Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.25 | ADD — QUEUED @6.17 | 6.17 | 6.00 | 6.32 (+2.4%) | 6.20 (+0.5%) | 6.42 (+4.1%) | Bank of China strengthened again to STRONG BUY-ADD cv90 (Buy_Rank 1) on a 20-day breakout, the day after the 6.15 add filled, with a positive 12-week view (6.42, +2.7% vs close) - pyramid on rising conviction, but queued at the printed entry 6.17 because the close sits at the session high (no chase). Live,000 (scan pre-fill shows 3,000): 77.96% x =. HF-4 clear (Est_1W 6.32 >= 6.17); HF-3 clear. RSI_DIV on a genuine arm (Gain 4.2 ATR on live avg 5.724) G1-softened to trail; stop 5.92 -> 6.00 (2.0x ATR chandelier). Expires 10-15. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.59 | NO ACTION | 8.59 | 8.26 | 8.64 (+0.6%) | 8.60 (+0.2%) | 8.75 (+1.9%) | BoCom broke to a 52-week high (+11% on cost) and printed BUY-ADD cv71, but with an RSI divergence; the profit-take rule fired (armed Gain 5.21 + RSI_DIV; G1 n/a at cv71) yet 30% of the odd-lot rounds to zero 1,000-share lots and a full sale is barred from profit-take alone (HF-P65) - so trail instead. Stop 8.08 -> 8.26 (8.585 - 2x0.165). Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken 150-share trim. Re-arm counter 1/2 (moot - the add is also lot-blocked). |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 53.80 | HOLD | 53.80 | 51.40 | 54.42 (+1.2%) | 54.21 (+0.8%) | 55.02 (+2.3%) | China Merchants Bank rallied 3.1% to a 52-week high (+9% on cost) and printed BUY-ADD cv74, but 43.88% of the-share line rounds to zero-share lots, so no add; the close is also extended (Entry_Distance -0.64, RSI 68). Genuinely armed (Gain 3.72 ATR) with no deterioration tick -> mandatory trail-raise 50.17 -> 51.40 (53.80 - 2x1.202), hold. Pre-commit: close < 51.40 AND Est_12W < close -> SELL 500. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
67 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.727 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.