Recommendations
1 to acquire · 0 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
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| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 24.48 | BUY — QUEUED @23.54 | 23.54 | 21.26 | 24.87 (+5.6%) | 27.96 (+18.8%) | 34.88 (+48.2%) | Lead acquire for the all-cash ADR-0014 book: 0992 Lenovo prints a 2nd consecutive STRONG BUY cv84 on the L1-favored PullbackBuy_VWAP cell, Buy_Rank #1, with a bullish AI-PC refresh + AI-infra tailwind (news confirms: +137% YTD leadership, Zacks #1 Strong Buy; the pop is momentum not an earnings gap, L6 clears). Reprice/re-queue of the 07-09 limit that never filled (07-10 Low 24.44 stayed above the 23.42 limit all day) -> action price repriced to the live Entry_Price 23.54 (within 0.25 ATR, provenance-clean); entry 23.54 sits -0.53 ATR BELOW the 24.48 close so no-chase holds, fills only on a dip. Valuation blind (val_adj 0, gate off, size x1.0); scorecard has no PullbackBuy cell (bias 0); f=0.30 (calib 0.431 but <10 graded buys, L5). Measured 20% (HK8 lots x 2,000, 18.8% of seed), 81% dry into CPI 07-14 (overlay event-gate). Action price = anchor 07-10 close ref; reprice if the 07-13 open gaps >1.5%. expires 2026-07-15 (anchor +3 sessions); execute on a limit touch from the 07-13 open. · news |
| 0981 | SMIC | 79.65 | NO ACTION | 81.82 | 71.97 | n/a | 100.92 (+23.3%) | 90.30 (+10.4%) | Borderline buy deferred, not taken: 0981 SMIC flipped WATCH cv51 -> BUY cv65 on the L1-favored PullbackBuy_VWAP cell (Buy_Rank #3), adjusted cv exactly at the 65 floor. But it's a single fresh BUY print (weak stability) and the entry 81.82 is a buy-stop ABOVE the 79.65 close (EntD +0.28) that would fill on a breakout into the ~2-session-out June CPI (07-14) - against the overlay's de-risk-into-CPI bias. Deferred to a 2nd confirming print or post-CPI reassessment. Ledgered direction:none/optional so the counterfactual grader prices what deferring cost. Valuation blind (val_adj 0). 12wk 90.30 vs close 79.65 = +13.4% (positive, not a falling knife) so it stays a live re-arm candidate, just not today. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
6 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
0.431 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
21 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.