Recommendations
2 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.85 | ADD — QUEUED @9.70 | 9.70 | 9.59 | 9.91 (+2.2%) | 9.88 (+1.9%) | 10.12 (+4.3%) | CCB reprinted BUY-ADD (cv71, Buy_Rank 1), now as a VWAP pullback - the book's preferred entry family - with positive 1-week and 12-week views (9.91 / 10.12), so add again but only on a dip to the printed entry 9.70 (0.91 ATR under the 9.855 close). Follows the 10-13 add that filled @9.94 today. Sized on the scan-basis 6,000 (43.88% ->,) to avoid compounding a same-day pyramid; HF-4 clear (9.91 >= 9.70), HF-3 clear. PROFIT_ARMED is the T12 leg only (Gain 1.14 on the 9.66 cost, HF-P50). Stop 9.59 (carried ratchet). Expires 10-20 (Chung Yeung 10-19 assumed). |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.20 | ADD — QUEUED @6.09 | 6.09 | 6.01 | 6.20 (+1.8%) | 6.12 (+0.5%) | 6.39 (+4.9%) | Bank of China stays bullish for a 4th straight print (BUY-ADD cv71, VWAP pullback) with a positive 12-week view (6.39, +3.1% vs close), but conviction eased from 90, so the add is smaller and repriced to the live entry band: 6.09 (printed Entry 6.06 + 0.25 ATR, ~1 ATR under the 6.20 close). Supersedes the unfilled 10-13 gtc_limit @6.17 (low 6.18 missed by one tick) - does not stack (HF-P54). 43.88% x =. HF-4 clear (6.20 >= 6.09). Armed (Gain 4.30) but not fired (cv -19 < 20; T12 6.39 >= 1.02x close) -> trail held 6.01. Expires 10-20. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.63 | NO ACTION | 8.63 | 8.33 | 8.66 (+0.4%) | 8.80 (+2.0%) | 8.70 (+0.9%) | BoCom held flat near its 52-week high (+11.6% on cost) but cooled to HOLD cv63 with RSI 72.5 and a 12-week view only 0.9% above the close; on a genuinely armed line (Gain 6.09 ATR) that is profit-take tick (c), yet 30% of the odd-lot rounds to zero 1,000-share lots and a full sale is barred from profit-take alone (HF-P65) - so trail instead. Stop 8.28 -> 8.33 (8.625 - 2x0.147). Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken 150-share trim. Pre-commit: close < 8.33 -> SELL 500. |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 53.55 | NO ACTION | 53.55 | 51.56 | 53.34 (-0.4%) | 53.81 (+0.5%) | 54.01 (+0.9%) | China Merchants Bank's conviction rebounded (BUY-ADD, VWAP pullback) after a -0.6% day, but its 12-week view sits only 0.9% above the close, which on a genuinely armed line (Gain 4.06 ATR) is profit-take tick (c); both the 30% trim and the 43.88% add round to zero-share lots (HF-P65), and the printed entry 51.60 is 1.88 ATR deep (HF-P6 -> watch). Hold and keep the 51.56 trail (chandelier 51.47 is lower). Pre-commit: close < 51.56 AND Est_12W < close -> SELL 500. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
68 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.727 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.