (+12.2%)
COHRCoherent Corp.266.50RallySell_BearTrendAVOID48263.12 (-1.3%)255.25 (-4.2%)193.60 (-27.4%)
ASMLASML Holding NV1575.15RallySell_BearTrendAVOID481588.41 (+0.8%)1619.34 (+2.8%)1373.90 (-12.8%)
QCOMQualcomm Incorporated180.15FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH46185.53 (+3.0%)198.10 (+10.0%)178.70 (-0.8%)
ARMArm Holdings plc239.01RallySell_BearTrendAVOID37234.94 (-1.7%)225.46 (-5.7%)180.36 (-24.5%)
AMZNAmazon.com Inc253.54NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a242.73 (-4.3%)
IRENIREN Limited43.17NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a41.76 (-3.3%)
NFLXNetflix, Inc80.32NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a78.47 (-2.3%)
TSLATesla Inc358.97NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a341.34 (-4.9%)
SPCXSpace Exploration Tech Corp148.15NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a158.91 (+7.3%)

Archive

Earlier end-of-day records.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.