Recommendations
0 to acquire · 3 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0522 | ASMPT | 101.20 | SELL 45.45% | 101.20 | 83.50 | 104.90 (+3.7%) | 110.71 (+9.4%) | 123.70 (+22.2%) | Settled STRONG SELL - REDUCE (cv66, Sell_Rank 1) on a failed-breakout downtrend far below EMA50/; trusted HK sell family, valuation growth-priced. 4th issue of the standing SELL card (HK-EOQ-2 keeps it open); residual 600 stop 83.50. |
| 0700 | TENCENT | 398.80 | SELL 50% | 398.80 | 375.20 | 396.36 (-0.6%) | 387.85 (-2.7%) | 384.43 (-3.6%) | Settled close 398.80 broke the 405.20 stop with a negative 12-week view (384.43) and the signal turned to a bear-trend rally sell; news of possible US curbs on remote AI-chip access confirms. L2 stop-break + neg-12wk trim (pre-committed 11-11), decisive break overrides the Q3 11-18 hold-through; residual stop 375.20. · news |
| 0316 | OOIL | 150.00 | SELL ALL | 150.00 | 144.11 | 149.89 (-0.1%) | 151.23 (+0.8%) | 158.00 (+5.3%) | Fourth consecutive settled close below the 150.61 trailing stop with NO TRADE prints and a flat forward view; exits the odd-lot residual. Fired pre-committed trail re-arm (re-issue of 11-11 card); NoTrade|sell cell +7. |
| 2513 | KNOWLEDGE ATLAS | 454.00 | NO ACTION | 454.00 | 400.00 | 495.11 (+9.1%) | 517.34 (+14.0%) | 536.31 (+18.1%) | Still a STRONG SELL - REDUCE label but conviction dipped (adj 58 < 65 floor): standing, unslotted, not retired (HK-EOQ-2). Re-slot on settled SSR >= 62 or close < 400. |
| 3750 | CATL | 374.20 | HOLD | 374.20 | 335.16 | 376.93 (+0.7%) | 394.00 (+5.3%) | 418.89 (+11.9%) | SSR 37 x5, Sell_Rank 3, sub-floor; standing SELL 200. Stop 335.16. |
| 0981 | SMIC | 48.74 | HOLD | — | 43.22 | 49.98 | 51.07 | 53.75 | AV 48; WATCH. Re-arm: settled REDUCE >= 65 or close < 43.22 (post-Q3). |
| 1347 | Hua Hong Semiconductor | 77.00 | HOLD | — | 63.24 | 78.73 | 81.10 | 92.31 | AV 64; WATCH. Re-arm: settled REDUCE >= 65 or close < 63.24. |
| 0823 | LINK REIT | 41.50 | WATCH | 41.37 | 38.88 | 41.30 (-0.2%) | 41.50 (+0.3%) | 40.78 (-1.4%) | STRONG BUY breakout, Buy_Rank 1, but quality gate (F-Score/FCF) failed and 12wk 40.78 < close 41.50; near-miss. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.44 | HOLD | — | 10.21 | 10.44 | 10.47 | 10.55 | NT x7; HOLD, stop 10.21 (P1 ignores PROFIT_ARMED). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
362 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.700 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
88 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.