Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | AI - HK Leveraged ETFs | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Stay 100% in cash (HK). Both leveraged trackers in this book print bearish AVOID signals at the close, and the memory complex they follow - Samsung, SK Hynix, Micron - is now more than 20% off its highs, an outright bear market driven by real doubts about AI capex rather than a one-day flush. On a 2x tracker that downside is doubled, so there is nothing worth owning here yet. Buy pool empty: neither row prints a bullish actionable label, so the conv-65 acquire floor is never reached; HL-2 (12wk 43% below close on both), HL-3 (Stop == Entry == Close, zero risk distance) and HL-4 (conviction on a bearish row is confidence in a further fall) each veto independently. No holdings, so no dispose side. Valuation blind (NA_ETF, val_adj 0); scorecard 0 graded, no bias; f=0.30 stands. |
| 7709 | XL2CSOPHYNIX | 35.44 | WATCH | 35.44 | 35.44 | n/a | n/a | 20.20 (-43.0%) | Avoid - no position, none taken. This 2x SK Hynix tracker bounced 68% off the crash low on 31 Jul and gave back 17% today on two-thirds less volume, the classic shape of a failed bounce rather than a bottom. It still trades below every moving average and its own 12-week fair path sits 43% under the current price, so the odds still favour lower. Close 35.44 (-16.7%), signal FailedBreakout_Down_20D cv59, engine: 'Flat; bearish signal; do not open (long-only)'. HL-2: Target_12Week 20.20 is 43.0% below close - re-arm bar (12wk >= close + a 2nd confirming bullish print) unmet. HL-3: Stop_Price == Entry_Price == Close 35.44, Target_Price blank - degenerate risk band, no usable long stop. Volume 180.3M vs 525.1M (-65.7%); below EMA5/10/20/50/100 (38.11/44.90/60.45/79.03/73.52), VWAP dist -35.4%, -81.7% off the 52W high; regime Trending -> Transitional; consensus Consolidation_Bearish (the prior Bullish-on-a-crash contradiction has resolved). Re-arm to observe: 12wk >= close AND a 2nd bullish print (ideally PullbackBuy_VWAP) AND a usable stop; first structural evidence = reclaim EMA10 44.90 on RISING volume. No pre-positioning into Korean-memory headlines (L6/HL-6). · news |
| 7747 | XL2CSOPSMSN | 66.62 | WATCH | 66.62 | 66.62 | n/a | n/a | 37.97 (-43.0%) | Avoid - no position, none taken. This 2x Samsung Electronics tracker rallied 49% on 31 Jul and surrendered 14% today on a two-thirds drop in volume; Samsung's blowout Q2 was met with profit-taking rather than buying, which is what a re-rating looks like. Price is still a third below its 200-day line and its 12-week fair path sits 43% under today's close. Close 66.62 (-14.0%), signal FailedBreakout_Down_20D cv63, engine: 'Flat; bearish signal; do not open (long-only)'. HL-2: Target_12Week 37.97 is 43.0% below close. HL-3: Stop_Price == Entry_Price == Close 66.62, Target_Price blank - zero-width risk band, no usable long stop. Volume 13.9M vs 40.4M (-65.6%); below EMA5/10/20/50/100 (68.28/74.22/89.85/113.42/110.02) with EMA200 87.71 sitting 31.7% ABOVE price; VWAP dist -18.4%, -72.6% off the 52W high of 243.10; pillars 48/59/27, consensus Consolidation_Bearish. Re-arm to observe: 12wk >= close AND reclaim-and-hold of EMA200 87.71 AND a 2nd confirming bullish print. Samsung Q2 (07-30) already printed - no gap-chase (L6/HL-6). · news |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
50 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.