Recommendations
2 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.26 | ADD — QUEUED @6.17 | 6.17 | 6.01 | 6.36 (+3.1%) | 6.21 (+0.6%) | 6.44 (+4.4%) | Bank of China reprinted STRONG BUY-ADD cv90 (Buy_Rank 1) on its 20-day breakout for a third straight bullish session, with a positive 12-week view (6.44, +2.8% vs close) - keep pyramiding, but at the printed entry 6.17 since the close (6.265) is still 0.76 ATR extended. Reprice of the unfilled 10-12 gtc_limit @6.17 (low held 6.205) - replaces it, does not stack (HF-P54). 77.96% x =. HF-4 clear (Est_1W 6.36 >= 6.17). RSI_DIV on a genuine arm (Gain 4.32 ATR) G1-softened to trail; stop 6.00 -> 6.01 (2.0x ATR chandelier). Expires 10-16. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.96 | ADD — QUEUED @9.94 | 9.94 | 9.59 | 10.04 (+1.0%) | 9.90 (-0.4%) | 10.11 (+1.7%) | CCB closed at a new 52-week high and conviction rebounded to BUY-ADD (Buy_Rank 2), with a positive 1-week and 12-week view (10.04 / 10.11) - add to the winner at the printed entry 9.94, just 0.11 ATR under the close (shallow queue per HF-P6/P13, not a chase). 43.88% x = (, nearest). HF-4 clear (10.04 >= 9.94); HF-3 clear (+1.5%). PROFIT_ARMED is the T12 leg only (Gain 2.44 < 3.0, HF-P50) so RSI_DIV is not a tick. China CPI/PPI 10-14 is two-sided hold-through. Stop 9.59 (carried ratchet). Expires 10-16. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.63 | NO ACTION | 8.63 | 8.28 | 8.73 (+1.2%) | 8.67 (+0.5%) | 8.82 (+2.2%) | BoCom printed a second BUY-ADD cv71 at a 52-week-high close (+11.7% on cost) but still carries an RSI divergence with RSI 72.8; the profit-take rule fired (armed Gain 5.20 + RSI_DIV, G1 n/a at cv71) yet 30% of the odd-lot rounds to zero 1,000-share lots and a full sale is barred from profit-take alone (HF-P65) - so trail instead. Stop 8.26 -> 8.28 (8.63 - 2x0.174). Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken 150-share trim. Re-arm 2/2 met but the add is also lot-blocked. |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 53.90 | NO ACTION | 53.90 | 51.56 | 54.58 (+1.3%) | 54.41 (+0.9%) | 55.11 (+2.2%) | China Merchants Bank edged to another 52-week-high close (+9.3% on cost) but conviction slipped (HOLD); on a genuinely armed line (Gain 3.90 ATR) that is profit-take tick (b), yet 30% of the-share line rounds to zero-share lots and a full sale is barred from profit-take alone (HF-P65) - so trail instead. Stop 51.40 -> 51.56 (53.90 - 2x1.172). Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken trim. Pre-commit: close < 51.56 AND Est_12W < close -> SELL 500. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
68 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.727 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.