Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | AI - HK Leveraged ETFs | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | NO ACTION at the 2026-07-17 settled close. Both leveraged ETF mandates now print bearish BreakdownDown_20D AVOID, so the buy pool is empty; the book holds nothing, so there is nothing to dispose. The decline accelerated (7709 -20.7% to 44.80 closing at its session low on 170.9M shares; 7747 -19.0% to 67.20 on 2.2x volume) and 7709's last bullish label (ReversalUp_Oversold) expired into a breakdown -- the model has withdrawn the buy case rather than merely failing to confirm it. Declining the 07-14 first-ever floor clears is vindicated over three sessions: those buys would now be -31.3% and -29.5% on 2x leveraged instruments. Valuation blind (NA_ETF). HKD 2,000,000 held intact, 12th straight session at full cash. Parent-hk horizon flags SK Hynix Q2 earnings 07-22 (+-12% band, drives 7709) -- no new 2x leverage into that print (L6). |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 44.80 | NO ACTION | 44.48 | 89.98 | n/a | n/a | 25.54 (-42.6%) | Declined: not buyable. The 2x Hynix ETF's last bullish label expired -- ReversalUp_Oversold (held since 07-14) flipped to BreakdownDown_20D [SELL], dropping it out of the buy pool entirely rather than merely below the floor. Price collapsed 56..80 (-20.7%) and closed AT the session low (Low=Close=44.80, Open 49.00) on 170.9M shares -- a no-bid close, not a stabilisation. Target_12Week 25.54 sits ~43% BELOW close and price is under every EMA (EMA5 61.27... EMA50 97.81) and -55.6% from VWAP; RSI 34.53. The CSV's own Action_Rationale is decisive: 'Flat; bearish signal (conv=60); do not open (long-only).' Entry 44.48/stop 89.98 are a bearish SELL-STOP pair, not a long entry. NOTE: Target_Price prints -46.52 (a NEGATIVE price) -- a model artifact, deliberately not propagated to target_4w. Re-arm: T12 >= close AND a confirming bullish print (ideally PullbackBuy_VWAP); additionally gated by SK Hynix Q2 earnings 07-22 (+-12% band) -- no new 2x leverage into the print (L6). Standing close<101 exit override moot (flat; closed 44.80). |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 67.20 | NO ACTION | 77.50 | 128.86 | n/a | n/a | 38.30 (-50.6%) | Declined: not buyable despite the book's highest-ever conviction print. cv88 is conviction in a BreakdownDown_20D [STRONG SELL] -- i.e. high confidence the name goes DOWN -- so it must not be misread as clearing the 65 acquire floor; the floor screens bullish actionable candidates only, and a long-only book expresses an 88 STRONG SELL as 'do not open'. Close fell 83..20 (-19.0%) on 51.7M shares, 2.2x the prior session's 23.8M -- capitulation volume. Target_12Week 38.30 is ~43% BELOW close; price is beneath every EMA including EMA200 (89.15) and -48.8% from VWAP; RSI 33.97. Action_Rationale: 'Flat; bearish signal (conv=88); do not open (long-only).' Entry 77.50/stop 128.86 are a bearish SELL-STOP pair. NOTE: Target_Price prints -25.24 (a NEGATIVE price) -- model artifact, not propagated to target_4w. Re-arm: T12 >= close AND a confirming bullish print. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.