Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.98 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @10.00 lapsed — closed 9.98 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. CCB stepped up to STRONG BUY-ADD (cv82, Buy_Rank 2) on its third straight bullish print, with conviction rising from 71 and a positive 12-week view (10.17), so pyramid - but only on confirmation: a buy-stop at the printed entry 10.00, just above the 9.975 close. Supersedes the unfilled 10-14 gtc_limit @9.70 (price ran away; HF-P54 strengthened origination -> higher tier, no stacking). 77.96% x =. HF-4 clear but de-minimis (Est_1W 10.01 vs 10.00); Est_4W 9.91 is the weak leg. PROFIT_ARMED is T12-leg only (Gain 1.78, HF-P50). Stop ratchets 9.59 -> 9.65 (printed). Expires 10-21 (Chung Yeung 10-19 holiday; China GDP/LPR priced 10-20). |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 53.95 | NO ACTION | 53.95 | 51.97 | 53.93 (-0.0%) | 54.32 (+0.7%) | 54.46 (+0.9%) | China Merchants Bank printed STRONG BUY-ADD at maximum conviction (cv100), but its own 1-week estimate (53.93) sits below the 54.38 buy-stop and the 12-week view is only +0.15% above it, so the add is withheld to a watch (HF-4 material, -0.83%) rather than chased; 77.96% x also rounds up to a full-lot doubling. On the genuinely armed line (Gain 4.66 ATR) the profit-take fired on tick (c) (RSI_DIV downgraded by G1), but 30% of rounds to zero lots (HF-P65) -> trail raised 51.56 -> 51.97 (chandelier). Re-arm: BUY/STRONG BUY-ADD cv>=65 AND Est_1W_Point >= Entry_Price AND Est_12W_Point >= 1.01x Entry. Pre-commit: close < 51.97 -> SELL 500. |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.16 | NO ACTION | 6.16 | 6.01 | 6.16 (+0.0%) | 6.08 (-1.3%) | 6.32 (+2.6%) | Bank of China's add filled at 6.09 today and closed 6.16, but the signal cooled sharply to HOLD (cv, so no further adds; the 12-week view (6.32) is still above the close and the stop is intact, so hold rather than cut a one-session-old lot in profit. The -27 conviction drop is tick (b), but on the blended @5.829 line the arm is the T12 leg only (Gain 2.75 < 3.0; the scan row is pre-fill, HF-P18b) -> suppressed (HF-P50). Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken 2,000-share (30%) trim. Trail held 6.01 (chandelier 5.92 lower). Pre-commits: close < 6.01 -> SELL 2,000; 2 consecutive NO TRADE -> SELL 2,000. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.62 | NO ACTION | 8.62 | 8.33 | 8.63 (+0.1%) | 8.83 (+2.4%) | 8.62 (+0.0%) | BoCom held flat near its high (+11.5% on cost) as conviction eased to HOLD cv55 with RSI 72 and a 12-week view equal to the close; on the genuinely armed line (Gain 6.16 ATR) that fires profit-take tick (c), but 30% of the odd-lot rounds to zero 1,000-share lots and a full sale is barred from profit-take alone (HF-P65) - so trail. Stop 8.33 held (chandelier = printed = carried). Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken 150-share trim. Pre-commit: close < 8.33 -> SELL 500. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
69 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.727 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.