Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2888 | STANCHART | 230.20 | BUY-STOP — QUEUED @231.66 | 231.66 | 211.79 | 230.86 (-0.3%) | 230.90 (-0.3%) | 233.09 (+0.6%) | Standard Chartered printed a second straight volatility-contraction anticipation signal at rising conviction, and the bank has just raised its 2026 outlook after a strong Q3. We place a small buy-stop that only fills if the price breaks higher, so we get in before a breakout without chasing. Ops: anticipate slot met (2/3 prints, cv>=55); HF-3 clear (Est_12W 233.09 > close 230.20); HF-4 small shortfall (Est_1W 230.86 < entry 231.66, -0.35%) -> demote-not-veto, extra 0.5x (HF-P35/P67). Size 68.24% x HKx 20% = HK x 0.5 anticipate x 0.5 HF-4 = HK ->. NA_CCY: val_adj 0, gate off. No scorecard cell. Reprice per L8 if the 11-13 open gaps >1.5%. Expires 11-17. · news |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.44 | HOLD | 10.44 | 10.21 | 10.44 (+0.0%) | 10.47 (+0.3%) | 10.55 (+1.1%) | CCB holds a steady pullback signal above its stop with the China big-bank Q3 beat still supportive; nothing argues for selling. Ops: cv60 flat; Gain 1.42 ATR not armed; printed stop 9.68 < carried 10.21 (ratchet); pre-commit SELL 7000 below 10.21 stays live. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.84 | HOLD | 8.84 | 8.45 | 8.85 (+0.1%) | 8.84 (+0.0%) | 8.89 (+0.6%) | Bank of Communications is steady just above cost with a bullish-family signal; we hold on the stop. Ops: cv60->61, family rotated to FailedBreakdown_Up_20D; printed stop 8.43 < carried 8.45; Gain 1.01 ATR not armed. |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.24 | HOLD | 6.24 | 6.00 | 6.23 (-0.2%) | 6.15 (-1.4%) | 6.22 (-0.3%) | Bank of China's conviction rebounded to 72 and the position is about 5% in profit; we hold, but a HOLD print does not yet justify adding. Ops: re-arm needs a 2nd BUY/SBA-ADD print; 12wk Est 6.22 < close 6.24 (thin); non-bullish counter stays 0; stop 6.00 carried. |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 54.00 | HOLD | 54.00 | 51.98 | 53.99 (-0.0%) | 53.82 (-0.3%) | 53.74 (-0.5%) | China Merchants Bank is flat just under cost with weak conviction; the stop at 51.98 is the exit line, and it has not been touched. Ops: cv46 unchanged; printed stop 51.74 < carried 51.98; not armed. |
| 0388 | HKEX | 382.00 | HOLD | 382.00 | 366.39 | 382.43 (+0.1%) | 382.66 (+0.2%) | 380.97 (-0.3%) | HKEX has no clear signal either way and remains above its stop, so we hold (valuation alone never originates a sell). Ops: 5th NO TRADE; NoTrade|sell bias -8 argues against exiting; HF-6; stop 366.39. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS | 140.70 | HOLD | 140.70 | 133.60 | 141.86 (+0.8%) | 142.52 (+1.3%) | 148.35 (+5.4%) | HSBC's small residual is about 6% in profit with a positive 12-week view; no exit signal, so we hold on the stop. Ops: 5th NO TRADE; Gain 2.40 ATR not armed; stop 133.60. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
87 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.105 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.