AI · US Tech — Fair value
A slow-moving intrinsic anchor per name — earnings power and discounted cash flow, residual income for banks — answering what to pay, never when to trade.
| Ticker | Name | Close | FV/sh | Method | MoS | Verdict | Quality | F | Bargain | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 342.87 | 205.38 | EPV | -67% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 18.0 | 5 | ||
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1519.97 | 739.70 | EPV | -105% | FAIR | 1.0 | 8 | ||
| MU H | Micron Technology, Inc. | 926.55 | 432.15 | EPV | -114% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 2.0 | 8 | ||
| QCOM | Qualcomm Incorporated | 184.84 | 82.36 | EPV | -124% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 10.5 | 6 | ||
| SAP | SAP AE | 213.20 | 92.26 | EPV | -131% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 19.0 | 8 | ||
| NFLX | Netflix, Inc | 76.41 | 31.65 | EPV | -141% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 8.0 | 7 | ||
| META | Meta Platforms | 673.31 | 268.96 | EPV | -150% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 16.0 | 5 | ||
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 490.30 | 182.41 | EPV | -169% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 17.0 | 6 | ||
| NVDA H | NVIDIA Corporation | 213.90 | 76.31 | EPV | -180% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 3.0 | 6 | ||
| SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | 331.02 | 114.85 | DCF | -188% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 20.0 | 5 | ||
| CRM H | SalesForce Inc | 250.54 | 84.72 | EPV | -196% | FAIR | 13.0 | 7 | ||
| DELL H | Dell Technologies Inc | 563.29 | 153.93 | EPV | -266% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 9.0 | 7 | ||
| AMZN | Amazon.com Inc | 245.96 | 65.07 | EPV | -278% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 22.0 | 5 | ||
| IREN | IREN Limited | 42.62 | 11.01 | ResInc | -287% | OVERVALUED VS RI | 31.0 | 2 | ||
| AAPL H | Apple | 332.41 | 81.80 | EPV | -306% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 4.0 | 9 | ||
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 167.36 | 34.65 | EPV | -383% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 12.0 | 6 | ||
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1602.22 | 311.86 | EPV | -414% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 15.0 | 7 | ||
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc | 339.51 | 64.70 | EPV | -425% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 7.0 | 8 | ||
| INTC | Intel Corporation | 101.05 | 13.52 | DCF | -648% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 28.0 | 6 | ||
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings | 919.40 | 112.98 | DCF | -714% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 23.0 | 5 | ||
| COHR | Coherent Corp. | 289.93 | 33.98 | EPV | -753% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 25.0 | 6 | ||
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 324.65 | 29.51 | DCF | -1000% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 24.0 | 4 | ||
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc | 512.50 | 42.64 | EPV | -1102% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 14.0 | 8 | ||
| PLTR H | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 174.34 | 12.49 | EPV | -1296% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 6.0 | 8 | ||
| TSM H | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 417.72 | 28.62 | EPV | -1360% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 5.0 | 9 | ||
| TSLA | Tesla Inc | 358.08 | 18.05 | EPV | -1883% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 30.0 | 4 | ||
| ARM | Arm Holdings plc | 243.98 | 9.80 | EPV | -2389% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 10.5 | 8 | ||
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 150.88 | 2.17 | EPV | -6867% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 29.0 | 4 | ||
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 209.37 | 0.66 | EPV | -31753% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 21.0 | 6 | ||
| CRWV | CoreWeave, Inc. | 83.35 | -84.32* | EPV | — | n/a · no data | 26.0 | 4 | ||
| AAOI | Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | 96.74 | -3.22* | EPV | — | n/a · no data | 27.0 | 4 |
How to read this table
- Ticker · H
- The exchange symbol; an H pill marks a name this book currently holds.
- Close
- The latest settled market price — what the stock costs today.
- FV/sh (fair value per share)
- Our estimate of what one share is intrinsically worth, from the company's own earnings power and cash flow — a slow-moving anchor refreshed with quarterly results, deliberately independent of the day's price action.
- Method
- How that fair value was computed: EPV (earnings power value — what steady current earnings are worth, assuming no growth), DCF (discounted cash flow — future cash flows brought back to today's dollars), or Bank (residual income — the right framework for banks, whose "cash flow" is not comparable to an industrial's).
- MoS (margin of safety)
- How far the price sits below fair value, as a percentage — the discount you get for buying today. Positive (teal) = priced below fair value; negative (red) = priced above it. The bar makes the size of the gap scannable.
- Verdict
- UNDERVALUED — price below the fair-value anchor. FAIR — above the anchor but still below the growth-inclusive DCF value. GROWTH PRICED IN — the price already assumes the optimistic growth case plays out. OVERVALUED VS RI — a bank trading above its residual-income value. When no verdict applies, the pill says why: n/a · currency — the listing trades in a different currency than the company reports in (typically an ADR: the price is USD per depositary share, the statements aren't), so price and fair value can't honestly be compared and the MoS is withheld (the FV/sh shown* is in the reporting currency); n/a · ETF — a fund holds other assets, so company-earnings frameworks don't apply; n/a · no data — not enough fundamentals to compute a fair value. n/a rows carry no valuation force downstream.
- Quality
- The name's rank within this book on a composite of five quality measures: return on invested capital, gross profitability, free-cash-flow yield, revenue growth, and the F-Score. Earlier letters = higher quality.
- F (Piotroski F-Score)
- A 0–9 checklist of accounting health — profitability, improving balance sheet, operating efficiency. 7–9 is strong; below 4 is a warning.
How valuation is used
Valuation re-ranks and resizes technical buy candidates by a bounded amount and can amplify a signal-based sell — it never originates a trade on its own. A richly priced name that is trending is not a sell case; a cheap one with no signal is not a buy case. n/a rows (ETFs, currency mismatches) carry no valuation force.