Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3968 | China Merchants Bank | 53.30 | HOLD | 53.30 | 50.99 | 53.26 (-0.1%) | 53.18 (-0.2%) | 53.39 (+0.2%) | Hold CMB: rebounded 52.25 -> 53.30 (+2.0%) and conviction rose, so the signal is firming. It is still -2.3% on the 54.55 cost. The ADD re-arm needs a BUY/BUY-ADD print and HOLD is not one. The ratchet stop 50.99 stays above the printed 50.03. PROFIT_ARMED at Gain -0.77 ATR is the T12 artifact and is suppressed. Pre-commit close < 50.99 -> SELL carried. |
| 0939 | CCB - H SHS | 10.25 | HOLD | 10.25 | 9.87 | 10.25 (+0.0%) | 10.36 (+1.1%) | 10.38 (+1.3%) | Hold CCB: closed 10.25 (+1.4%, +4.2% on cost) with conviction up. The PROFIT_ARMED print is T12-only at Gain 1.49 ATR, which is below the 3-ATR arm, so it is suppressed per the 11-03 precedent. A 2.0-ATR chandelier gives 9.70, below the 9.87 ratchet, so the stop stays 9.87. Pre-commit close < 9.87 -> SELL 4,000 carried. |
| 3328 | Bank of Communications | 8.53 | HOLD | 8.53 | 8.32 | 8.53 (+0.0%) | 8.52 (-0.1%) | 8.65 (+1.4%) | Hold BoCom: close 8.53 vs 8.48 cost, conviction, stop 8.32 intact. The pyramid re-arm needs a BUY-ADD at cv>=75, which this HOLD print is not. PROFIT_ARMED (Gain 0.21 ATR) is the T12 artifact and is suppressed. Pre-commit close < 8.32 -> SELL carried. |
| 3988 | Bank of China | 5.94 | HOLD | 5.94 | 5.67 | 5.94 (+0.0%) | 5.95 (+0.2%) | 5.94 (+0.0%) | Hold the-share residual of BoC after the 3,000 trim filled at the 11-04 open (~5.81). Close 5.94 recovered to cost (5.95), above the 5.67 stop. The NO TRADE count reset on the executed cut, so today's print is post-cut #1. Pre-commits: close < 5.67 -> SELL; a 2nd consecutive non-bullish print (11-05) -> SELL 2,000 (30%). |
| 0005 | HSBC HDGS(USD0.50) HK O'SEAS | 136.40 | HOLD | 136.40 | 128.98 | 138.23 (+1.3%) | 139.37 (+2.2%) | 139.68 (+2.4%) | Hold HSBC: the 11-03 queued buy filled @133.00 at the open, below the 134.10 limit, and closed 136.40 (+2.6%). The scan shows NO TRADE ('Consensus conflict + low conviction') because it ran before the fill was booked, so this is held-print #1. Ex-dividend ~11-05 will mechanically lower the price. Pre-commits: close < 128.98 -> SELL; a 2nd consecutive non-bullish print -> SELL 400 ( lots, 50%; the 400-share lot makes a 30% tier impossible). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
81 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.786 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
89 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.