Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No action - the book stays fully in cash for a 15th straight session. Today's SK Hynix Q2 print (the catalyst the last two EODs were gated on) resolved decisively AGAINST opening leverage: both 2x ETFs gapped up hard on the headline then collapsed to close at their session lows - 7709 open 66.46 / high 66.88 -> close 55.76 (a -16.6% intraday fade), 7747 open 98.30 / high 99.46 -> close 88.28 (-11.2% off the high, losing back the EMA200 reclaim). Conviction fell on both (7709, 7747, both stay bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D AVOID, and 12-week projections remain ~43% below price with degenerate entry=stop levels. The L6/horizon 'tighten-trail' gate that kept the book out of the Hynix print is vindicated in one session. Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash, no positions); buy pool empty on bearish labels (HL-4), dispose pool empty (no holdings); valuation blind (NA_ETF). Nothing pending for the 2026-07-23 open. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 55.76 | WATCH | 55.76 | 55.76 | n/a | n/a | 31.78 (-43.0%) | Stay out. The 2x SK Hynix ETF gapped up on the Q2 results (open 66.46, high 66.88) then reversed the entire move to close at the session low 55.76 - a -16.6% intraday fade and a net -3.5% on the day - exactly the gap-and-fade the L6 'no leverage into the print' gate was protecting against. The label stays bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D, conviction dropped, the 12-week projection (31.78) is still ~43% below price, and it remains below every EMA. Operational: cv61 on a [SELL] label is confidence in a DOWN move, not a buy (HL-4); entry = stop = 55.76 is degenerate, no risk-defined entry (HL-3). Re-arm: Target_12Week >= close AND a second confirming bullish print (ideally PullbackBuy_VWAP) AND a usable stop distance. Standing overlay close<101 full-exit override moot (flat). Next catalyst: SK Hynix Nasdaq ADR quiet-period expiry ~Aug 3-4. |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 88.28 | WATCH | 88.28 | 88.28 | n/a | n/a | 50.32 (-43.0%) | Stay out. The 2x Samsung ETF gapped up to 98.30 (high 99.46) on the Hynix-driven memory read-through, then gave it all back to close at the session low 88.28 - an -11.2% fade off the high that surrendered yesterday's fractional EMA200 reclaim (now 88.28 vs EMA200 ~89.03). Volume stayed light (14.9M, down again from 16.1M) confirming the prior bounce was short-covering, not accumulation. Label bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D for a third session, conviction, 12-week projection (50.32) still ~43% below price. Operational: cv63 on a [SELL] label (HL-4, not a buy); entry = stop = 88.28 degenerate, Target_Price blank (HL-3). Re-arm: reclaim and HOLD EMA200 WITH a bullish actionable label AND Target_12Week >= close. Next direct catalyst: Samsung Electronics Q2 full divisional results 2026-07-30. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.