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US End-of-Day Verdict 12 Nov 2026, 16:00:00 GMT-5 Decided by: AI 🤖

US Tech — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-11-13

Total-Return Index · Q4 2026 90.5 -9.5% QTD Performance ›

Today's recommendations

0 to acquire · 3 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
ASMLASML Holding NV1497.12SELL ALL1497.121790.34⚠n/an/a1022.82 (-31.7%)ASML is 16% below its stop and under its 200-day average with a 12-week view 32% below the price, so the exit order is re-issued. OPERATIONAL: re-issue of the 2026-11-07 SELL ALL (execute_on 11-09, lapses after 11-13, never filled); supersedes it (no stacking); L2 stop break + neg 12wk; NT 0 x4; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news
TSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C405.49SELL ALL405.49463.12⚠n/an/a318.56 (-21.4%)TSMC now prints a fresh strong-sell failed-breakout signal on top of a 12% stop break, with a 12-week view 21% below the price, so the exit order is re-issued. OPERATIONAL: re-issue of the 2026-11-07 SELL ALL (lapses after 11-13, never filled); supersedes it; NT x3 -> SSR; L2; fell with the chip complex on the Nvidia CEO exit; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news
NVDANVIDIA Corporation166.19SELL ALL166.19228.35⚠n/an/a94.73 (-43.0%)Nvidia's oversold bounce failed: the CEO departed, it reprinted a strong breakdown sell, and it sits 27% below its stop with a 12-week view 43% under the price, so the exit order is re-issued. OPERATIONAL: re-issue of the 2026-11-07 SELL ALL (lapses after 11-13); supersedes it; HOLD 73 ReversalUp_Oversold (11-12) -> SSR 85 BreakdownDown_20D, close 166.19 < EMA20 196.47; earnings 11-17 - stop-break exit, catalyst-hold n/a; Melius Hold PT 185; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news
DELLDell Technologies Inc371.17HOLD371.17545.12⚠n/an/a211.57 (-43.0%)Dell is still well below its stop with a negative 12-week view, so the open 11-10 exit order stands. OPERATIONAL: 2026-11-10 SELL ALL market card carried (execute_on 11-10, lapses after 11-14; re-issue at the 11-14 EOD if unfilled), takes no slot; L2; NT 0; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news
PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.171.58HOLD171.58196.73⚠n/an/a142.51 (-16.9%)Palantir is still well below its stop with a negative 12-week view, so the open 11-10 exit order stands. OPERATIONAL: 2026-11-10 SELL ALL market card carried (execute_on 11-10, lapses after 11-14; re-issue at the 11-14 EOD if unfilled), takes no slot; L2; NT 0; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news
MUMicron Technology, Inc.798.44HOLD798.441022.44⚠n/an/a455.11 (-43.0%)Micron is still well below its stop with a negative 12-week view, so the open 11-10 exit order stands. OPERATIONAL: 2026-11-10 SELL ALL market card carried (execute_on 11-10, lapses after 11-14; re-issue at the 11-14 EOD if unfilled), takes no slot; L2; NT 0; executor REFUSED 22nd run (us_20261113_060001.log:858, one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - run `trade reconcile ustech` first. · news
TSLATesla Inc397.45NO ACTION397.45385.20408.39 (+2.8%)433.91 (+9.2%)415.24 (+4.5%)Tesla is the scan's top-ranked buy, but it fails the quality screen for new entries and its buy signal is only one print old after weeks of avoid/watch, so no position is opened. OPERATIONAL: adj 69+0+2=; Quality_Pass False (F-Score 4, EPV 16.46 vs 397.45); NA valuation does not switch the gate off (U3); trail AV-AV-W-B. · news
SAPSAP AE234.06NO ACTION234.91229.22237.45 (+1.1%)243.37 (+3.6%)272.72 (+16.1%)SAP's buy signal has weakened and it still fails the quality screen, so no position is opened. OPERATIONAL: adj 55-8+0=47 < 65; Quality_Pass False; B73-B67-B55 fading.

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

94 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.041 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.

How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.

  • BreakoutUp_52W (buy): 6 past trades, 50% hit the 1-week target → no conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (buy): 8 past trades, 63% hit the 1-week target → +2 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (sell): 22 past trades, 32% hit the 1-week target → -4 conviction nudge.
  • FailedBreakout_Down_20D (sell): 9 past trades, 71% hit the 1-week target → +4 conviction nudge.
  • NoTrade (sell): 19 past trades, 71% hit the 1-week target → +4 conviction nudge.
  • RallySell_BearTrend (sell): 7 past trades, 60% hit the 1-week target → +2 conviction nudge.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

TickerNameCloseSignal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept. ActionConv1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
HNVIDIA Corporation166.19BreakdownDown_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE85n/an/a94.73 (-43.0%)
HTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C405.49FailedBreakout_Down_20DSTRONG SELL - REDUCE71n/an/a318.56 (-21.4%)
HApple354.88AnticipationUp_VCPHOLD69358.92 (+1.1%)408.96 (+15.2%)382.90 (+7.9%)
HMicron Technology, Inc.798.44NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a455.11 (-43.0%)
HDell Technologies Inc371.17NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a211.57 (-43.0%)
HASML Holding NV1497.12NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a1022.82 (-31.7%)
HPalantir Technologies Inc.171.58NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a142.51 (-16.9%)
Space Exploration Tech Corp139.94FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID76n/an/a114.66 (-18.1%)
Alphabet, Inc.- Class A298.70FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID75n/an/a188.56 (-36.9%)
Tesla Inc397.45FailedBreakdown_Up_20DBUY69398.94 (+0.4%)433.91 (+9.2%)415.24 (+4.5%)
Sandisk Corporation937.46FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID68n/an/a534.35 (-43.0%)
IREN Limited19.48FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID68n/an/a11.10 (-43.0%)
Cloudflare, Inc.318.50FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID64n/an/a280.37 (-12.0%)
Amazon.com Inc267.44FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH62268.29 (+0.3%)288.07 (+7.7%)279.10 (+4.4%)
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.52.85FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID61n/an/a30.12 (-43.0%)
Arm Holdings plc199.78FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID61n/an/a113.87 (-43.0%)
Intel Corporation61.20FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID61n/an/a34.88 (-43.0%)
Meta Platforms623.61FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID59n/an/a515.21 (-17.4%)
Qualcomm Incorporated177.14FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID57n/an/a159.86 (-9.8%)
Coherent Corp.232.08FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID56n/an/a132.29 (-43.0%)
CoreWeave, Inc.56.60FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID56n/an/a32.26 (-43.0%)
Lumentum Holdings624.65FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID56n/an/a356.05 (-43.0%)
SAP AE234.06PullbackBuy_VWAPBUY55235.26 (+0.5%)243.37 (+4.0%)272.72 (+16.5%)
Nebius Group, N.V.128.64RallySell_BearTrendAVOID53128.01 (-0.5%)113.30 (-11.9%)73.32 (-43.0%)
Microsoft Corp523.00FailedBreakdown_Up_20DWATCH51524.37 (+0.3%)556.53 (+6.4%)553.66 (+5.9%)
KLA Corporation157.30FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID49n/an/a92.15 (-41.4%)
Netflix, Inc62.69FailedBreakout_Down_20DAVOID49n/an/a42.77 (-31.8%)
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc585.30NoSignalAVOID0n/an/a536.34 (-8.4%)
Broadcom Inc364.36NoSignalAVOID0n/an/a304.80 (-16.3%)
Snowflake Inc.298.70NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a231.06 (-22.6%)
SalesForce Inc217.57NoTradeNO TRADE0n/an/a187.24 (-13.9%)

Archive

Earlier end-of-day records.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.