Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.73 | ADD — QUEUED @9.69 | 9.69 | 9.47 | 9.75 (+0.6%) | 9.66 (-0.3%) | 10.19 (+5.2%) | CCB strengthened to STRONG BUY-ADD cv82 on a second straight pullback-to-VWAP print (Buy_Rank 1), the day after the 9.68 add filled, with a positive 12-week view (10.19, +5.2%) - pyramid on rising conviction in the book's most reliable buy family (L1). Limit at the printed Entry 9.69; close 9.735 is 0.5 ATR off the high, not a chase. HF-3 clear; HF-4 clear (Est_1W 9.75 >= 9.69). 77.96% x live =. Line stop 9.47 held (printed 9.35). PROFIT_ARMED is the T12_Progress leg (live Gain 1.27 ATR), no tick. Expires 10-14. |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.13 | WATCH — queued order lapsed | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Queued buy @6.15 lapsed — closed 6.12 below the level; awaiting reprice at the next end-of-day run. Bank of China upgraded to STRONG BUY-ADD cv82 on momentum continuation (Buy_Rank 2), +12.6% on cost with a live 12-week view (6.43, +5.0%); a buy-stop at 6.15 adds only if the trend continues. HF-4 de-minimis (Est_1W 6.14 vs 6.15, -0.16%/0.09 ATR, HF-P14); HF-3 clear. RSI_DIV on a genuine arm (Gain 5.94) is G1-softened to a trail-raise (fresh MomentumContinuation cv>=80); no other tick. 77.96% x =. Stop 5.92 (printed, raised from 5.90). Expires 10-14. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.39 | NO ACTION | 8.39 | 8.08 | 8.45 (+0.7%) | 8.38 (-0.1%) | 8.61 (+2.6%) | BoCom slipped back from BUY-ADD to HOLD cv68 with an RSI divergence on a +8.5% winner; the profit-take rule fired (armed Gain 4.22 + RSI_DIV, G1 not applicable to FailedBreakdown cv68) but 30% of a odd-lot rounds to zero 1,000-share lots and a 100% sale is barred from profit-take alone (HF-P65) - so trail instead. Stop 8.05 -> 8.08 (chandelier = printed). Optional: counterfactual prices the un-taken 150-share trim. Re-arm counter reset 0/2. |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 52.20 | HOLD | 52.20 | 50.17 | 52.38 (+0.3%) | 52.65 (+0.9%) | 55.01 (+5.4%) | China Merchants Bank held HOLD cv68 and rose to 52.20 (+5.8% on cost) with a 12-week view of 55.01 (+5.4%). Armed via the T12 leg, no tick fired -> trail, don't trim; stop 50.16 -> 50.17 (chandelier = printed). NoTrade count 0. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
66 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.727 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.