Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0388 | HKEX | 385.60 | HOLD | 385.60 | 366.39 | 387.04 (+0.4%) | 387.37 (+0.5%) | 386.37 (+0.2%) | Hold HKEX: filled @385.97 at the 11-06 open; closed 385.60 as the breakout signal flipped to NO TRADE on day one. No exit leg fires (stop 366.39 intact, 2.2 ATR cushion; 12wk estimate 386 not inverted) - HF-6 hold. Sell on a settled close below 366.39. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.53 | HOLD | 10.53 | 10.02 | 10.52 (-0.1%) | 10.57 (+0.4%) | 10.63 (+0.9%) | Hold CCB: the 10,000 pyramid filled; HOLD conviction 76 (AnticipationUp_VCP), close 10.53, +7% on a 9.84 average. Not profit-armed on cost (2.47 ATR). Trail raised 9.96 -> 10.02 (printed); pre-commit SELL 7,000 below 10.02. |
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 54.15 | HOLD | 54.15 | 51.13 | 54.11 (-0.1%) | 53.87 (-0.5%) | 54.29 (+0.3%) | Hold CMB: HOLD but conviction fell (deteriorating), close 54.15 near cost 54.55. Not armed, stop intact, so no trim; stop ratcheted 51.00 -> 51.13 (printed). Watch for a SELL print. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.68 | HOLD | 8.68 | 8.32 | 8.65 (-0.3%) | 8.66 (-0.2%) | 8.78 (+1.2%) | Hold BoCom: HOLD conviction 83, close 8.68 (+2.4% on cost). RSI_DIV with a T12-artifact PROFIT_ARMED (Gain 0.85 ATR) - not a trim. Stop kept 8.32 (printed 8.21 lower). Pyramid re-arm needs BUY-ADD cv>=75. |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 137.50 | HOLD | 137.50 | 133.60 | 138.94 (+1.0%) | 139.32 (+1.3%) | 140.99 (+2.5%) | Hold HSBC residual: half sold at the 11-06 open; NO TRADE (consensus conflict), close 137.50, +3.4% on cost. NoTrade|sell is 1/8 so no sell on NO TRADE. Exit on a settled close below 133.60 or a 2nd SELL-REDUCE print. |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 6.12 | HOLD | 6.12 | 5.67 | 6.10 (-0.3%) | 6.11 (-0.2%) | 6.16 (+0.7%) | Hold BoC residual: trim filled at the 11-06 open; AVOID cv52 is the 1st post-cut non-bullish print (count 1/2). Flat forward view. SELL 1,000 on a 2nd non-bullish print; full exit below 5.67. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
84 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.786 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.