Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | hklev book | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | No action - the book stays fully in cash for a 19th straight session, and today is the strongest vindication that discipline has had. A KOSPI-wide memory-chip rout took Samsung Electronics -13.4% (its worst day in almost two decades) and SK Hynix -14.7%, dragging the index -10.8%, on AI-infrastructure financing doubts, an SK Hynix HBM price cut and Chinese open-source model competition. Doubled by leverage, the two 2x trackers this book mandates fell -30.2%.02) and -26.7%.12) - both gapped ~-15% at the open and closed AT the session low on 2.4x and 4.9x volume. Both flipped to BreakdownDown_20D [STRONG SELL] with conviction SPIKING to 81 and 86: that is high confidence in a further fall, not a buy (HL-4). Every other gate fails too - the 12-week projection is 43.0% below price on both (HL-2), and the risk band is now INVERTED rather than merely degenerate (Order_Type 'Sell Stop', Stop_Price 72.69/96.39 sitting ABOVE entry and above the close), so no long stop exists at any price (HL-3). Buy pool empty on bearish labels; dispose pool empty (no holdings); valuation blind (NA_ETF). The names declined yesterday at 54.50 and 83.42 are marked -30.2% and -26.7% tonight; the 07-20 ReversalUp_Oversold flip that briefly ran +15.1% and was logged as an honest tension is now -27.7% - that tension is closed. Operational: SK Hynix Q2 results land TOMORROW 07-29 and Samsung full Q2 on 07-30, both inside the parent-hk horizon at a +/-14% underlying band = +/-28% on a 2x tracker; watch them as re-arm triggers ONLY, do not pre-position, and a post-print gap up is explicitly not an entry (L6/HL-6). Empty ADR-0014 book (HKD 2,000,000 seed cash, intact). Nothing pending for the 2026-07-29 open. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 38.02 | WATCH | 41.94 | 72.69 | n/a | n/a | 21.67 (-48.3%) | Stay out, emphatically. The 2x SK Hynix tracker collapsed -30.2% to 38.02 as SK Hynix itself fell -14.7% in a KOSPI-wide memory rout (-10.8%) driven by AI-infrastructure financing doubts, the company's own HBM price cut and cheap Chinese open-source AI models. The tape shows no bid: it opened at 46.34 (gap -15.0%), never traded higher, and closed 38.02 - five basis points off the session low - on 273.7M shares, 2.36x the prior day and the heaviest print of the entire window. The signal flipped from FailedBreakout_Down_20D [SELL] to BreakdownDown_20D [STRONG SELL] and conviction JUMPED, which is confidence in a further fall, not a buy trigger (HL-4). Operational: the risk band is inverted, not just degenerate - Order_Type reads 'Sell Stop @ HK' with Stop_Price 72.69, 91% ABOVE the close, so no long stop exists at any price (HL-3); Target_Price is negative (-19.57); T12 21.67 is 43.0% below close (10th straight session at the mechanical 0.570 ratio); RSI 34.96, ATR 12.18, Est band 26.61-49.43. Price is below EVERY EMA (5/10/20/50/100 = 49.91/57.55/73.31/86.82/76.80, EMA200 NaN), 47.3% below VWAP and 80.4% off the 52W high of 193.65. The -30.2% move reconciles to ~2x the underlying, ruling out any ETF corporate action. Re-arm bar unchanged and now far more distant: Target_12Week >= close AND a second confirming BULLISH print (ideally PullbackBuy_VWAP) AND a usable long stop distance. SK Hynix Q2 results land TOMORROW 2026-07-29 (+/-14% underlying = +/-28% on this 2x tracker) - a re-arm trigger to observe, never a reason to pre-position, and a gap up is not an entry (L6/HL-6). Standing overlay close<101 full-exit override moot (flat). · news |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 61.12 | WATCH | 58.07 | 96.39 | n/a | n/a | 34.84 (-40.0%) | Stay out. The 2x Samsung tracker fell -26.7% to 61.12 as Samsung Electronics closed -13.4% - its worst single session in almost two decades - inside a KOSPI-wide chip rout (-10.8%) on AI-financing doubts, HBM price cuts and Chinese open-source model competition. Same no-bid anatomy as its sister: opened 70.92 (gap -15.0%), the open WAS the high, low 60.26, closed 61.12 on 37.8M shares - 4.86x the prior session. Yesterday's hollow +1.2% bounce on 7.78M shares was answered with nearly five times the volume, all offered. The label flipped to BreakdownDown_20D [STRONG SELL] (7th consecutive bearish session) and conviction rose, one point off the book high - confidence in a fall, not a buy (HL-4). Operational: entry 58.07 is a 'Sell Stop' with Stop_Price 96.39 sitting 58% above the close - an inverted short-side band, no long stop at any price (HL-3); Target_Price -18.56; T12 34.84 is 43.0% below close; RSI 35.26, ATR 15.17, Est band 42.78-79.46. The EMA200 re-arm condition set yesterday has moved from ~7% away to 31.1% away (61.12 vs 88.69), and the name is 74.9% off its 52W high of 243.10. Re-arm: reclaim and HOLD the EMA200 WITH a bullish actionable label AND Target_12Week >= close. Samsung Electronics full Q2 2026 results land 2026-07-30 (2 sessions out) - watch for the re-arm only; on a 2x tracker the horizon's +/-14% underlying band is +/-28%, so do not pre-position into it (L6/HL-6). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
22 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.