Recommendations
1 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | Arm Holdings plc | 266.28 | SELL 30% | 266.28 | 279.20⚠ | n/a | n/a | 276.07 (+3.7%) | Arm closed below its stop for a second straight session and the model printed NO TRADE again, so the pre-written armed trigger fires a 30% trim; the 12-week view has shrunk to +3.7% and chip-sector news remains a concern. OPERATIONAL: Z3 fired (2nd close < 279.20 = 266.28, 0.78 ATR; 2nd consecutive NT cv0 'Consensus conflict + low conviction'). L2 second leg not met (12wk 276.07 > close) -> 30% tier, not full. PROFIT_ARMED underwater (Gain_ATR -2.47) inert (UT-9). Completion (T2) on residual 122: any close < 262.33 -> SELL ALL; 12wk < close while below stop -> SELL ALL. Reference = anchor close; reprice if open gaps >1.5%. · news |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1581.82 | SELL 30% | 1581.82 | 1616.83⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1638.70 (+3.6%) | Sandisk closed below its stop for a second session and its signal dropped from HOLD to NO TRADE, so the armed trigger fires a 30% trim while the 12-week view is only +3.6%. OPERATIONAL: Z3 fired (2nd close < 1616.83 = 1581.82, 0.42 ATR). L2 not met -> 30% tier. MoS -1.18 no bump. Completion on residual 15: any close < 1527.74, L2, or 2nd consecutive NO TRADE -> SELL ALL. PROFIT_ARMED underwater inert (UT-9). |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 586.06 | SELL 30% | 586.06 | 545.12 | 628.39 (+7.2%) | 727.15 (+24.1%) | 813.53 (+38.8%) | Dell is up about 23% on cost and armed for a profit-take, and the model's conviction collapsed from, so we bank 30% and trail the rest tighter. OPERATIONAL: ADR-0012 armed (PROFIT_ARMED, Gain_ATR 4.21) + tick (b) conviction -23 vs prior EOD; family switch FailedBreakdown_Up_20D -> BreakoutUp_W; BB4 within-family refinement PROPOSED/inert so not applied). Ticks a/c/d absent (12wk 813.53 = 1.39x). G1 softening doesn't shield (b). FAIR_VALUE MoS -0.84 no tier bump. x 30% = -> residual 311, stop raised 527.46 -> 545.12 (Y5: scan stop 1.6 ATR below close). Next tick -> 50% tier. · news |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 209.05 | ADD — QUEUED @204.72 | 204.72 | 194.68 | 215.68 (+5.4%) | 241.24 (+17.8%) | 273.72 (+33.7%) | Palantir closed at a record high after the Goldman Sachs upgrade and the model rates it a STRONG BUY - ADD for a third straight session; it is overbought and above the model entry, so the half-size add waits at that entry rather than chasing. OPERATIONAL: SBA -> 88, rank 2; BreakoutUp_20D|buy report-only (n=2) -> bias 0. MoS -14.92 -> val_adj -10, size x0.5: x 112.34% = 678 x 0.5 = x 204.72 =. REPRICES the unfilled 10-@195.02 queue (low 198.30) to the live Entry_Price. ED -0.60, RSI 76.3 (>75 -> provenance rule: reprice chosen over demote). PROFIT_ARMED (Gain_ATR 3.99), no tick -> trail raised 186.32 -> 194.68 (2.0xATR chandelier). Scan prints Order_Type 'Buy Stop' but entry < close -> gtc_limit. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1780.34 | HOLD | 1780.34 | 1790.34⚠ | 1812.24 (+1.8%) | 1886.69 (+6.0%) | 1862.08 (+4.6%) | 2nd session below 1790.34 (1780.34, -0.56%) but H 61 -> H 68 and hard leg 1737.85 not hit; Q3 10-14 -> catalyst-aware hold, 2-session count suspended. Any close < 1737.85 -> SELL 30% (9). Stop not lowered (U5). |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 453.31 | HOLD | 453.31 | 463.12⚠ | 460.88 (+1.7%) | 478.56 (+5.6%) | 516.53 (+13.9%) | 2nd session below 463.12 (453.31) but hard leg 451.11 not hit (0.17 ATR above); H 53 -> H 63, 12wk +13.9%; Q3 10-15 -> catalyst-aware hold. Any close < 451.11 -> SELL 30% (13). |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1029.00 | HOLD | 1029.00 | 1022.44 | 1056.07 (+2.6%) | 1119.24 (+8.8%) | 1200.73 (+16.7%) | H 61 -> H 42 (-19), unarmed (Gain_ATR 0.89) so not a tick. Stop 1022.44 held (scan 1006.44 only 0.5 ATR below; chandelier looser); cushion 0.15 ATR. If breached with 12wk positive -> Z3 (2nd close below -> 23; < 975.19 -> exit). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 229.28 | HOLD | 229.28 | 228.35 | 232.48 (+1.4%) | 239.94 (+4.6%) | 254.13 (+10.8%) | H 63 -> H 56; PROFIT_ARMED underwater (Gain_ATR -0.10) inert. Stop 228.35 held, cushion 0.17 ATR. If breached -> Z3 (2nd close below ->; < 222.88 -> exit). |
| AAPL | Apple | 336.64 | HOLD | 336.64 | 328.80 | 340.59 (+1.2%) | 349.82 (+3.9%) | 359.74 (+6.9%) | H 75 -> H 63; PROFIT_ARMED print but Gain_ATR 0.84 < X2 materiality 1.0 -> not armed. Stop 328.80 held (scan/chandelier 323.46 looser). Z3 standby: close < 328.80 x2 -> 36; < 322.40 -> exit. |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 535.07 | NO ACTION | 509.65 | 497.33 | 515.14 (+1.1%) | 527.95 (+3.6%) | 639.91 (+25.6%) | Microsoft jumped to the scan's #1 STRONG BUY at 95 but fails the quality screen (12th session), and it closed well above the model entry. OPERATIONAL: B 73 -> SB 95; adj 86; ED -2.07 (would queue). Gate counterfactual. |
| SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | 368.89 | NO ACTION | 349.57 | 312.45 | 371.84 (+6.4%) | 423.81 (+21.2%) | 453.30 (+29.7%) | Snowflake held a STRONG BUY at 88 but fails the quality screen. OPERATIONAL: SB; adj 78; ED -1.32. Quality gate (F-Score 5). Gate counterfactual. |
| SAP | SAP AE | 214.78 | NO ACTION | 214.78 | 212.39 | 217.65 (+1.3%) | 224.34 (+4.5%) | 233.41 (+8.7%) | SAP held a BUY at 75 for a second print but fails the quality screen. OPERATIONAL: B 75 -> B 75; val_adj -7, cell +2 -> adj 70. Gate counterfactual. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
53 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.056 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.