Recommendations
0 to acquire · 1 to dispose
| Ticker | Name | Close | Action | Action Price Where to act — a buy-limit on a pullback or a buy-stop above resistance, not the current price. Sanity-check vs Close: on a held name, an action price stranded above the close means the queued level was set when the stock was higher — stale, awaiting reprice. | Stop The risk-defined exit, set below the entry for a long (~1.2–1.8×ATR). A held long whose Stop sits at/above the Close is already below its stop — a stale box awaiting reprice. | 1wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 4wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | 12wk Model estimate of the likely price at this horizon — a forward projection, not a guarantee, and separate from the trade's Action Price or Stop. Where the ML estimator is enabled these are per-ticker calibrated forecasts (~80% coverage band) that are refreshed periodically and can drift between refreshes; otherwise they're interpolated from the signal's swing target. Confirm against the settled close. | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2382 | Sunny Optical Technology | 66.95 | SELL 30% | 66.95 | 67.02⚠ | 69.06 (+3.2%) | 73.97 (+10.5%) | 77.36 (+15.5%) | Sunny Optical closed just below the protective sell level we set for it, on a day that also printed a lower high, so we are taking 30% off at the next open. The breach is only one tick and the model still rates the name a buy with a positive 12-week view, which is why this is a partial cut rather than a full exit; valuation is neutral and adds nothing either way. HS-7 shallow breach (0.025 ATR) of recorded trail 67.02; HS-3a model stop 63.37 rejected; of 3,800, proceeds ~HKrealized -6,050. Pre-commit residual 2,700: full exit on close <65.62 OR 2nd consecutive close <67.02 OR bearish-family flip (label/12wk/iPhone 09-18 not a defence); reclaim = close >=67.05; re-add only when HS-48 clears (Entry_Price >67.02). f=0.30 (L5); 12wk 77.36 exceeds DCF 68.79. · news |
| 0992 | Lenovo Group Limited | 32.14 | HOLD | 32.14 | 29.96 | n/a | 35.66 (+11.0%) | 45.80 (+42.5%) | Holding Lenovo after Friday's queued add filled today at 31.49 and closed 2% higher; the position is up about 3% with the trend and the model still constructive, and nothing argues for selling. No further add: the label is HOLD and the name is at the book's 60% single-name cap. Trail 29.96 stands (chandelier 29.52 below it; model stop 31.32 = session Low, HS-10 unusable). Not armed (Gain_ATR 0.51 recomputed, HS-22 pre-fill scan columns). Hold through FOMC 09-17 / iPhone 09-18. · news |
| PORTFOLIO | AI - HK Semiconductors | — | WATCH | — | — | n/a | n/a | n/a | The Lenovo add filled and gained 2% on its first day; Sunny Optical slipped one tick below its protective level, so the book trims 30% of it at the next open and writes the full-exit and reclaim levels in advance. No new buys ahead of the Fed decision: YOFC fails the quality screen and conviction floor, and the Sunny add would sit below its own stop. |
Outcome & track record
Accuracy at the time of this record.
18 Graded decisions Past recommendations old enough to score against what actually happened (target hit / stopped out / closed). This is the evidence base — the bigger the number, the more history behind the calls. Click to inspect every one. See the decisions →
-0.097 1-week calibration How much of the eventual 4-week move typically shows up in the first week (0 = almost none, 1 = most of it). Use it to read the 1-week estimates: a low number means prices drift toward the target slowly, so don't over-read a soft week-1.
49 Published records How many dated end-of-day verdicts exist for this book — the length of the public track record you can browse in the Archive below.