AI · US Tech — Fair value
A slow-moving intrinsic anchor per name — earnings power and discounted cash flow, residual income for banks — answering what to pay, never when to trade.
0 unheld undervalued 6 held growth-priced-in 2 bargains ★
| Ticker | Name | Close | FV/sh | Method | MoS | Verdict | Quality | F | Bargain | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 330.65 | 205.38 | EPV | -61% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 17.5 | 5 | ||
| QCOM | Qualcomm Incorporated | 176.40 | 82.36 | EPV | -114% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 10.0 | 6 | ||
| SAP | SAP AE | 209.14 | 93.64 | EPV | -123% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 19.0 | 8 | ||
| MU H | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1027.77 | 432.15 | EPV | -138% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 2.0 | 8 | ||
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1764.17 | 739.70 | EPV | -139% | FAIR | 1.0 | 8 | ||
| NFLX | Netflix, Inc | 76.03 | 31.65 | EPV | -140% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 7.0 | 7 | ||
| META | Meta Platforms | 653.69 | 268.96 | EPV | -143% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 13.0 | 5 | ||
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 491.65 | 182.41 | EPV | -170% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 17.5 | 6 | ||
| CRM H | SalesForce Inc | 244.16 | 84.72 | EPV | -188% | FAIR | 13.0 | 7 | ||
| SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | 331.48 | 114.85 | DCF | -189% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 20.0 | 5 | ||
| NVDA H | NVIDIA Corporation | 223.67 | 76.31 | EPV | -193% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 3.0 | 6 | ||
| DELL H | Dell Technologies Inc | 535.25 | 153.92 | EPV | -248% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 8.0 | 7 | ||
| AAPL H | Apple | 315.34 | 81.80 | EPV | -286% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 4.0 | 9 | ||
| AMZN | Amazon.com Inc | 252.40 | 65.07 | EPV | -288% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 22.0 | 5 | ||
| IREN | IREN Limited | 45.37 | 11.01 | ResInc | -312% | OVERVALUED VS RI | 31.0 | 2 | ||
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | 182.91 | 34.65 | EPV | -428% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 13.0 | 6 | ||
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1729.52 | 316.54 | EPV | -446% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 15.0 | 7 | ||
| INTC | Intel Corporation | 106.24 | 13.52 | DCF | -686% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 28.0 | 6 | ||
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings | 988.98 | 112.98 | DCF | -775% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 23.0 | 5 | ||
| COHR | Coherent Corp. | 303.48 | 33.98 | EPV | -793% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 25.0 | 6 | ||
| AVGO | Broadcom Inc | 364.38 | 34.47 | EPV | -957% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 16.0 | 7 | ||
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 314.18 | 29.51 | DCF | -965% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 24.0 | 4 | ||
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc | 521.10 | 42.64 | EPV | -1122% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 11.0 | 8 | ||
| PLTR H | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 169.53 | 12.49 | EPV | -1257% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 6.0 | 8 | ||
| TSM H | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 435.36 | 28.95 | EPV | -1404% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 5.0 | 9 | ||
| TSLA | Tesla Inc | 367.81 | 18.05 | EPV | -1937% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 30.0 | 4 | ||
| ARM | Arm Holdings plc | 264.23 | 9.80 | EPV | -2595% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 9.0 | 8 | ||
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 147.55 | 2.17 | EPV | -6713% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 29.0 | 4 | ||
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 240.35 | 0.66 | EPV | -36466% | GROWTH PRICED IN | 21.0 | 6 | ||
| CRWV | CoreWeave, Inc. | 94.94 | -84.32* | EPV | — | n/a · no data | 26.0 | 4 | ||
| AAOI | Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. | 107.93 | -3.22* | EPV | — | n/a · no data | 27.0 | 4 |
How to read this table
- Ticker · H
- The exchange symbol; an H pill marks a name this book currently holds.
- Close
- The latest settled market price — what the stock costs today.
- FV/sh (fair value per share)
- Our estimate of what one share is intrinsically worth, from the company's own earnings power and cash flow — a slow-moving anchor refreshed with quarterly results, deliberately independent of the day's price action.
- Method
- How that fair value was computed: EPV (earnings power value — what steady current earnings are worth, assuming no growth), DCF (discounted cash flow — future cash flows brought back to today's dollars), or Bank (residual income — the right framework for banks, whose "cash flow" is not comparable to an industrial's).
- MoS (margin of safety)
- How far the price sits below fair value, as a percentage — the discount you get for buying today. Positive (teal) = priced below fair value; negative (red) = priced above it. The bar makes the size of the gap scannable.
- Verdict
- UNDERVALUED — price below the fair-value anchor. FAIR — above the anchor but still below the growth-inclusive DCF value. GROWTH PRICED IN — the price already assumes the optimistic growth case plays out. OVERVALUED VS RI — a bank trading above its residual-income value. When no verdict applies, the pill says why: n/a · currency — the listing trades in a different currency than the company reports in (typically an ADR: the price is USD per depositary share, the statements aren't), so price and fair value can't honestly be compared and the MoS is withheld (the FV/sh shown* is in the reporting currency); n/a · ETF — a fund holds other assets, so company-earnings frameworks don't apply; n/a · no data — not enough fundamentals to compute a fair value. n/a rows carry no valuation force downstream.
- Quality
- The name's rank within this book on a composite of five quality measures: return on invested capital, gross profitability, free-cash-flow yield, revenue growth, and the F-Score. Earlier letters = higher quality.
- F (Piotroski F-Score)
- A 0–9 checklist of accounting health — profitability, improving balance sheet, operating efficiency. 7–9 is strong; below 4 is a warning.
How valuation is used
Valuation re-ranks and resizes technical buy candidates by a bounded amount and can amplify a signal-based sell — it never originates a trade on its own. A richly priced name that is trending is not a sell case; a cheap one with no signal is not a buy case. n/a rows (ETFs, currency mismatches) carry no valuation force.