Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.78 | HOLD | 9.75 | 9.65 | 9.81 (+0.6%) | 9.82 (+0.7%) | 10.03 (+2.9%) | CCB closed flat at 9.78 on a steady HOLD cv60 with a 12-week view of 10.03, 0.71 ATR above its 9.65 stop; nothing to do. Arm is T12-only (Gain 0.66 ATR) - suppressed (HF-P50). Printed stop 9.38 lower, not adopted. Q3 results ~10-30 (outside 5 sessions). Pre-commit: close < 9.65 -> SELL 3,000. |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.10 | HOLD | 6.10 | 6.01 | 6.11 (+0.2%) | 6.09 (-0.2%) | 6.26 (+2.6%) | Bank of China edged to 6.10 on an unchanged HOLD cv50, 0.75 ATR above the 6.01 trail with a 12-week view of 6.26; no exit leg fires. Arm is T12-only (Gain 2.28 < 3.0) - suppressed. Printed stop 5.86 lower; trail held. NoTrade count 0. Pre-commits: close < 6.01 -> SELL 2,000; 2 consecutive NO TRADE -> SELL 2,000. |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 52.85 | NO ACTION | 52.85 | 51.97 | 52.70 (-0.3%) | 52.95 (+0.2%) | 53.16 (+0.6%) | CMB slipped to 52.85 (+7.1% on cost) and to HOLD cv50, still 0.78 ATR above the 51.97 trail; the profit arm (Gain 3.11 ATR) fired on tick (c) only (T12 53.16 < 1.02 x 52.85, collinear HF-P66), and 30% = against the rounds to zero, so hold on the trail. Conviction -10 (tick b needs 20). Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken 150-share trim. Pre-commit: close < 51.97 -> SELL 500. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.47 | NO ACTION | 8.39 | 8.33 | 8.54 (+1.8%) | 8.58 (+2.3%) | 8.52 (+1.5%) | BoCom eased to 8.47 and its one-day BUY-ADD 71 faded back to HOLD cv60; it holds 0.71 ATR above the 8.33 trail with all estimates above the entry. Profit arm (Gain 3.75 ATR) fired on tick (c) only (T12 8.52 < 1.02 x 8.47, HF-P66) and 30% = is lot-blocked against the. Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken trim. Pre-commit: close < 8.33 -> SELL 500. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
72 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.727 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.