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HK End-of-Day Verdict 16 Oct 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-10-16 (hk)

Recommendations

2 to acquire · 3 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
0068MANYCORE TECH4.77BUY — QUEUED @4.774.773.945.26 (+10.3%)5.40 (+13.2%)6.09 (+27.7%)Manycore printed a fresh BUY 75 oversold-reversal at the settle with entry at the close and the model's 1/4/12-week estimates all above the entry; valuation is blind (NA) so it is a small, technical-only starter. OPS: new entry at config equity 600k x 20% x 70.59% = HK -> (assumed lot); GTC limit 4.77, stop 3.94 (1.9 ATR); first settled print after AVOID 63 at 14:00 - withdraw if the 10-20 settle prints AVOID/REDUCE; RSI 22.5 falling-knife caution (B not triggered: 12wk +28%). · news
0823LINK REIT38.20ADD — QUEUED @37.2837.2836.2938.40 (+3.0%)38.48 (+3.2%)38.70 (+3.8%)Link REIT turned from AVOID to a settled BUY-ADD 73 pullback-to-VWAP signal after reclaiming its-day average, and is priced near fair value; the add waits for a pullback to the model entry rather than chasing. OPS: EntryDist -1.85 -> QUEUED limit 37.28 (no chase); PullbackBuy cell -7 (n=20, hit_4w.06) -> adj 66, barely above floor; 63.97% x = 1,791 -> lot 100 =; stop 36.29; sell case retired on the new bullish signal (HK-EOQ-2). · news
0005HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS149.70SELL 50%149.70143.60149.68 (-0.0%)148.50 (-0.8%)146.68 (-2.0%)HSBC has closed below its stop for an eleventh session with a negative 12-week view, and the engine still shows no bullish signal, so the stop-break exit stands at half the position. OPS: L2 50%; residual stop 143.60 (EMA), full-exit re-arm on a 2nd settled close < 143.60; HSBC Q3 10-27; 11th consecutive card unexecuted. · news
2513KNOWLEDGE ATLAS518.00SELL 80%518.00426.57565.45 (+9.2%)619.77 (+19.6%)618.08 (+19.3%)Knowledge Atlas remains below its pre-committed 580.67 exit line for a third session and the engine now prints a breakdown (AVOID 47 BreakdownDown_20D), so the standing-share sale is still the basis. OPS: T6 numeric re-arm; residual stop 426.57 (2 ATR); estimator disagrees (+9% 1wk) and is down-weighted (T5). · news
1347Hua Hong Semiconductor74.95SELL 49.87%74.9563.3580.54 (+7.5%)83.67 (+11.6%)92.63 (+23.6%)Hua Hong broke to a new 52-week low on a SELL-REDUCE breakdown signal with a fresh death cross, 25% below its recorded stop, amid an Asia-wide chip selloff. OPS: engine 49.87% x -> lot = (down from the 10-15 SSR 83 2,000 card); MoS -12 amplify suppressed (G2, DCF blank); residual 2,000 stop 63.35 (2 ATR); model 61.67 not adopted. · news
3750CATL440.80HOLD—458.15⚠n/an/an/aCATL stays below its 458.15 trigger on an AVOID breakdown signal but ranks behind larger exits. OPS: SELL first in line (minimum tier, UNDERVALUED); residual stop 397.54 (2 ATR); Q3 ~10-22. · news
0700TENCENT417.80HOLD—420.11⚠n/an/an/aTencent closed below its 420.11 stop again with a negative 12-week view (403.12), keeping the stop-break exit armed. OPS: SELL second in line (L2); model stop 439.14 > close refused (P6); Avg_Cost 1.0 junk (P1). · news
0981SMIC52.40HOLD—57.19⚠n/an/an/aSMIC's STRONG SELL-REDUCE faded to AVOID 61 at the settle while it holds 8% below its stop; the 12-week view is above the close, so no L2. OPS: SELL 2,000 third in line; re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 50.06 (1 ATR); residual stop 47.72. · news
0522ASMPT138.00HOLD—164.62⚠n/an/an/aASMPT stays below its-day average on an AVOID signal after the SELL-REDUCE faded. OPS: SELL fourth in line; re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 128.45 (1 ATR); Q3 10-27. · news
2888STANCHART223.60HOLD—236.74⚠n/an/an/aStanChart's 12-week view rose back above the close (227.03 vs 223.60), so the stop-break exit lapses. OPS: L2 re-arm on 12wk < close while below 236.74, OR close < 207.06 (EMA). · news
7709XL2CSOPHYNIX19.19HOLD—14.18n/an/an/aThe 2x Hynix ETF holds an oversold-reversal HOLD 88 on seven prints, keeping the sell case suspended. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 / breakdown family OR close < 14.18; model stop 12.06 refused (HK-12). · news

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

285 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.640 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.