Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash, no positions). Both leveraged ETFs' one-session dead-cat bounces fully reversed today and the decline resumed: 7709 collapsed 71..48 (-21.3%), 7747 103..00 (-19.6%). 7709 stays WATCH cv61 (below the 65 floor, not a bullish actionable); 7747 is a bearish BreakdownDown_20D AVOID cv66. Target_12Week stays ~43% below close on both (7709 32.19 vs 56.48, 7747 47.31 vs 83.00) -- falling knives, not buyable (note-B). Buy pool empty, no holdings to dispose. Valuation-blind (NA_ETF). Overlay 11d stale, June CPI event passed. Declining these leveraged names on the 07-14 first-ever floor clears is vindicated across two sessions -- buying 2x leverage into that bounce would have taken a -20%+ single-day hit. Counterfactuals show not-acting saved a median -21.78% at 1wk. kept dry. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 56.48 | NO ACTION | 56.48 | 20.15 | n/a | 99.90 (+76.9%) | 32.19 (-43.0%) | WATCH cv61 (marginally up from 58 but still WATCH and below the 65 floor). Signal ReversalUp_Oversold, action WATCH -- not a bullish actionable, out of the buy pool. Price COLLAPSED 71..48 (-21.3%), fully reversing yesterday's +10.1% bounce -- the fading dead-cat flagged on 07-15 played out. DECLINED per note-B: Target_12Week 32.19 sits ~43% BELOW close (ReversalUp + negative 12wk = falling knife = not buyable), RSI 36.80 (deeper oversold), price far below every EMA, stop 20.15 defines no usable risk. Target_Price 99.9 is the ATR reversal objective, not the 12wk view. Re-arm needs T12 >= close AND a second confirming bullish print (ideally PullbackBuy_VWAP). Standing close<101 exit override moot (no position; closed 56.48). |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 83.00 | NO ACTION | 77.66 | 77.66 | n/a | 128.38 (+65.3%) | 47.31 (-39.1%) | AVOID cv66, signal FailedBreakout_Down_20D -> BreakdownDown_20D (bearish breakdown family). Close fell 103..00 (-19.6%) -- yesterday's +8.4% bounce fully reversed, same failed-bounce pattern as 7709. Sell-stop entry 77.66 / Target 128.38 are bearish sell-side objectives, not a long entry. Out of the buy pool (bearish AVOID; long-only, not held -> do not open). Target_12Week 47.31 ~43% BELOW close, RSI 36.67. Not buyable. Same re-arm bar as 7709 (positive T12 + confirming bullish print). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.