HK Financials — End-of-Day record | algo2alpha

Total-Return Index · Q4 2026 100.0 0.0% QTD Performance ›

Today's recommendations

1 to acquire · 0 to dispose

Ticker	Name	Close	Action	Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice.	Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice.	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	Rationale
2888	STANCHART	229.80	BUY-STOP — QUEUED @232.38	232.38	215.04	230.70 (-0.7%)	230.76 (-0.7%)	233.90 (+0.7%)	Standard Chartered has printed an anticipation-buy setup for three straight sessions after raising its 2026 outlook, so we keep a buy-stop that only fills if the stock breaks higher. Ops: repriced from the unfilled 11-12 card @231.66 (supersedes it) to the live Entry 232.38 / stop 215.04; 0.5x anticipate x 0.5x HF-4 (Est_1W 230.70 < Entry); expires 11-18. · news
3988	Bank of China	6.28	HOLD	6.28	6.06	6.26 (-0.3%)	6.22 (-1.0%)	6.28 (+0.0%)	Bank of China's signal strengthened to conviction 83 and the position is ~6% in profit, so we hold with a raised stop. Ops: HOLD is not a re-arm print; Gain 2.52 ATR not armed; stop ratcheted 6.00 -> 6.06.
0939	CCB - H SHS	10.50	HOLD	10.50	10.21	10.47 (-0.3%)	10.59 (+0.9%)	10.62 (+1.1%)	CCB stays in a constructive bullish setup about 4% above cost, with no exit signal, so we hold. Ops: printed stop 10.04 below carried 10.21, not loosened; Gain 1.65 ATR not armed.
3328	Bank of Communications	8.89	HOLD	8.89	8.50	8.88 (-0.1%)	8.87 (-0.2%)	8.92 (+0.3%)	Bank of Communications holds its bullish setup near recent highs, so we hold and lift the stop. Ops: stop ratcheted 8.45 -> 8.50; RSI 67; Gain 1.31 ATR not armed.
3968	China Merchants Bank	53.95	HOLD	53.95	51.98	54.05 (+0.2%)	53.80 (-0.3%)	53.62 (-0.6%)	China Merchants Bank's conviction recovered to 53 and the price is above its stop, so we hold. Ops: printed stop 51.08 below carried 51.98, not loosened; ADD re-arm needs cv>=65.
0388	HKEX	378.40	HOLD	378.40	366.39	379.23 (+0.2%)	381.06 (+0.7%)	373.42 (-1.3%)	HKEX has no clear signal either way and remains above its stop, so we hold (valuation alone never originates a sell). Ops: 6th NO TRADE; NoTrade\|sell bias -8 argues against exiting; Est_12W below close, watch; HF-6; stop 366.39.
0005	HSBC HDGS	139.90	HOLD	139.90	133.60	140.51 (+0.4%)	141.42 (+1.1%)	145.66 (+4.1%)	HSBC's small residual is about 5% in profit with a positive 12-week view; no exit signal, so we hold on the stop. Ops: 6th NO TRADE; Gain 2.48 ATR not armed; stop 133.60.

Outcome & track record

How accurate the calls have been.

87 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →

0.786 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.

89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.

Signal-type track record How each signal *type* has performed across ALL of this book's past decisions — not a per-stock note. 'bias' is the conviction nudge (+/-) applied to a fresh signal of that type; n = sample size, hit_1w = share that hit the 1-week target. Reliable cells earn a boost; weak ones a haircut.

How each signal type has performed across this book's past decisions (aggregate, not per-stock) — and the conviction nudge it earns.

BreakoutUp_20D (buy): 7 past trades, 29% hit the 1-week target → -4 conviction nudge.
FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (buy): 8 past trades, 88% hit the 1-week target → +8 conviction nudge.
FailedBreakdown_Up_20D (sell): 24 past trades, 25% hit the 1-week target → -5 conviction nudge.
FailedBreakout_Down_20D (sell): 6 past trades, 67% hit the 1-week target → +3 conviction nudge.
NoTrade (sell): 9 past trades, 11% hit the 1-week target → -8 conviction nudge.
PullbackBuy_VWAP (buy): 5 past trades, 40% hit the 1-week target → -2 conviction nudge.
ReversalDown_Overbought (sell): 5 past trades, 40% hit the 1-week target → -2 conviction nudge.

Portfolio & signals

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

Ticker	Name	Close	Signal The chart pattern the engine detected on this name. Hover a signal for its one-line definition; click it for the full setup/trigger rules, the trade box it produces, and the newsletter issue that teaches the underlying concept.	Action	Conv	1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.	12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close.
H	Bank of China	6.28	AnticipationUp_VCP	HOLD	83	6.26 (-0.3%)	7.11 (+13.2%)	6.28 (-0.0%)
H	CCB - H SHS	10.50	FailedBreakdown_Up_20D	HOLD	57	10.47 (-0.3%)	10.96 (+4.4%)	10.62 (+1.1%)
H	Bank of Communications	8.89	FailedBreakdown_Up_20D	HOLD	57	8.88 (-0.1%)	9.28 (+4.4%)	8.92 (+0.3%)
H	China Merchants Bank	53.95	PullbackBuy_VWAP	HOLD	53	54.05 (+0.2%)	55.97 (+3.7%)	53.62 (-0.6%)
H	HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS	139.90	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	140.51 (+0.4%)	n/a	145.66 (+4.1%)
H	HKEX	378.40	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	379.23 (+0.2%)	n/a	373.42 (-1.3%)
	STANCHART	229.80	AnticipationUp_Donchian_ATR	BUY - ANTICIPATE	62	230.70 (+0.4%)	267.06 (+16.2%)	233.90 (+1.8%)
	AIA Group	77.75	PullbackBuy_VWAP	BUY	60	77.28 (-0.6%)	79.60 (+2.4%)	79.44 (+2.2%)
	China Taiping Insurance	17.15	FailedBreakout_Down_20D	AVOID	46	17.14 (-0.1%)	n/a	16.96 (-1.1%)
	BOC Hong Kong Holdings	49.90	FailedBreakdown_Up_20D	WATCH	40	50.23 (+0.7%)	52.09 (+4.4%)	50.02 (+0.2%)
	Ping An Insurance	51.60	NoTrade	NO TRADE	0	51.19 (-0.8%)	n/a	50.50 (-2.1%)

HK Financials — End-of-Day Verdict

1 to acquire · 0 to dispose

How accurate the calls have been.

Every name we scanned, and where it stands.

Earlier end-of-day records.