Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 552.29 | HOLD | 552.29 | 517.26 | 560.76 (+1.5%) | 580.53 (+5.1%) | 745.98 (+35.1%) | Dell eased 1.8% but stays +15.6% on cost with a strongly positive 12-week view; armed for profit-taking, but no deterioration tick fired, so we hold on the raised stop. OPERATIONAL: H 69 -> H 61 (-8, below the 20-pt tick); PROFIT_ARMED Gain_ATR 3.11 material (X2), no other warning, 12wk 745.98 alive, no NO TRADE -> armed-not-fired = trail check; 517.26 already above chandelier/scan 504.43 (Y5 never-lower). Any fire tick -> trim 30% (191). |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 189.40 | HOLD | 189.40 | 181.06 | 192.13 (+1.4%) | 198.49 (+4.8%) | 246.41 (+30.1%) | Palantir strengthened to HOLD 76 with a +30% 12-week view; hold. OPERATIONAL: H 64 -> H 76; Gain_ATR 1.66 unarmed; scan stop 186.70 is 0.5 ATR (not adopted), chandelier 178.58 looser -> 181.06 held. Decisive close < 181.06 -> trim 30% (181). |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1063.96 | HOLD | 1063.96 | 1022.44 | 1087.03 (+2.2%) | 1140.87 (+7.2%) | 1318.99 (+24.0%) | Micron drifted 1% lower ahead of Samsung's preliminary results on 10-08; the 12-week view is still +24%, so we hold. OPERATIONAL: H 61 -> H 59; Gain_ATR 1.94 unarmed (Y6); scan 1044.62 is 0.5 ATR, chandelier 986.58 looser -> 1022.44 held. Samsung prelim 10-08. |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1859.86 | HOLD | 1877.88 | 1790.34 | 1896.49 (+1.0%) | 1981.95 (+5.5%) | 2026.37 (+7.9%) | ASML held near its highs into the Q3 print on 10-14; we raise the stop to lock in the gain from entry. OPERATIONAL: H 88 -> H 73 (-15, unarmed: Gain_ATR 1.40 < 3, X2); Y5: scan 1790.34 is 1.59 ATR below the close and tighter than chandelier 1772.32 -> raised 1771.82 -> 1790.34. No adds into the 10-14 print; re-evaluate at the 10- EOD. |
| ARM | Arm Holdings plc | 302.90 | HOLD | 302.90 | 279.20 | 306.79 (+1.3%) | 315.88 (+4.3%) | 356.87 (+17.8%) | Arm filled at 307.39 and gave back 1.5% on its first day with no news, so the signal cooled from BUY to WATCH; the stop is intact and the 12-week view still shows +18%, so we hold. OPERATIONAL: B 76 -> W 47 (-) on a day-old position; Gain_ATR -0.25 underwater, so the tick is inert (Y6/UT-9). Scan row still prints Held=N (Y4 race). Stop 279.20 held (scan 293.95 is 0.5 ATR; chandelier 267.09 looser). Watch: 2nd consecutive WATCH/NO TRADE + close < 293.95 -> re-test. · news |
| AAPL | Apple | 332.89 | HOLD | 332.89 | 328.21 | 334.89 (+0.6%) | 339.55 (+2.0%) | 353.56 (+6.2%) | Apple is flat at HOLD 52, slightly above cost; hold on the existing stop. OPERATIONAL: PROFIT_ARMED immaterial (Gain_ATR 0.28, X2; T12 saturation Z2). Stop 328.21 is 0.74 ATR below (U5b noise-breachable). Z3: close < 328.21 for 2 sessions -> trim 30% (36); hard leg close < 321.36 -> exit 120. |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1704.16 | HOLD | 1704.16 | 1616.83 | 1750.23 (+2.7%) | 1857.73 (+9.0%) | 2000.62 (+17.4%) | Sandisk's conviction slid to 42 while the position sits 7.7% underwater, but it closed well above its stop with a +17% 12-week view; hold into Samsung's 10-08 read. OPERATIONAL: H 61 -> H 42 (-19, unarmed Gain_ATR -1.80, inert per Y6/UT-9). Stop 1616.83 held (scan 1664.66 is 0.5 ATR). L2: close < 1616.83 with 12wk < close -> exit 21. |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 485.80 | HOLD | 485.80 | 463.12 | 493.83 (+1.7%) | 512.57 (+5.5%) | 557.24 (+14.7%) | TSMC hit a record on reports of Musk Terafab talks, and the position is up 10.9%; the scan flags it overbought, but no profit-take tick fired, so we raise the stop rather than trim. OPERATIONAL: H 43 -> AVOID 59 ReversalDown_Overbought, RSI 75.6; PROFIT_ARMED Gain_ATR 4.21 material; ticks: (a) none, (b) conv rose, (c) 12wk 557.24 > 1.02x close, (d) no NO TRADE -> armed-not-fired = mandatory trail 451.76 -> 463.12 (2.0xATR chandelier). Catalysts: TSMC Sept revenue 10-09, Q3 10-15 (hold/trail through). Any fire tick -> trim 30% (). · news |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 238.90 | HOLD | 238.10 | 227.52 | 241.66 (+1.5%) | 248.10 (+4.2%) | 269.22 (+13.1%) | Nvidia's add filled at 236.07 and the stock rose another 2.1% to 238.90; we hold the larger position and raise the stop. OPERATIONAL: BUY-ADD 78 -> H 63 (-15); real cost 229.80 (scan Avg_Cost 226.80 is stale, Y4) -> Gain_ATR 1.60, unarmed. Fill +0.46% through the 234.98 trigger (inside the V7 cap). Y5: chandelier 227.52 tighter than scan 223.64 -> raised 223.83 -> 227.52. |
| SPCX | Space Exploration Tech Corp | 171.09 | NO ACTION | 151.89 | 143.59 | 169.03 (+11.3%) | 164.22 (+8.1%) | 201.57 (+32.7%) | SpaceX printed the book's #1 STRONG BUY 81, but it fails the quality screen and closed 2.3 ATR above the pullback entry. OPERATIONAL: NT -> NT -> AVOID 63 -> SB 81 PullbackBuy_VWAP; MoS -68.66 -> val_adj -10; Quality gate (F-Score 4) blocks new entries; ED -2.32 would be a queue at 151.89 anyway. 10-09 lock-up tranche (328.4M sh) adds supply risk. |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 525.18 | NO ACTION | 523.33 | 492.06 | 530.24 (+1.3%) | 542.04 (+3.6%) | 618.39 (+18.2%) | Microsoft stayed a STRONG BUY (78) but fails the quality screen for the 8th session. OPERATIONAL: SB 90 -> SB 78 BreakoutUp_20D; MoS -1.81 -> val_adj -9; Quality gate (F-Score 6/FCF) blocks. |
| NET | Cloudflare, Inc. | 359.49 | NO ACTION | 359.49 | 348.57 | 366.31 (+1.9%) | 382.23 (+6.3%) | 499.66 (+39.0%) | Cloudflare flipped to BUY 78 but fails the quality screen (F-Score 4). OPERATIONAL: NT -> NT -> W 48 -> B 78 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (fresh, 1 print); MoS -10.77 -> val_adj -10; cell +3; Quality gate blocks (U3: F-Score genuine). |
| TSLA | Tesla Inc | 378.73 | NO ACTION | 378.73 | 364.91 | 381.00 (+0.6%) | 386.30 (+2.0%) | 374.94 (-1.0%) | Tesla flipped to BUY 76, but it fails the quality screen and its own 12-week view (374.94) sits below entry. OPERATIONAL: NT -> B 76 FailedBreakdown_Up_20D; Quality gate (F-Score 4) + U2 (12wk 0.99x entry) both refuse. |
| AMD | Advanced Micro Devices, Inc | 631.75 | NO ACTION | 570.71 | 549.10 | 623.08 (+9.2%) | 602.84 (+5.6%) | 900.24 (+57.7%) | AMD printed a pullback BUY 64 and passes the quality screen, but its conviction is below the floor and the price sits far above the entry. OPERATIONAL: W 38 -> B 64 PullbackBuy_VWAP; MoS -13.35 -> val_adj -10 -> adj 54 < 65; ED -2.83 (X4: a 570.71 limit is a non-participation queue). |
| INTC | Intel Corporation | 116.19 | NO ACTION | 112.61 | 106.93 | 117.65 (+4.5%) | 121.06 (+7.5%) | 150.58 (+33.7%) | Intel's pullback BUY slipped to 64 and it still fails the quality screen. OPERATIONAL: B -> B 64; val_adj suppressed (EPV negative, US-53); Quality gate blocks. |
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings | 1091.67 | NO ACTION | 1098.16 | 901.55 | 1140.65 (+3.9%) | 1254.94 (+14.3%) | 1486.08 (+35.3%) | Lumentum printed BUY - ANTICIPATE in 2 of the last 3 snapshots (70, 63), which meets slot stability, but it fails the quality screen, so it gets no anticipate slot. OPERATIONAL: SB 90 -> ANTIC 70 -> ANTIC 63; MoS -7.60 -> val_adj -10; Quality gate (F-Score 5) blocks new entries. |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 485.80 | NO ACTION | 485.80 | 463.12 | 493.83 (+1.7%) | 512.57 (+5.5%) | 557.24 (+14.7%) | Conditional idea priced for the counterfactual grader: a 30% TSM trim at a record high and RSI 75.6 on an AVOID ReversalDown_Overbought print. It was NOT taken because no ADR-0012 fire tick fired and the forward view is +14.7%. OPERATIONAL: optional untaken trim, @485.80. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
51 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.070 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.