Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | Arm Holdings plc | 255.24 | SELL ALL | 255.24 | 279.20⚠ | n/a | n/a | 246.06 (-3.6%) | Arm broke below the pre-set completion line and the model now projects lower prices over 12 weeks, so we exit the remaining position amid a chip-sector selloff. OPERATIONAL: T2 completion fired (close 255.24 < 262.33); L2 both legs (below stop 279.20, 12wk 246.06 < close); NT -> AVOID 42 FailedBreakout_Down_20D (cell +3). PROFIT_ARMED underwater inert (UT-9). 30% (52) filled 10-@260.65. Reference = anchor close; reprice if the open gaps >1.5%. · news |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1487.33 | SELL ALL | 1487.33 | 1616.83⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1434.27 (-3.6%) | Sandisk fell through its completion line on a memory-chip selloff, printed NO TRADE for a second session and now projects lower 12-week prices, so we exit the rest. OPERATIONAL: completion fired on all legs (close 1487.33 < 1527.74; 2nd consecutive NT 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'; L2 12wk 1434.27 < close below stop). MoS -1.18 no amplification. 30% (6) filled 10-@1537.15. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 444.35 | SELL 30% | 444.35 | 463.12⚠ | 451.62 (+1.6%) | 468.57 (+5.5%) | 491.43 (+10.6%) | TSMC closed decisively below its pre-set hard line ahead of Thursday's results, so we take the minimum 30% trim while the 12-week view stays positive. OPERATIONAL: Z3 hard leg fired (close 444.35 < 451.11; 4.05%/1.55 ATR under stop 463.12) -> decisive break overrides catalyst hold (Q3 10-). L2 not met (12wk +10.6%) -> 30% tier. Cell FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|sell -8 noted (BB1 common-shock, PROPOSED/inert). Residual 31: stop 463.12 held (U5); any close < 432.24 or L2 -> SELL ALL 31. · news |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 209.00 | NO ACTION | 209.00 | 196.73 | 222.52 (+6.5%) | 254.08 (+21.6%) | 278.39 (+33.2%) | Palantir is up about 16% on cost and the model's conviction collapsed from, which fires a 30% profit-take, but it was the fourth sell candidate and the book's three slots went to loss-prevention exits. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0012 armed (Gain_ATR 3.99) + tick (b) -30 vs prior EOD (family switch BreakoutUp_20D -> MomentumContinuation_Up; BB4 PROPOSED/inert). G2 suppresses MoS -14.92 tier bump -> 30%. Dispose cap: loss-prevention ranks first. RE-FIRE next EOD: conv <= 68 or any tick -> SELL 30% () takes priority. Trail raised 194.68 -> 196.73 (Y5 scan stop 1.71 ATR). · news |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 576.76 | HOLD | 576.76 | 545.12 | 583.20 (+1.1%) | 598.23 (+3.7%) | 795.09 (+37.9%) | 134 sold 10-@581.73. H 38 -> H 64; armed (Gain_ATR 4.00), no tick -> hold. Stop 545.12 held (chandelier 527.36, scan 512.05 looser). Next tick -> 50%. Ex-div 10-20. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 989.04 | HOLD | 989.04 | 1022.44⚠ | 1016.81 (+2.8%) | 1081.62 (+9.4%) | 1106.72 (+11.9%) | 1st close below 1022.44 (989.04, 0.72 ATR) on a sector shock; 12wk +11.9% -> Z3 armed: 2nd close < 1022.44 -> SELL 30% (23); any close < 975.19 -> SELL ALL 77. |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1750.24 | HOLD | 1750.24 | 1790.34⚠ | 1779.94 (+1.7%) | 1849.23 (+5.7%) | 1795.37 (+2.6%) | 3rd close below 1790.34; hard leg 1737.85 held (1750.24). Conviction but underwater (Gain_ATR -0.98) -> not a tick (Y6/UT-9). Q3 10-14 catalyst hold. Any close < 1737.85 -> SELL 30% (9). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 226.32 | HOLD | 226.32 | 228.35⚠ | 229.40 (+1.4%) | 236.60 (+4.5%) | 245.69 (+8.6%) | 1st close below 228.35 (226.32, 0.39 ATR); 12wk +8.6% -> Z3 armed: 2nd close < 228.35 -> SELL 30% (21); any close < 222.88 -> SELL ALL 71. |
| AAPL | Apple | 340.97 | HOLD | 340.97 | 328.80 | 344.85 (+1.1%) | 353.91 (+3.8%) | 366.38 (+7.5%) | H 63 -> H 68; Gain_ATR 1.52 clears X2 floor -> armed, no tick -> trail. Scan/chandelier 328.03 looser -> 328.80 held. Z3 standby: close < 328.80 x2 -> 36; < 322.40 -> exit. |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 541.15 | NO ACTION | 511.24 | 499.85 | 516.32 (+1.0%) | 528.17 (+3.3%) | 653.87 (+27.9%) | Microsoft is the scan's top STRONG BUY at 88 but fails the quality screen for ath session and closed well above the model entry. OPERATIONAL: SB 95 -> SB 88, adj 79, ED -2.63. Gate counterfactual. |
| META | Meta Platforms | 742.96 | NO ACTION | 725.84 | 705.08 | 735.10 (+1.3%) | 756.71 (+4.3%) | 951.35 (+31.1%) | Meta jumped to a STRONG BUY at 86 but fails the quality screen and the signal is fresh (WATCH the prior print). OPERATIONAL: W 52 -> SB 86, adj 78, ED -0.83. Gate counterfactual. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
56 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.056 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.