Recommendations
0 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| — | XL2CSOPHYNIX | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Declined. 7709 gapped up 7.3% to 44.04 and ran to 46.34 (+12.9%) before collapsing to close 41.70 - a bearish outside-reversal on record volume (214.0M, +31%) that gave back 93.5% of the day's range and closed just 0.8% off the low. Conviction fell and the engine still labels the name AVOID on a breakdown-family signal for a tenth straight session, so it never enters the buy pool. Nothing is held, so no sell can originate; the book stays 100% cash. Ops: HL-3 binding - row prints Stop==Entry==Close 41.70 with a blank Target_Price, so no risk-defined entry is constructible on an instrument now running 12.1% ATR-to-price (ATR 4.08->5.05). HL-2 re-arm counter RESET: the 2nd-confirming-strong-close leg met on 09-07 is broken by today's rejection; T12 leg inert (T12/Close clamp 0.56998, 6th session). HL-4: high conviction on a bearish label is confidence in a DOWN move. Est band blew out 32.42-44.84 -> 29.19-54.21 (width doubled). Still -20.2% vs EMA200 52.25; give-back level EMA20 38.56. Re-arm bar unchanged: bullish label + adj conv >=65 + a REAL ATR stop below entry + a 2nd confirming bullish close. Horizon: tagged 09-10 TSMC, 09-11 Oracle + Korea exports, 09-14 CPI. |
| — | XL2CSOPSMSN | — | NO ACTION | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | Declined. 7747 opened +3.0% at 80.20 and hit 83.60 (+7.3%) before fading the entire move to close 77.72, -0.21% on the day and at the 4.5th percentile of its range, on the heaviest volume of the window (11.0M, +24%). The engine's conviction is unchanged at 76 - above the 65 acquire floor - but the label is still AVOID on a breakdown-family signal for a tenth straight session, which is a disqualification rather than a rank. Nothing is held, so no sell can originate; the book stays 100% cash. Ops: HL-3 binding - Stop==Entry==Close 77.72, blank Target_Price, ATR-to-price 9.6% (ATR 6.44->7.42). HL-4: cv76 on a bearish label = stronger avoid. HL-2 re-arm counter RESET by the rejection; T12 leg inert (clamp 0.56999). Held its EMA5/10/20 reclaim (close +3.5% vs EMA20 75.11) - the one bullish residue - but EMA200 84.65 is now 8.2% away and the day was distribution, not accumulation. Re-arm bar: bullish label + a REAL ATR stop below entry + a 2nd confirming bullish close (conviction leg already met). |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
0 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one.
0.000 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
50 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.