Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | Dell Technologies Inc | 372.36 | HOLD | 372.36 | 545.12⚠ | n/a | n/a | 212.25 (-43.0%) | Dell fell another 9% as the midterm result revived fears of slower AI data-center spending; it is now 32% below its stop with a 12-week view 43% under the price, so the 10- exit order stays open. OPERATIONAL: L2 complete; 10- SELL live to the 11-06 run (last chance - re-issue at the 11-06 EOD if still unfilled); takes no slot; carried, not re-issued; executor REFUSED (one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - reconcile first. · news |
| PLTR | Palantir Technologies Inc. | 171.70 | HOLD | 171.70 | 196.73⚠ | n/a | n/a | 168.14 (-2.1%) | Palantir slipped again and its 12-week projection fell below the price for the first time, so the break is now on both legs and the 10- exit stands. OPERATIONAL: Z3 hard leg + 12wk now negative (168.14 < 171.70, L2 complete); withdrawal test failed (171.70 < 201.36); 10- SELL live to the 11-06 run; carried, not re-issued; executor REFUSED (one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - reconcile first. · news |
| MU | Micron Technology, Inc. | 795.23 | HOLD | 795.23 | 1022.44⚠ | n/a | n/a | 537.06 (-32.5%) | Micron dropped 7% on worries that slower data-center construction eases the memory shortage, and the scan now prints SELL - REDUCE; it is 22% below its stop, so the 10- exit order stays open. OPERATIONAL: L2 complete + SELL - REDUCE 61 BreakdownDown_20D (Sell_Rank 1); 10- SELL live to the 11-06 run; carried, not re-issued; executor REFUSED (one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - reconcile first. · news |
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 1496.30 | HOLD | 1496.30 | 1790.34⚠ | n/a | n/a | 1092.18 (-27.0%) | ASML fell 3.6% to a new low for this move, 16% below its stop and under its 200-day average with a negative 12-week view, so the 11-03 exit order stays open. OPERATIONAL: L2 complete; 11-03 SELL live to the 11-07 run; carried, not re-issued; executor REFUSED (one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - reconcile first. |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 200.13 | HOLD | 200.13 | 228.35⚠ | n/a | n/a | 160.61 (-19.7%) | Nvidia fell on concern about scrutiny of AI data centers after the Democratic sweep and the scan is back on SELL - REDUCE; it is 12% below its stop and under its 200-day average, so the 11-03 exit order stays open. OPERATIONAL: L2 complete + SELL - REDUCE 57 BreakdownDown_20D; earnings 11-17 outside the 5-day window; 11-03 SELL live to the 11-07 run; carried, not re-issued; executor REFUSED (one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - reconcile first. · news |
| TSM | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing C | 395.75 | HOLD | 395.75 | 463.12⚠ | n/a | n/a | 322.15 (-18.6%) | TSMC slipped back below its 200-day average, 15% under its stop with a 12-week view 19% below the price, so the 11-03 exit order stays open. OPERATIONAL: L2 complete; TSMC October revenue ~11-10; 11-03 SELL live to the 11-07 run; carried, not re-issued; executor REFUSED (one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - reconcile first. |
| AAPL | Apple | 349.51 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @352.19 lapsed — closed 349.51 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. Apple jumped 5.3% to a record high as investors rotated into big tech that spends less on AI infrastructure after the midterm sweep, and the scan flipped to a 52-week breakout at full conviction; the add is a half-size buy-stop just above the close because the stock is richly valued. OPERATIONAL: adj 100-10+2=92 (BreakoutUp_52W|buy +2 held 2 reads, Z5); 112.34% x = 134.8 -> x0.5 (MoS -3.29 <= -3) =; 12wk 1.038x entry passes U2; ED +0.23 (buy-stop above close, +0.77%); not post-earnings (U4 n/a) and session move 1.51 ATR < Z7 2.0 ATR, so no chase haircut; RSI_DIV downgraded to trail by G1; stop 336.96 kept (Y5: scan 328.82 / chandelier 326.14 both lower); 4wk 411.60 > 12wk 365.59 ladder defect (L1 overshoot) - treat 4wk as optimistic. executor REFUSED (one-cent CASH drift ledger 548,211.53 vs file 548,211.52) - reconcile first. · news |
| AAPL | Apple | 349.51 | HOLD | 349.51 | 336.96 | n/a | n/a | 365.59 (+4.6%) | Apple reclaimed its stop with a record close, so the two-close exit rule resolved by price and the core are held. OPERATIONAL: Z3 resolved by price (349.51 > 336.96, 1.07 ATR cushion); stop not re-tightened (Z3b); PROFIT_ARMED valid (Gain_ATR 1.57 >= X2 floor) with RSI_DIV tick downgraded to trail-raise by G1 (fresh BreakoutUp_52W cv100); ticks b/c/d absent. · news |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp | 555.80 | NO ACTION | 551.93 | 501.04 | 582.47 (+5.5%) | 653.72 (+18.4%) | 613.07 (+11.1%) | Microsoft rose about 7% to a record and flipped to a strong breakout buy, but it fails the quality screen for new entries, so no position is opened. OPERATIONAL: adj 90-9+0=81 clears the floor; Quality_Pass False blocks new entry (U3; MoS -1.88 plausible so UT-EOQ-2 n/a); BreakoutUp_20D|buy n=4 0/4 report-only; one-print flip from NO TRADE 0; session move 1.74 ATR. · news |
| SAP | SAP AE | 240.04 | NO ACTION | 229.74 | 223.01 | 232.74 (+1.3%) | 239.73 (+4.3%) | 291.59 (+26.9%) | SAP strengthened to a strong buy and now clears the conviction floor, but it still fails the quality screen and closed well above its model entry. OPERATIONAL: adj 85-8=; Quality_Pass False (U3); ED -1.53 ATR (extended - would queue at 229.74, X4 >~1.5 ATR away). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
81 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.037 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
91 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.