Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | Meta Platforms | 762.50 | BUY — QUEUED @729.93 | 729.93 | 706.02 | 740.60 (+1.5%) | 765.48 (+4.9%) | 992.26 (+35.9%) | Meta is the scan's top-ranked STRONG BUY for a second session on the favoured pullback-to-VWAP setup and passes the quality screen, but it closed 4.5% above the model entry, so we queue a limit at the entry rather than chase. OPERATIONAL: SB 86 x2, adj 78 (val -8, bias 0 report-only), ED -1.36, RSI 66. Size x0.75 (MoS -1.68): 0.6695 x x 0.20 x 0.75 / 729.93 = 143. UT-6 queue-don't-chase. Corrects the 10-13 gate misread (CSV Quality_Pass=True). Entry range 723.96-735.90; withdraw if conv < 65 or after 10-19. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 953.19 | SELL ALL | 953.19 | 1022.44⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1010.20 (+6.0%) | Micron broke through its pre-set hard exit line on a second day of selling over Chinese memory competition and a plant strike vote, and the model dropped to NO TRADE, so we exit the position. OPERATIONAL: Z3 hard leg fired (close 953.19 < 975.19; 2nd close below stop 1022.44, -6.77%/1.41 ATR). 12wk 1010.20 still +6% (L2 one leg) but the hard leg was pre-registered 10-13. PROFIT_ARMED underwater inert (UT-). Reference = anchor close; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1717.76 | SELL 30% | 1717.76 | 1790.34⚠ | 1749.71 (+1.9%) | 1824.25 (+6.2%) | 1715.51 (-0.1%) | ASML closed decisively below its pre-set trim line and the model's 12-week view is now flat, so we take a minimum 30% trim at the open that follows its Q3 report, keeping the rest for the post-print read. OPERATIONAL: Z3 armed line fired (close 1717.76 < 1737.85; 4th close below stop 1790.34, 1.36 ATR). L2 marginal (12wk -0.13%) + print between anchor and fill (Y2b) -> 30% tier. G2 suppresses MoS -4.80 bump. Residual 20: close < 1664.52 or post-print 12wk < close at 10-15 EOD -> SELL ALL. · news |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 208.67 | SELL 30% | 208.67 | 196.73 | 212.70 (+1.9%) | 222.10 (+6.4%) | 280.21 (+34.3%) | Palantir is up about 16% on cost but the model's conviction has kept sliding to 49) with the stock overbought, so we bank 30% of the position as the written profit-take re-fire. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0012 armed (Gain_ATR 4.21) + tick (b) re-fired per 10-13 trigger (conv <= 68). RSI 75.6. G2 suppresses MoS -14.92 bump -> 30%. Residual 423 stop 196.73 held (Y5); next fresh tick -> 50%. · news |
| AAPL | Apple | 341.27 | NO ACTION | 341.27 | 328.80 | 345.27 (+1.2%) | 354.59 (+3.9%) | 367.89 (+7.8%) | Apple's profit-take fired on an RSI divergence while near its 12-week target, but it was the fourth sell candidate and conviction is rising, so the book's three slots went to Micron, ASML and Palantir. OPERATIONAL: armed T12_Progress 92.76, Gain_ATR 1.52 (>= X2 1.0) + tick (a) RSI_DIV; G1 n/a (FailedBreakdown family). G2 suppresses MoS -3.16 bump. RE-FIRE next EOD: RSI_DIV with conv < 80 or any other tick -> SELL 30% (). Stop 328.80 held. |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 572.47 | HOLD | 572.47 | 545.12 | 581.11 (+1.5%) | 601.28 (+5.0%) | 780.03 (+36.3%) | H 64 flat; armed (Gain_ATR 3.63), no tick -> hold. Stop 545.12 held (chandelier 520.30, scan 510.26 looser). Next tick -> 50%. Ex-div 10-20. |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 445.12 | HOLD | 445.12 | 463.12⚠ | 451.90 (+1.5%) | 467.73 (+5.1%) | 481.99 (+8.3%) | 13 sold 10-@439.515. Residual above completion 432.24; 12wk +8.3% (L2 not met). Q3 10-15 -> hold; any close < 432.24 or L2 -> SELL ALL 31. Re-evaluate 10-16 EOD. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 228.52 | HOLD | 228.52 | 228.35 | 231.66 (+1.4%) | 238.98 (+4.6%) | 245.79 (+7.6%) | Closed back above stop (228.52 vs 228.35) -> Z3 count reset 0/2. Stop noise-breachable (0.03 ATR, U5b): breach = alert. 2 closes < 228.35 -> SELL 30% (21); < 222.88 -> SELL ALL. |
| GOOGL | Alphabet, Inc.- Class A | 353.78 | NO ACTION | 353.78 | 350.04 | 358.27 (+1.3%) | 368.73 (+4.2%) | 346.26 (-2.1%) | Alphabet printed a fresh BUY at 75 but fails the quality screen and the model's 12-week target sits below the close. OPERATIONAL: W 57 -> B 75 single print, adj 79, ED 0. Gate counterfactual. |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 543.45 | NO ACTION | 545.05 | 511.76 | 565.02 (+3.7%) | 611.62 (+12.2%) | 661.62 (+21.4%) | Microsoft cooled from STRONG BUY 88 to BUY 63 and still fails the quality screen. OPERATIONAL: below floor and gated (14th session). Gate counterfactual. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 347.70 | NO ACTION | 347.15 | 331.90 | 353.95 (+2.0%) | 369.82 (+6.5%) | 452.21 (+30.3%) | Cloudflare holds a BUY at 64 but fails the quality screen and sits below the conviction floor. OPERATIONAL: gate counterfactual (UT-EOQ-2 implausible-FV note applies). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
59 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.056 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.