Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1650.00 | SELL ALL | 1650.00 | 1790.34⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1572.08 (-4.7%) | ASML sold off 3.9% on its Q3 print (sales EUR11.7bn, Q4 guide EUR14.2-15.2bn) and the post-print model now projects a 12-week price below the close, so both exit legs are met. OPERATIONAL: written 10-14 completion fired (close 1650.00 < 1664.52 AND post-print 12wk 1572.08 < close); NO TRADE; 7.84% under the 1790.34 stop. = residual after the pending 10-14 SELL 9 (live until the executor books it). · news |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 221.30 | SELL ALL | 221.30 | 228.35⚠ | 224.88 (+1.6%) | 233.22 (+5.4%) | 231.36 (+4.5%) | Nvidia fell 3.2% in a chip sell-off on hot CPI and closed through the pre-registered hard exit line while the position is underwater. OPERATIONAL: Z3 hard leg fired (221.30 < 222.88, 0.27 ATR; 1.18 ATR under the 228.35 stop); PROFIT_ARMED inert (Gain_ATR -1.43, UT-9); next earnings 11-17. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 430.00 | SELL ALL | 430.00 | 463.12⚠ | 437.47 (+1.7%) | 454.91 (+5.8%) | 448.18 (+4.2%) | TSMC closed below its written completion line on the eve of its Q3 report, 2.7 ATR under its stop; the residual is exited as pre-registered rather than held as a bet on the print. OPERATIONAL: Z3 completion fired (430.00 < 432.24, only 0.18 ATR - marginal; 12wk 448.18 still positive). Q3 date 10-15 (Yahoo/SA; release timing vs US open unconfirmed - Y2(b)). Record Q3 revenue already published monthly. · news |
| AAPL | Apple | 342.96 | NO ACTION | 342.96 | 329.99 | 346.85 (+1.1%) | 355.93 (+3.8%) | 371.34 (+8.3%) | Apple is armed for a profit-take with an RSI divergence, but conviction holds at 85 and the dispose slots go to loss-prevention exits, so the trim is logged for grading only. OPERATIONAL: 10-14 re-fire trigger lapsed (conv >= 80, no other tick); trail raised 328.80 -> 329.99 (scan = 2.0xATR chandelier). |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 507.93 | HOLD | 492.51 | 545.12⚠ | 515.56 (+4.7%) | 533.36 (+8.3%) | 643.42 (+30.6%) | Dell fell 11.3% on a Barclays downgrade to Equal Weight plus the CPI tech slide; the 12-week view is still +26.7%, so the stop break is armed with written triggers rather than sold. OPERATIONAL: 1st close < 545.12 (1.07 ATR); T1 + Z3: 2nd consecutive close < 545.12 -> SELL 30% (93); any close < 473.04 -> SELL 50% (155); 12wk < close (L2) -> SELL ALL. Stop held (U5). · news |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 200.97 | HOLD | 191.96 | 196.73 | 201.52 (+5.0%) | 202.81 (+5.7%) | 279.22 (+45.5%) | Palantir prints BUY - ADD one session after the profit-take, but valuation pulls it to 61, below the floor, and adding back the trimmed shares would be a flip-flop. OPERATIONAL: post-fill; stop 196.73 is 0.58 ATR below close (noise-breachable, read a breach as an alert); 2 closes < 196.73 -> SELL 30% (127); close < 184.67 (engine stop) -> SELL ALL. |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 533.69 | NO ACTION | 515.50 | 503.96 | 520.64 (+1.0%) | 532.64 (+3.3%) | 644.91 (+25.1%) | Microsoft is the scan's #1 buy at 73 but fails the quality screen and adjusts to 64, below the floor. OPERATIONAL: gate counterfactual; ED -1.58 (extended). |
| SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | 335.08 | NO ACTION | 341.65 | 325.17 | 349.00 (+2.2%) | 366.15 (+7.2%) | 403.09 (+18.0%) | Snowflake flipped from WATCH to BUY but fails the quality screen and adjusts to 61. OPERATIONAL: gate counterfactual; single fresh print. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
62 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.056 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.