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HK End-of-Day Verdict 21 Oct 2026, 16:00:00 GMT+8

Hong Kong — End-of-Day Verdict

EOD 2026-10-21 (hk)

Recommendations

2 to acquire · 3 to dispose

TickerNameCloseActionAction Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. Rationale
0068MANYCORE TECH3.09BUY — QUEUED @3.093.092.493.33 (+7.8%)3.44 (+11.3%)3.86 (+24.9%)Manycore holds a STRONG BUY 88 oversold-reversal signal on seven straight prints with the entry at the close; bought at half size because two unexplained gap-down days (-25%, -13%) make the model stop meaningless. OPS: repriced from the withdrawn @3.56 queue; stop 2.49 (close - 1 ATR; model 1.99 refused, HK-12); withdraw on an AVOID/REDUCE settle; cancel if @3.56 was filled on 10-21. · news
7747XL2CSOPSMSN51.60BUY — QUEUED @51.6051.6044.8054.18 (+5.0%)56.25 (+9.0%)56.96 (+10.4%)The 2x Samsung ETF flipped to a fresh BUY 72 oversold-reversal on five straight prints with a positive 12-week view; half size for leverage and a degenerate model stop. OPS: stop 44.80 (close - 1 ATR; model 37.58 refused, HK-12); leveraged-ETF exit rule applies; hklev overlap - hk governs (L7). · news
0005HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS145.80SELL 50%145.80139.51146.35 (+0.4%)146.14 (+0.2%)145.67 (-0.1%)HSBC has closed below its 155.31 stop for thirteen sessions and its 12-week projection (145.67) is now below the close, so the stop-break plus negative-forward-view exit fires; the model's no-trade sell cell is this book's most reliable. OPS: L2 re-arm met by 0.09% (lapsed by 0.4% on 10-20); HSBC Q3 10-27 - decisive break, not a pre-trim; residual stop 139.51 (2 ATR). · news
2513KNOWLEDGE ATLAS496.00SELL 80%496.00407.94548.85 (+10.7%)590.17 (+19.0%)597.43 (+20.4%)Knowledge Atlas stays in a sell-family signal (AVOID 61 failed breakout) with no bullish reversal, five sessions below the pre-committed 580.67 line and ~70% under cost. OPS: T6 thread since 09-17; HK-EOQ-2 (withdraw only on a bullish signal); estimator disagrees (T5); residual stop 407.94; 10-20 card executable at 497 open, unrecorded. · news
0700TENCENT393.80SELL 85.46%393.80359.01393.98 (+0.0%)385.94 (-2.0%)375.25 (-4.7%)Tencent printed STRONG SELL-REDUCE 81 on a fresh 52-week-low breakdown, closed below its 420.11 stop, and its 12-week view (375) sits below the close; fair value offers no offset. OPS: R7 lot-down; residual stop 359.01 (model); 10-20 card was executable at 412 open. · news
2888STANCHART217.20HOLD—203.29n/an/an/aStanChart is below its stop with a sub-close 12-week view (L2 armed) but the three dispose slots went to larger dollar bleeds. OPS: SELL when a slot frees; state stop 236.74; residual 203.29. · news
0981SMIC49.96HOLD—57.19⚠n/an/an/aSMIC holds SELL-REDUCE 60 and closed 49.96, through its 50.06 hard re-arm, but is un-slotted on dollar bleed. OPS: SELL when a slot frees; residual stop 45.16. · news
7709XL2CSOPHYNIX19.62HOLD—14.18n/an/an/aThe 2x Hynix ETF settled STRONG SELL-REDUCE 79, meeting its re-arm, after intraday HOLD prints. OPS: SELL (2x ETF 50% rule) when a slot frees; full exit only on 3 prints conv>=70 below stop; SK Hynix 10-28. · news
1347Hua Hong Semiconductor73.50HOLD—100.58⚠n/an/an/aHua Hong bounced to an oversold-bounce HOLD 80, not a BUY label, so the open sell case stays open (HK-EOQ-2). OPS: 10-20 SELL unreconciled; re-arm settled REDUCE OR close < 72.80; residual stop 62.39. · news
3750CATL364.80HOLD—307.31n/an/an/aCATL fell 11.4% on a Q3 profit miss but the engine prints HOLD 88 oversold-reversal with a 12-week view above the close, so no sell into the capitulation print. OPS: re-arm settled REDUCE >= 65 OR 12wk < close; stop 307.31 (model). · news
0522ASMPT134.40HOLD—117.27n/an/an/aASMPT settled HOLD 71 above its 128.45 re-arm line. OPS: SELL on settled REDUCE >= 65 OR close < 128.45; stop 117.27; Q3 ~10-27. · news
0823LINK REIT38.00HOLD—36.41n/an/an/aLink REIT recovered to HOLD 62; no add or sell case. OPS: stop 36.41 (model). · news
0939CCB - H SHS9.78HOLD—9.40n/an/an/aCCB printed BUY-ADD 65 again but the PullbackBuy haircut drops it to 58, below the floor. OPS: re-arm BUY-ADD with adj >= 65; stop 9.40 (model). · news

Outcome & track record

Accuracy at the time of this record.

292 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.635 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

This website is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and assess your own risk tolerance before making investment decisions.