Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0966 | China Taiping Insurance | 16.72 | NO ACTION | 16.72 | 15.71 | 16.78 (+0.4%) | 16.93 (+1.3%) | 17.02 (+1.8%) | China Taiping flipped from WATCH to a fresh BUY cv84 on a deeply oversold reversal (RSI 17.6) with a positive 12-week view and the cheapest valuation in the book (UNDERVALUED, MoS +0.83), but it fails the hard quality screen (F-Score 5, Quality_Pass False), which blocks new entries, so no order. Ledgered optional so the counterfactual prices the-share buy @16.72 (26.5% x 2,027,424 x 20% = HK / 16.72,). HF-3/HF-4 both clear (Est_12W 17.02 > close, Est_1W 16.78 >= entry). Re-arm: Quality_Pass True AND BUY cv>=65 at a printed Entry with Est_1W >= Entry on a settled close. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.51 | NO ACTION | 8.37 | 8.33 | 8.55 (+2.2%) | 8.59 (+2.6%) | 8.53 (+1.9%) | BoCom bounced back to a BUY-ADD cv71 pullback-buy print (from HOLD 40) with all three estimates above the 8.37 entry, but the add sizes to 43.88% x = against a 1,000-share board lot, so it rounds to zero; hold the odd lot on the 8.33 trail. Profit-take armed (Gain 4.35 ATR) and tick (c) fired (T12 8.53 < 1.02 x 8.505) - collinear artifact (HF-P66) and 30% = also lot-blocked; single-session +31 conviction jump (HF-P55). Chandelier 8.15 lower; stop held. Pre-commit: close < 8.33 -> SELL 500. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.78 | HOLD | 9.74 | 9.65 | 9.81 (+0.7%) | 9.84 (+1.0%) | 10.00 (+2.7%) | CCB eased 0.9% to 9.78 on the GDP/LPR session but held HOLD cv60 with a 12-week view of 10.00 and closed 0.73 ATR above its 9.65 stop; nothing to do. Arm is T12-only (Gain 0.68) - suppressed (HF-P50). Printed stop 9.39 lower, not adopted. Q3 results ~10-30 (outside 5 sessions). Pre-commit: close < 9.65 -> SELL 3,000. |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.11 | HOLD | 6.11 | 6.01 | 6.12 (+0.2%) | 6.11 (+0.0%) | 6.28 (+2.8%) | Bank of China slipped to 6.11 and to HOLD cv50, still 0.81 ATR above the 6.01 trail with a 12-week view of 6.28; no exit leg fires. Arm is T12-only (Gain 2.29 < 3.0) - suppressed. Chandelier 5.86 lower; stop held. NoTrade count 0. Pre-commits: close < 6.01 -> SELL 2,000; 2 consecutive NO TRADE -> SELL 2,000. |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 53.00 | NO ACTION | 52.04 | 51.97 | 52.81 (+1.5%) | 53.15 (+2.1%) | 53.43 (+2.7%) | CMB held HOLD cv60 at 53.00 (+7.4% on cost), 0.91 ATR above the 51.97 trail; the genuine profit arm (Gain 3.26 ATR) fired on tick (c) only (T12 53.43 < 1.02 x 53.00, collinear HF-P66), so 30% = against the rounds to zero and a full exit is barred from profit-take alone - hold on the trail. Chandelier 50.75 lower; stop held. Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken 150-share trim. Pre-commit: close < 51.97 -> SELL 500. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
72 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.105 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.