Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.95 | HOLD | 8.95 | 8.45 | 8.96 (+0.1%) | 8.98 (+0.3%) | 9.00 (+0.6%) | Hold BoCom at after the 11-09 queued add filled at 8.83. The scan still prints BUY - ADD, but conviction slipped, RSI is 72 with RSI_DIV, and the 12wk estimate is only +0.6%, so we do not pyramid again the day after a fill. Ops: CLAUDE.md §9 says pyramid on STRENGTHENING conviction, and this is weakening. Not armed on the true cost 8.632 (Gain 1.41 ATR). Trail 8.37 -> 8.45 (printed); stop pre-commit scaled to SELL 23,000. · news |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.64 | HOLD | 10.64 | 10.21 | 10.59 (-0.5%) | 10.66 (+0.2%) | 10.76 (+1.1%) | Hold CCB: HOLD conviction rose (AnticipationUp_VCP), close 10.64, +5.1% on the 10.12 average. Not profit-armed on cost (2.20 ATR). Trail 10.09 -> 10.21 (printed); pre-commit SELL 7,000 below 10.21. · news |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 54.50 | HOLD | 54.50 | 51.98 | 54.55 (+0.1%) | 54.33 (-0.3%) | 55.16 (+1.2%) | Hold CMB: HOLD conviction eased (not a >=20-pt collapse), close 54.50 at the 54.55 cost. Not armed. Stop ratcheted 51.60 -> 51.98 (printed). The top-up re-arm needs a BUY/BUY-ADD print. |
| 0388 | HKEX | 386.40 | HOLD | 386.40 | 366.39 | 386.37 (-0.0%) | 387.66 (+0.3%) | 387.08 (+0.2%) | Hold HKEX: 3rd straight NO TRADE (consensus conflict), close 386.40, +0.1% on the 385.97 fill. No exit leg fires: the stop 366.39 is intact (2.7 ATR cushion), the book is not armed on cost (0.06 ATR), and the NoTrade|sell cell is -8 (1/9). Sell on a settled close below 366.39. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 143.30 | HOLD | 143.30 | 133.60 | 144.65 (+0.9%) | 144.07 (+0.5%) | 142.89 (-0.3%) | Hold HSBC residual: it bounced +4.4% to 143.30 (+7.7% on cost) and the scan went AVOID -> NO TRADE, so there is no sell signal. Not armed on cost (2.62 ATR, under 3.0). Stop 133.60 unchanged; exit on a settled close below it or a stable SELL-REDUCE. |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.26 | HOLD | 6.25 | 6.00 | 6.26 (+0.1%) | 6.19 (-1.0%) | 6.23 (-0.4%) | Hold BoC residual: STRONG BUY - ADD 92 -> HOLD 90 (AnticipationUp_VCP), with no 2nd buy print. The estimates still sit below the entry (Est_1W 6.26 < Entry 6.32; Est_12W 6.23 < close 6.255, HF-3/HF-4), so there is no add. Trail 5.97 -> 6.00 (printed). A HOLD on a bullish family does not count as non-bullish. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
86 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.105 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.