Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No action - the book stays fully in cash for an 18th straight session. Both 2x ETFs bounced shallowly today (7709 54.50, +3.3%; 7747 83.42, +1.2%) and conviction rebounded on both (7709, 7747, clearing the 65 floor together for the first time since 07-14) - but NOT ONE structural condition improved. Both still print the bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D label; 7709's direction actually DETERIORATED from [HOLD] to [SELL]; the 12-week projection is still 43.0% below price on both (31.06 vs 54.50; 47.55 vs 83.42); 7747 is still under its EMA200 (83.42 vs 88.97) and bounced on 63% lighter volume; and the model stop is still degenerate (entry = stop) on both. Rising conviction paired with a collapsed forward view on a bearish label is a STRONGER avoid, not a softening one (HL-4). Buy pool empty on bearish labels, dispose pool empty (no holdings), valuation blind (NA_ETF). SK Hynix Q2 (07-29) and Samsung full Q2 (07-30) land inside the next 3 sessions and scope both names - watch as re-arm triggers, do not pre-position, and a gap up is not an entry (HL-6). Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash). Nothing pending for the 2026-07-28 open. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 54.50 | WATCH | 54.50 | 54.50 | n/a | n/a | 31.06 (-43.0%) | Stay out. The 2x SK Hynix ETF recovered a sliver of Friday's crash, closing 54.50 (+3.3% from 52.74), and conviction jumped back above the 65 acquire floor - but the signal's DIRECTION went the wrong way in the same session, flipping FailedBreakout_Down_20D [HOLD] -> [SELL]. A high conviction on a bearish row is confidence in a FALL, not a buy trigger (HL-4), and the forward view has not budged: T12 31.06 is 43.0% below price. Operational: entry = stop = 54.50, no risk-defined entry (HL-3); Target_Price blank; RSI 39.22, ATR 11.10, Est band 38.15-69.30; pillars 42/38/36, consensus Consolidation_Bearish, regime Transitional; the engine itself prints 'Flat; bearish signal (conv=68); do not open (long-only).' The 07-20 declined [BUY] @52.58 is +3.7% here - inside noise, far from the +15.1% peak that briefly looked like a miss. Re-arm: Target_12Week >= close AND a second confirming bullish print (ideally PullbackBuy_VWAP) AND a usable stop distance. Standing overlay close<101 full-exit override moot (flat). Next catalyst: SK Hynix Q2 results 2026-07-29 (2 sessions out) - a re-arm trigger to watch, not a reason to pre-position; a post-print gap up is explicitly not an entry (HL-6). |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 83.42 | WATCH | 83.42 | 83.42 | n/a | n/a | 47.55 (-43.0%) | Stay out. The 2x Samsung ETF ticked up to 83.42 (+1.2%) and conviction rose, but the bounce is hollow: it came on 7.78M shares against 21.22M Friday (-63%), it did NOT reclaim the EMA200 lost last week (83.42 vs 88.97), and the label is still bearish FailedBreakout_Down_20D [SELL] for a 6th consecutive session - conviction in a SELL direction, not a buy (HL-4). T12 47.55 remains 43.0% below price. Operational: entry = stop = 83.42 degenerate (HL-3), Target_Price blank; RSI 40.17, ATR 13.18, Est band 66.94-94.74; pillars 44/43/36, consensus Consolidation_Bearish, regime Trending; engine prints 'Flat; bearish signal (conv=72); do not open (long-only).' Re-arm: reclaim and HOLD the EMA200 (~88.97) WITH a bullish actionable label AND Target_12Week >= close. Next direct catalyst: Samsung Electronics full Q2 2026 results 2026-07-30 (3 sessions out) - watch for the re-arm, do not pre-position into it (HL-6). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.