Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No action - the book stays fully in cash for a 17th straight session. The two-session post-Hynix bounce fully REVERSED today: 7709 close 52.74 (-12.8% from 60.50), 7747 close 82.46 (-13.2% from 95.00), and conviction FELL on both (7709, now below the 65 floor; 7747. Both still print the bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D label (7709 [HOLD], 7747 [SELL]) - no bullish actionable trigger (HL-4); the 12-week projection is still ~43% below price on both (30.06 vs 52.74; 47.00 vs 82.46); the model stop is still degenerate (entry = stop). Buy pool empty on bearish labels, dispose pool empty (no holdings), valuation blind (NA_ETF). Today's reversal VINDICATES the HL-2 discipline: the 07-20 declined ReversalUp_Oversold [BUY] @52.58 that stood +15.1% two days ago is back to +0.3% at 52.74 - the miss has evaporated. Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash). Nothing pending for the 2026-07-27 open (next HK session after Fri close). |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 52.74 | WATCH | 52.74 | 52.74 | n/a | n/a | 30.06 (-43.0%) | Stay out. The 2x SK Hynix ETF gave back its two-day bounce, closing 52.74 (-12.8% from 60.50) and conviction fell to 58 - now BELOW the 65 acquire floor - on a still-bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D [HOLD] label. The forward view is unchanged: T12 30.06 is ~43% below price. Operational: entry = stop = 52.74 degenerate, no risk-defined entry (HL-3); Target_Price blank; RSI 38.48, ATR 12.12; consensus Consolidation_Bearish, regime Transitional. The 07-20 declined [BUY] @52.58 is now only +0.3% here (was +15.1% at Wed's 60.50) - the reversal has erased the miss and vindicates requiring a 2nd confirming print (HL-2). Re-arm: Target_12Week >= close AND a second confirming bullish print (ideally PullbackBuy_VWAP) AND a usable stop distance. Standing overlay close<101 full-exit override moot (flat). Next catalyst: SK Hynix Nasdaq ADR quiet-period expiry ~Aug 3-4. |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 82.46 | WATCH | 82.46 | 82.46 | n/a | n/a | 47.00 (-43.0%) | Stay out. The 2x Samsung ETF gave back its 4-session rise, closing 82.46 (-13.2% from 95.00) and LOST the EMA200 it had just reclaimed (82.46 vs ~89.02) - the one prior improvement is gone. Label still bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D [SELL], conviction eased (still above the floor but a [SELL]-direction confidence, not a buy - HL-4); T12 47.00 is ~43% below price. Operational: entry = stop = 82.46 degenerate (HL-3), Target_Price blank; RSI 39.83, ATR 15.12; consensus Consolidation_Bearish, regime Trending. Re-arm: reclaim and HOLD the EMA200 WITH a bullish actionable label AND Target_12Week >= close. Next direct catalyst: Samsung Electronics Q2 full divisional results 2026-07-30. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.