Recommendations
0 to acquire · 2 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3988 | Bank of China | 5.99 | SELL 28.6% | 5.99 | 5.86 | 5.99 (+0.0%) | 6.01 (+0.3%) | 6.17 (+3.0%) | Bank of China closed 5.99, below its 6.01 trailing stop, and conviction slid over four sessions, so the written stop pre-commit trims roughly a third of the line while the position is still +2.8% on cost. Stop-discipline exit (ACTIVE HF-P22, no decisive qualifier; -0.16 ATR break; no ex-div, last ex 07-02). Residual 5,000: new stop 5.86; pre-commits close < 5.86 -> SELL 2,000, 2 consecutive NO TRADE -> SELL 2,000. Reprice if open gaps >1.5%. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.32 | SELL ALL | 8.32 | 8.33⚠ | 8.31 (-0.1%) | 8.39 (+0.8%) | 8.50 (+2.2%) | BoCom closed 8.32, just below its 8.33 trailing stop, after its brief BUY-ADD spike fully unwound (conviction -> 40), so the written pre-commit exits the remaining odd-lot line with a +7.7% gain. Stop-discipline exit (ACTIVE HF-P22; -0.05 ATR break; no ex-div). Line is a-share odd lot - odd-lot fill may take a small discount; clears an untrimmable line (HF-Q4). Arm T12-only (Gain 2.91) suppressed. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.72 | HOLD | 9.72 | 9.65 | 9.74 (+0.2%) | 9.75 (+0.3%) | 10.01 (+3.0%) | CCB dipped to 9.72, still above its 9.65 stop with a 12-week view of 10.01, so it stays held despite conviction easing. -19 pts is under the tick (b) bar; arm T12-only (Gain 0.33) suppressed (HF-P50). Cushion 0.39 ATR. Q3 ~10-30. Pre-commit: close < 9.65 -> SELL 3,000. |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 52.10 | HOLD | 52.10 | 51.97 | 51.99 (-0.2%) | 52.41 (+0.6%) | 52.50 (+0.8%) | CMB fell to 52.10 but held above its 51.97 trail on a steady HOLD cv50, so the one-lot line is kept on the stop. Arm now T12-only (Gain 2.28 < 3.0) - suppressed; cushion only 0.11 ATR. Pre-commit: close < 51.97 -> SELL 500. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
72 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.786 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.