Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 574.00 | HOLD | 574.00 | 521.75 | 582.56 (+1.5%) | 602.55 (+5.0%) | 784.69 (+36.7%) | Dell holds its armed winner and the trail ratchets up to 521.75 after a +3.9% session on AI-platform demand; no deterioration tick fired, so it is a trail, not a trim. OPERATIONAL: PROFIT_ARMED Gain_ATR 3.68 material; ticks: (a) none, (b) conv rose, (c) 12wk 784.69 alive, (d) no NO TRADE -> armed-not-fired; Y5 trail 517.26 -> 521.75 (scan = 2.0xATR chandelier). Any fire tick -> trim 30% (191). · news |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 192.07 | HOLD | 192.07 | 181.35 | 194.52 (+1.3%) | 200.22 (+4.2%) | 250.30 (+30.3%) | Palantir's hold strengthened for a 3rd session (conviction 84) with a +30% 12-week view; the stop ratchets to the 2-ATR chandelier. OPERATIONAL: H ->; Gain_ATR 2.17 unarmed; scan 189.39 is 0.5 ATR (not adopted); chandelier 181.35 > 181.06 -> raised. Decisive close < 181.35 -> trim 30% (181). |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1045.56 | HOLD | 1045.56 | 1022.44 | 1064.93 (+1.9%) | 1110.12 (+6.2%) | 1270.99 (+21.6%) | Micron holds above its stop ahead of Samsung's preliminary Q3 print, the first hard read on memory pricing. OPERATIONAL: H 59 -> H 61; Gain_ATR 1.54 unarmed; scan 1027.18 is 0.5 ATR, chandelier 972.04 looser -> 1022.44 held. Samsung prelim 10-08; TSMC Sept revenue 10-09. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1834.10 | HOLD | 1834.10 | 1790.34 | 1845.10 (+0.6%) | 1870.78 (+2.0%) | 1999.96 (+9.0%) | ASML holds into its Q3 report on 10-14 with the stop at 1790.34; conviction eased but the 12-week view stays positive. OPERATIONAL: H 73 -> H 61 (-12, unarmed Gain_ATR 0.78; PROFIT_ARMED immaterial X2/Z2); stop 1790.34 is 0.97 ATR below (U5b); chandelier 1743.71 looser -> held. Re-evaluate at the 10-13 EOD; no adds into the print. |
| ARM | Arm Holdings plc | 302.56 | HOLD | 302.56 | 279.20 | 310.43 (+2.6%) | 328.81 (+8.7%) | 357.24 (+18.1%) | Arm recovered from WATCH to HOLD 59 on day two of the position; it sits just under cost with its 279.20 stop intact. OPERATIONAL: W 47 -> H 59; Gain_ATR -0.31 underwater, inert (Y6/UT-9). Re-test trigger (2nd WATCH/NO TRADE + close < 293.95) NOT met: printed HOLD, close 302.56. Stop 279.20 held (scan 294.66 0.5 ATR; chandelier 270.94 looser). |
| AAPL | Apple | 333.63 | HOLD | 333.63 | 328.21 | 335.63 (+0.6%) | 340.30 (+2.0%) | 353.42 (+5.9%) | Apple holds flat near cost; its stop line and the two-session trim trigger stay armed. OPERATIONAL: H 52 -> H 57; PROFIT_ARMED immaterial (Gain_ATR 0.43, X2; T12 saturation Z2). Stop 328.21 is 0.93 ATR below. Z3: close < 328.21 for 2 sessions -> trim 30% (36); hard leg < 321.36 -> exit 120. |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1660.46 | HOLD | 1660.46 | 1616.83 | 1706.36 (+2.8%) | 1813.46 (+9.2%) | 1890.03 (+13.8%) | Sandisk is the weak hold: conviction 42 and 10% under cost, but it closed above its stop with a positive 12-week view, so there is no exit basis yet; Samsung's print is the test. OPERATIONAL: H 42 -> H 42; Gain_ATR -2.43 unarmed (Y6). Close 1660.46 is 0.57 ATR above the 1616.83 stop. L2: close < 1616.83 with 12wk < close -> exit 21. Samsung prelim 10-08. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 482.30 | HOLD | 482.30 | 463.12 | 488.29 (+1.2%) | 502.26 (+4.1%) | 578.16 (+19.9%) | TSMC stays an armed winner after the AVOID print reverted to HOLD; no tick fired, so it is held on the 463.12 trail through the September revenue print. OPERATIONAL: AV 59 -> H 55 (-4); PROFIT_ARMED Gain_ATR 4.44 material; ticks: (a) none, (b) -4 only, (c) 12wk 578.16 alive, (d) no NO TRADE -> armed-not-fired; chandelier 462.34 < 463.12 -> held (never lower). TSMC Sept revenue 10-09, Q3 10-15. Any fire tick -> trim 30% (13). |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 239.24 | HOLD | 239.24 | 228.35 | 242.73 (+1.5%) | 250.87 (+4.9%) | 273.36 (+14.3%) | Nvidia's hold strengthened to 73 on an AnticipationUp_VCP base; the stop ratchets to the 2-ATR chandelier above its 229.80 cost. OPERATIONAL: H 63 -> H 73; Gain_ATR 1.73 unarmed; chandelier 228.35 > 227.52 -> raised; scan 224.30 looser. No add: the row is HOLD (buy-stop 240.64 is the engine's, not an ADD label). |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 529.30 | NO ACTION | 505.56 | 493.60 | 510.90 (+1.1%) | 523.35 (+3.5%) | 629.04 (+24.4%) | Microsoft is the book's #1 buy (STRONG BUY 88 on a VWAP pullback), but it fails the quality screen for the 9th straight session. OPERATIONAL: SB ->; MoS -1.81 -> val_adj -9; adj 79; ED -1.99 (would be a GTC limit @505.56). Quality gate (F-Score 6) blocks new entries. · news |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 171.92 | NO ACTION | 153.05 | 145.34 | 156.49 (+2.2%) | 164.51 (+7.5%) | 212.49 (+38.8%) | SpaceX printed a 2nd consecutive STRONG BUY (86), but it fails the quality screen and faces a 328M-share lock-up tranche on 10-09. OPERATIONAL: SB; MoS -68.7 -> val_adj -10; adj 76; ED -2.45 (X4: a >2 ATR queue is non-participation). Quality gate (F-Score 4). |
| TSLA | Tesla Inc | 380.68 | NO ACTION | 380.68 | 374.96 | 382.96 (+0.6%) | 388.29 (+2.0%) | 386.01 (+1.4%) | Tesla's BUY rose to 84, but it fails the quality screen and its own 12-week view (386.01) is barely above entry. OPERATIONAL: B; MoS -18.65 -> val_adj -10; FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|buy +3; adj; U2 fails: 12wk 386.01 = 1.014x entry < 1.02. Quality gate (F-Score 4). |
| SNOW | Snowflake Inc. | 335.95 | NO ACTION | 334.27 | 322.07 | 339.68 (+1.6%) | 352.31 (+5.4%) | 398.06 (+19.1%) | Snowflake re-printed a pullback BUY () but fails the quality screen and lands below the floor after valuation. OPERATIONAL: W 59 -> B; MoS -1.96 -> val_adj -10; adj 61. Quality gate (F-Score 5). |
| META | Meta Platforms | 738.88 | NO ACTION | 710.68 | 689.89 | 719.95 (+1.3%) | 741.58 (+4.3%) | 986.32 (+38.8%) | Meta's pullback BUY returned at 69, but it fails the quality screen and falls below the floor after valuation. OPERATIONAL: W 61 -> B 69; MoS -1.70 -> val_adj -8; adj 61; ED -1.36. Quality gate (F-Score 5). |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc | 649.42 | NO ACTION | 650.32 | 580.21 | 667.51 (+2.6%) | 707.60 (+8.8%) | 925.42 (+42.3%) | AMD is the only buy that passes the quality screen, but its momentum BUY (65) is priced far beyond intrinsic value and lands at adjusted 55, below the 65 floor. OPERATIONAL: B; MoS -13.35 (deeper at the 649.42 anchor, T4) -> val_adj -10, size x0.5; MomentumContinuation_Up|buy report-only (n=2), discounted on ties (L1/UT-12); RSI 72.2. |
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings | 1133.40 | BUY-STOP | 1130.71 | 941.52 | 1180.41 (+4.4%) | 1296.37 (+14.7%) | 1608.11 (+42.2%) | Lumentum printed BUY - ANTICIPATE in all 3 of the last 3 snapshots, which meets slot stability, but it fails the quality screen, so it gets no anticipate slot. OPERATIONAL: ANTIC -> 70; MoS -7.60 -> val_adj -10; adj 60; Quality gate (F-Score 5). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
52 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.070 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.