Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 50.70 | HOLD | 50.70 | 50.16 | 50.75 (+0.1%) | 51.07 (+0.7%) | 53.29 (+5.1%) | China Merchants Bank printed its first NO TRADE a day after a profit-take filled at 51.00, but the stop is intact and the 12-week view is still +5%, so it is held. The cv is the NoTrade structural zero, counted as tick (d) 1/2, not tick (b) (HF-P64/P68). Stop 50.16; pre-commits: close < 50.16 -> SELL; 2nd consecutive NO TRADE -> SELL 500. |
| 2888 | STANCHART | 228.60 | HOLD | 228.60 | 218.46 | 228.38 (-0.1%) | 230.36 (+0.8%) | 223.55 (-2.2%) | StanChart's remaining are held after today's trim filled at 228.80; it printed a first NO TRADE but sits well above the 218.46 chandelier stop. PROFIT_ARMED suppressed (T12 223.55 < close, HF-2/P50). Pre-commits: close < 218.46 -> SELL; 2nd consecutive NO TRADE -> SELL 50 (HF-P11). HF-EOQ-2 shadow noted. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 9.51 | HOLD | 9.51 | 9.47 | 9.50 (-0.1%) | 9.46 (-0.5%) | 9.89 (+4.0%) | CCB holds on a softening HOLD (cv with the 12-week view still +4%; no profit-take tick fired and the stop is intact by 0.2 ATR. Armed via T12_Progress 96.2 only (Gain 0.34 ATR). Stop 9.47; pre-commit close < 9.47 -> SELL 1000. Southbound dark 10-06..08 = thin flow. |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 5.92 | HOLD | 5.92 | 5.90 | 5.95 (+0.5%) | 5.91 (-0.2%) | 6.24 (+5.4%) | Bank of China is a genuine armed winner (+8.8%, Gain 3.9 ATR) with no deterioration tick, so it is held on its trailing stop. Chandelier 5.84 < 5.90, so the ratchet holds 5.90; pre-commit close < 5.90 -> SELL 1000. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.19 | HOLD | 8.19 | 8.05 | 8.24 (+0.6%) | 8.22 (+0.4%) | 8.24 (+0.6%) | BoCom holds flat at cv53 (+6.0% on cost); only the collinear tick (c) artifact fired and a odd lot cannot be trimmed (HF-P51/P65). Stop 8.05 held (chandelier 7.83). Re-arm counter 0/2. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
64 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
1.727 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.