Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No action: the book stays fully in cash. Both leveraged ETFs bounced again (7709 +9.9% to 57.80, 7747 +14.7% to 89.20) but the bounce is not buyable — 7709's one-day bullish label has already reverted to a bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D, 7747's volume halved on its biggest up-day, and both names still carry 12-week projections roughly 43% below the current price with no usable stop level. SK Hynix Q2 results land tomorrow with an estimated ±24% swing on a 2× ETF, so opening leverage into the print is the wrong risk. Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash, no positions); buy pool empty on bearish labels (HL-4), dispose pool empty (no holdings). Valuation blind (NA_ETF). 14th consecutive session at full cash. Nothing pending for the 2026-07-22 open. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 57.80 | WATCH | 57.80 | 57.80 | n/a | n/a | 32.95 (-43.0%) | Stay out. The 2× SK Hynix ETF rose 9.9% to 57.80, but yesterday's single bullish print has already expired back into a bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D — the confirming second bullish print we required never came, the rally faded 3.7% off the day's high on lower volume, and the 12-week projection (32.95) still sits ~43% below the current price. SK Hynix reports Q2 tomorrow with a ±12% expected move on the underlying, roughly ±24% on this 2× fund, so this is precisely the wrong moment to open leverage. Operational: conv 73 is confidence in a DOWN move on a [SELL] label — the acquire floor screens bullish labels only (HL-4). Entry = Stop = 57.80 is degenerate, no risk-defined entry (HL-3). Below every EMA (5/10/20/50/100), −37.9% from VWAP, RSI 39.2. Re-arm: Target_12Week ≥ close AND a second confirming bullish print (ideally PullbackBuy_VWAP) AND a usable stop distance — not before the 07-22 Hynix print settles (L6/horizon 'tighten-trail'). Standing overlay close<101 full-exit override moot (flat). |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 89.20 | WATCH | 89.20 | 89.20 | n/a | n/a | 50.84 (-43.0%) | Stay out. The 2× Samsung ETF put in its best day of the week (+14.7% to 89.20) on its weakest participation — volume more than halved again to 16.1M from 34.3M, and 51.7M two sessions ago — so the move reads as short-covering, not accumulation. The signal stayed bearish for a second session and the 12-week projection (50.84) is still ~43% below the price. The one genuine improvement is a fractional reclaim of the 200-day average (89.20 vs 89.04), which is a watch item, not a trigger. Operational: conv 73 on a [SELL] label (HL-4, not a buy). Entry = Stop = 89.20 degenerate, Target_Price blank (HL-3). Still far below EMA10 96.63 / EMA20 116.50 / EMA50 130.95 / EMA100 117.24, −25.9% from VWAP, RSI 40.8. Re-arm: hold the EMA200 reclaim WITH a bullish label AND Target_12Week ≥ close. Next direct catalyst Samsung Electronics Q2 full divisional results 2026-07-30. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.