Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.86 | HOLD | 9.87 | 9.65 | 9.90 (+0.4%) | 9.92 (+0.6%) | 10.06 (+2.0%) | CCB eased to HOLD (cv after a -1.1% day, but it sits 1.2 ATR above its stop and the 12-week view (10.06) is above the close, so hold the line with no add. The -22 conviction drop is tick (b), but the arm is the T12 leg only (Gain 1.14 ATR < 3.0) -> suppressed (HF-P50). Stop 9.65 carried (printed 9.37 lower). Pre-commit: close < 9.65 -> SELL 3,000. Re-arm: BUY/STRONG BUY-ADD cv>=65 at the printed Entry with Est_1W >= Entry. |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 53.25 | NO ACTION | 53.25 | 51.97 | 53.08 (-0.3%) | 53.47 (+0.4%) | 53.42 (+0.3%) | China Merchants Bank's conviction collapsed from cv100 to HOLD 60 (-1.3%) and its 12-week view sits flat to the close, so on the genuinely armed line (Gain 3.62 ATR) the profit-take fired on two ticks ((b) and (c)) -> 50% tier. But 50% of is 250 against a-share lot, and selling the whole line is barred from profit-take alone (HF-P65), so hold on the 51.97 trail (chandelier 51.09 lower). Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken trim. Pre-commit: close < 51.97 -> SELL 500. |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.14 | HOLD | 6.14 | 6.01 | 6.15 (+0.2%) | 6.12 (-0.3%) | 6.31 (+2.8%) | Bank of China's conviction recovered to HOLD 60 (from 44) with the 12-week view (6.31) above the 6.14 close, so hold the line. The PROFIT_ARMED flag is T12-leg only (Gain 2.52 ATR < 3.0) -> suppressed (HF-P50). Trail 6.01 held (chandelier 5.89 lower). Pre-commits: close < 6.01 -> SELL 2,000; 2 consecutive NO TRADE -> SELL 2,000. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.48 | NO ACTION | 8.48 | 8.33 | 8.53 (+0.6%) | 8.63 (+1.8%) | 8.48 (+0.0%) | BoCom slipped 1.6% and conviction kept fading -> 40), with the 12-week view equal to the close. On the genuinely armed line (Gain 4.79 ATR) that fires profit-take tick (c), but 30% of the odd lot rounds to zero lots and a full sale is barred from profit-take alone (HF-P65), so hold on the 8.33 trail (0.96 ATR cushion; chandelier 8.17 lower). Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken 150-share trim. Pre-commit: close < 8.33 -> SELL 500. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
72 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.727 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.