Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| ARM | Arm Holdings plc | 307.49 | BUY | 307.49 | 279.20 | 315.13 (+2.5%) | 332.96 (+8.3%) | 360.08 (+17.1%) | Arm has printed two straight buys with conviction climbing, passes the quality screen (F-Score 8), and rallied on Friday as agentic-AI demand reprices its CPU royalties. It is the only quality-passing new entry that clears the floor after a full valuation haircut, so we open a half-size starter with room to the 333 band top. OPERATIONAL: B 68 -> W 54 -> B 66 -> B 76, Buy_Rank 3 (#1 MSFT, #4 META gate-blocked). val_adj -10 (MoS -28.54) + bias +3 (FailedBreakdown_Up_20D|buy, Z5 sign held 5 reads) = adj 69. U2: 12wk 360.08 = 1.17x entry. U6: Target 346.65 sits above the Est band top 332.96, so the band top is the 4wk objective. Size: 50.71% x 1,057,909.46 x 20% x 0.5 (MoS <= -3) = 53,646.59 / 307.49 ->. Z7: the +5.2% session is 0.77 ATR on a 6.4%-ATR name, and the 0.5x already applies, so no extra haircut. Stop: the engine's 297.70 is only 0.5 ATR below, so V5 applies: 2.0xATR off the 318.36 high = 279.20, written to state now (Y3). Market order at the 10-05 open (Order_Type Market, ED 0.00, close in the lower third of the range); reprice if it gaps >1.5% (L8). SoftBank margin-loan overhang noted. · news |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 233.95 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @234.98 lapsed — closed 233.95 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. Nvidia set a record high on a $150bn buyback expansion and Morgan Stanley's top-pick call, and the scan turned its three-session strengthening hold into a BUY - ADD 78. We add a small, risk-defined slice through a buy-stop just above Friday's close, so it fills only if strength continues. OPERATIONAL: HOLD -> 85 -> BUY-ADD 78 (BreakoutUp_52W, L1 discount noted; the own cell is n=4, report-only). val_adj -10 (MoS -1.99) + bias 0 = adj 68. U2: 12wk 258.09 = 1.10x. U6: Target 263.32 sits above the band top 242.08, which becomes the 4wk objective. Y4 ADD path: 63.29% x x 0.75 = 22.8 -> (about). PROFIT_ARMED is immaterial (Gain_ATR 1.28, X2). V7 cap: if the open is more than 1.5% through 234.98, treat the order as unfilled and reprice from the next snapshot. The stop on the whole position rises to 223.83 (Y5: the scan stop is 1.82 ATR below the close). GTC buy-stop expires 10-07. · news |
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 562.52 | HOLD | 562.52 | 517.26 | 577.99 (+2.8%) | 614.09 (+9.2%) | 765.81 (+36.1%) | Hold: no sell signal, no stop breach, and the forward view stays positive. OPERATIONAL: PROFIT_ARMED is material (Gain_ATR 3.28) but no tick fires: conv rose, 12wk 765.81 is alive, no other warning, no NO TRADE. That makes it a mandatory trail-raise. The 517.26 stop already sits above both the 2.0xATR chandelier (510.95 off the close, 516.43 off the high) and the scan 510.95, so it stays (Y5 never-lower). Exit only on a decisive close < 517.26 WITH 12wk < close (L2/T1). |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 188.75 | HOLD | 188.75 | 181.06 | 188.45 (-0.2%) | 187.74 (-0.5%) | 246.81 (+30.8%) | Hold: no sell signal, no stop breach, and the forward view stays positive. OPERATIONAL: HOLD 64 stable. Stop 181.06 held: scan 174.05 and chandelier 177.76 are looser. A decisive close < 181.06 -> trim 30% (181). Note that Target_Price 187.74 is already below the close. |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 1074.89 | HOLD | 1074.89 | 1022.44 | 1100.99 (+2.4%) | 1161.89 (+8.1%) | 1347.51 (+25.4%) | Hold: no sell signal, no stop breach, and the forward view stays positive. OPERATIONAL: Conviction collapsed (-35) on a -2.1% day, but the position is unarmed (Gain_ATR 1.97, T12 79.8), so Y6 makes the tick inert; RSI_DIV has cleared. Stop 1022.44 held: scan 1053.14 is only 0.5 ATR below; chandelier 987.89 is looser. Samsung prelim 10-08. |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1867.31 | HOLD | 1867.31 | 1771.82 | 1947.02 (+4.3%) | 2133.01 (+14.2%) | 2002.87 (+7.3%) | Hold: no sell signal, no stop breach, and the forward view stays positive. OPERATIONAL: HOLD 88 (AnticipationUp_VCP), +3.3%. PROFIT_ARMED is immaterial (Gain_ATR 1.44, X2). Y5: stop 1736.90 -> 1771.82 (2.0xATR chandelier off the close, tighter than scan 1751.05). Q3 results 10-14: re-evaluate at the 10-13 EOD, no adds into the print. |
| AAPL | Apple | 333.69 | HOLD | 333.69 | 328.21 | 337.77 (+1.2%) | 347.28 (+4.1%) | 355.98 (+6.7%) | Hold: no sell signal, no stop breach, and the forward view stays positive. OPERATIONAL: HOLD 51. PROFIT_ARMED is immaterial (Gain_ATR 0.38, X2; T12 saturates per Z2). Stop 328.21 is 0.81 ATR below the close, so it is noise-breachable (U5b). Z3: close < 328.21 for 2 sessions -> trim 30% (36); hard leg close < 321.36 -> exit 120. |
| SNDK | Sandisk Corporation | 1719.99 | HOLD | 1719.99 | 1616.83 | 1769.90 (+2.9%) | 1886.36 (+9.7%) | 2059.16 (+19.7%) | Hold: no sell signal, no stop breach, and the forward view stays positive. OPERATIONAL: Conviction (-25) on a -3.8% memory-sector day. The position is underwater (Gain_ATR -1.52), so it is unarmed and the tick is inert (Y6/UT-9). Stop 1616.83 held (scan 1678.40 is 0.5 ATR below). Close < 1616.83 with 12wk < close -> exit 21. Samsung prelim 10-08. |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 472.78 | HOLD | 472.78 | 451.76 | 485.66 (+2.7%) | 515.70 (+9.1%) | 541.97 (+14.6%) | Hold: no sell signal, no stop breach, and the forward view stays positive. OPERATIONAL: NO TRADE -> HOLD 43 (BreakoutUp_52W), +3.0%, RSI 71.5. PROFIT_ARMED is material (Gain_ATR 3.31) but not fired: conv rose, 12wk 541.97 is alive, and the NO TRADE print did not repeat. Mandatory trail-raise: 440.72 -> 451.76 (2.0xATR chandelier off the close). TSMC Sept revenue 10-09, Q3 10-15. |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 517.53 | NO ACTION | 517.53 | 511.69 | n/a | 540.88 (+4.5%) | 603.70 (+16.7%) | Microsoft printed the book's top signal (STRONG BUY 90, #1 rank), but it fails the quality screen (F-Score 6), so it is not bought. OPERATIONAL: B -> 84 -> SB 90; Quality gate (F-Score/FCF screen failed) blocks new entries. 7th consecutive session the #1 buy is gate-blocked. |
| META | Meta Platforms | 728.08 | NO ACTION | 728.08 | 716.02 | n/a | 776.33 (+6.6%) | 973.22 (+33.7%) | Meta re-printed BUY 76, but it fails the quality screen (F-Score 5). OPERATIONAL: B 68 -> W 54 -> B 66 -> B 76; Quality gate (F-Score/FCF screen failed) blocks new entries. |
| INTC | Intel Corporation | 119.33 | NO ACTION | 111.68 | 105.59 | n/a | 120.74 (+8.1%) | 157.80 (+41.3%) | Intel flipped from NO TRADE to a pullback BUY 71, but it fails the quality screen and sits 1.26 ATR above its entry. OPERATIONAL: NT -> NT -> B 71 (fresh); val_adj suppressed (EPV negative, US-53); Quality gate (F-Score/FCF screen failed) blocks new entries. |
| NBIS | Nebius Group, N.V. | 242.81 | NO ACTION | 242.81 | 235.34 | n/a | 272.64 (+12.3%) | 278.13 (+14.5%) | Nebius re-printed BUY 69, but it fails the quality screen (negative FCF). OPERATIONAL: B 68 -> W 61 -> W 54 -> B 69; val_adj suppressed (EPV 0.66 implausible, US-53/UT-EOQ-2), but F-Score/FCF are genuine, so the gate stands (U3). |
| LITE | Lumentum Holdings | 1085.42 | NO ACTION | 1084.92 | 878.42 | n/a | 1497.93 (+38.1%) | 1426.36 (+31.5%) | Lumentum dropped from STRONG BUY to an anticipation print, which appears in only 1 of the last 3 snapshots, and it fails the quality screen, so it gets no anticipate slot. OPERATIONAL: SB 86 -> B 68 -> SB 90 -> ANTIC 70; Quality gate (F-Score/FCF screen failed) blocks new entries. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
50 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.070 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.